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Early evacuation is the best bushfire risk mitigation strategy for south-eastern Australia

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  • Tyron J. Venn
  • John Quiggin

Abstract

Given the large and increasing bushfire threat to lives and property in Australia, there is a need for economic evaluation of risk mitigation policies that can be implemented by governments and homeowners. Three broad policies applicable for existing at-risk communities are evaluated: expanded use of landscape-scale prescribed fire; home ignition zone treatment (bushfire defence sprinklers); and early evacuation when a bushfire is burning on extreme or catastrophic fire danger days. Early evacuation is the only option that yields net economic benefits relative to existing policy.
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Suggested Citation

  • Tyron J. Venn & John Quiggin, 2017. "Early evacuation is the best bushfire risk mitigation strategy for south-eastern Australia," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 61(3), pages 481-497, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:ajarec:v:61:y:2017:i:3:p:481-497
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/1467-8489.12215
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    1. Derek T. O'Donnell & Tyron J. Venn & David E. Calkin, 2014. "Are wildfire management resources in the United States efficiently allocated to protect resources at risk? A case study from Montana," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 44(3), pages 318-332.
    2. Stockmann, Keith & Burchfield, James & Calkin, Dave & Venn, Tyron, 2010. "Guiding preventative wildland fire mitigation policy and decisions with an economic modeling system," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(2), pages 147-154, February.
    3. Prestemon, Jeffrey P. & Abt, Karen L. & Barbour, R. James, 2012. "Quantifying the net economic benefits of mechanical wildfire hazard treatments on timberlands of the western United States," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 44-53.
    4. D. Evan Mercer & Jeffrey P. Prestemon & David T. Butry & John M. Pye, 2007. "Evaluating Alternative Prescribed Burning Policies to Reduce Net Economic Damages from Wildfire," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 89(1), pages 63-77.
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    Cited by:

    1. Glenn P. Costin, 2021. "Bushfire: Retrofitting Rural and Urban Fringe Structures—Implications of Current Engineering Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-18, June.
    2. Venn, Tyron J., 2023. "Reconciling timber harvesting, biodiversity conservation and carbon sequestration in Queensland, Australia," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    3. Eliott, Martyn G. & Venn, Tyron J. & Lewis, Tom & Farrar, Michael & Srivastava, Sanjeev K., 2021. "A prescribed fire cost model for public lands in south-east Queensland," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).

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