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Will Bank Bailouts Bust Budgets? Fiscalisation of the East Asian financial crisis

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  • Jay K. Rosengard

Abstract

East Asia has returned to a position of relative financial stability and modest economic growth seven years since the onset of the East Asian financial crisis, but the long‐range impact of the crisis is still unclear, especially regarding fiscal ramifications. Thailand and Indonesia were two of the hardest hit economies and each had exemplary fiscal policies before the crisis. Since the crisis, both countries have maintained prudent fiscal policies, keeping budget deficits relatively small, managing debt burdens effectively and limiting exposure to contingent liabilities. Both countries have addressed the short‐term triggers of the financial crisis admirably and continue to monitor vigilantly their external vulnerabilities. Thus, if either country experiences a fiscal crisis, it will be the result of other factors—bank bail‐outs will bust budgets only if banks have to be bailed out once again due to incomplete or insufficient financial sector reform.

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  • Jay K. Rosengard, 2004. "Will Bank Bailouts Bust Budgets? Fiscalisation of the East Asian financial crisis," Asian-Pacific Economic Literature, The Crawford School, The Australian National University, vol. 18(2), pages 19-29, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:apacel:v:18:y:2004:i:2:p:19-29
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-8411.2004.00147.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Peter G. Warr, 1999. "What Happened to Thailand?," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 22(5), pages 631-650, July.
    2. Holzmann, Robert & Mac Arthur, Ian W. & Sin, Yvonne, 2000. "Pension systems in East Asia and the Pacific : challenges and opportunities," Social Protection Discussion Papers and Notes 23088, The World Bank.
    3. International Monetary Fund, 2000. "Indonesia: Statistical Appendix," IMF Staff Country Reports 2000/133, International Monetary Fund.
    4. World Bank, 2003. "Decentralizing Indonesia : A Regional Public Expenditure Review Overview Report," World Bank Publications - Reports 14632, The World Bank Group.
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    Cited by:

    1. Luc Can & Mohamed Ariff, 2009. "Performance of East Asian banking sectors under IMF-supported programs," Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(1), pages 5-26.
    2. Aswicahyono, Haryo & Bird, Kelly & Hill, Hal, 2009. "Making Economic Policy in Weak, Democratic, Post-crisis States: An Indonesian Case Study," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 354-370, February.
    3. Ahmad Zubaidi Baharumshah & Evan Lau, 2010. "Mean Reversion Of The Fiscal Conduct In 24 Developing Countries," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 78(4), pages 302-325, July.

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