IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bjz/ajisjr/1777.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Key Macroeconomic Drivers on Reducing Non Performing Loans in Albania

Author

Listed:
  • Brikena Leka
  • Etleva Bajrami
  • Ejona Duci

Abstract

The financial system in Albania is really fragile, mainly focused in banking system. This banking system faced a sharp rise in non- performing loans after 2009. The level of NPL-s has increased from 10.48% on 2009 to the pick of 23.49% on 2013. Then, it started the decline arriving to 13.23% on 2017. The focus of this study it is the determination of the main macroeconomic factors affecting the level of bad loans. We tested statistically the role of GDP growth, inflation, unemployment level, Money Aggregate M2, Exchange rate and interest rates for loans, in the level of NPL-s. The data were taken from World Bank and Bank of Albania database. The data were elaborated through statistical program E-views 10. We conducted a multiple regression and the macroeconomic factors explaining NPL-s resulted: the GDP growth, the monetary aggregate M2 and the interest of loan. This connection resulted negatively correlated with GDP growth which began to grow after 2013 arriving at 3.84% on 2017, and positively correlated with M2 which has experienced a slight increase in these years; and interest of loans which is still low in Albania, decreasing from 2001 and on. These macroeconomic factors should be taken in consideration by Albanian authorities when compiling their plans and strategies.

Suggested Citation

  • Brikena Leka & Etleva Bajrami & Ejona Duci, 2019. "Key Macroeconomic Drivers on Reducing Non Performing Loans in Albania," Academic Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies, Richtmann Publishing Ltd, vol. 8, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:bjz:ajisjr:1777
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.richtmann.org/journal/index.php/ajis/article/view/10460
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.richtmann.org/journal/index.php/ajis/article/view/10460/10089
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Podpiera, Jiri & Weill, Laurent, 2008. "Bad luck or bad management? Emerging banking market experience," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 4(2), pages 135-148, June.
    2. Vasiliki Makri & Athanasios Tsagkanos & Athanasios Bellas, 2014. "Determinants of Non-Performing Loans: The Case of Eurozone," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 61(2), pages 193-206, March.
    3. Svetozar Tanasković & Maja Jandrić, 2015. "Macroeconomic and Institutional Determinants of Non-performing Loans," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 4(1), pages 47-62.
    4. Louzis, Dimitrios P. & Vouldis, Angelos T. & Metaxas, Vasilios L., 2012. "Macroeconomic and bank-specific determinants of non-performing loans in Greece: A comparative study of mortgage, business and consumer loan portfolios," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1012-1027.
    5. Vasiliki Makri & Athanasios Tsagkanos & Athanasios Bellas, 2014. "Determinants of Non-Performing Loans: The Case of Eurozone," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 61(2), pages 193-206.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Petr Jakubik & Eyup Kadioglu, 2022. "Factors affecting bank loan quality: a panel analysis of emerging markets," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 19(3), pages 437-458, July.
    2. Nguyen Kim Quoc Trung, 2021. "The relationship between internal control and credit risk – The case of commercial banks in Vietnam," Cogent Business & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(1), pages 1908760-190, January.
    3. Maria Karadima & Helen Louri, 2021. "Determinants of Non-Performing Loans in Greece: the intricate role of fiscal expansion," GreeSE – Hellenic Observatory Papers on Greece and Southeast Europe 160, Hellenic Observatory, LSE.
    4. Vuslat Us, 2017. "A dynamic approach to analysing the effect of the global crisis on nonperforming loans: evidence from the Turkish banking sector," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(3), pages 186-192, February.
    5. Aleksandra Ostrowska, 2023. "Makroekonomiczne determinanty jakości kredytów dla sektora niefinansowego w Polsce," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 54(5), pages 541-556.
    6. Konstantinos J. Liapis, 2018. "Managing NPEs Under Financial Crisis Conditions: A Synthetic Quick Approach," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(4), pages 688-713.
    7. Laxmi Koju & Ram Koju & Shouyang Wang, 2018. "Does Banking Management Affect Credit Risk? Evidence from the Indian Banking System," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-11, July.
    8. Gulati, Rachita & Goswami, Anju & Kumar, Sunil, 2019. "What drives credit risk in the Indian banking industry? An empirical investigation," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 43(1), pages 42-62.
    9. Candida Ferreira, 2023. "The Influence of Bank Performance, Market Condition and Economic Growth on Non-Performing Loansa," World Journal of Applied Economics, WERI-World Economic Research Institute, vol. 9(1), pages 77-98, June.
    10. Ghosh, Amit, 2017. "Sector-specific analysis of non-performing loans in the US banking system and their macroeconomic impact," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 29-45.
    11. Us, Vuslat, 2017. "Dynamics of non-performing loans in the Turkish banking sector by an ownership breakdown: The impact of the global crisis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 109-117.
    12. Vuslat Us, 2016. "Determinants of Non-Performing Loans in the Turkish Banking Sector : What Has Changed After the Global Crisis?," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1627, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    13. Škrabić Perić, Blanka & Rimac Smiljanić, Ana & Aljinović, Zdravka, 2018. "Credit risk of subsidiaries of foreign banks in CEE countries: Impacts of the parent bank and home country economic environment," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 49-69.
    14. Faaza Fakhrunnas & Rindang Nuri Isnaini Nugrohowati & Razali Haron & Mohammad Bekti Hendrie Anto, 2022. "The Determinants of Non-Performing Loans in the Indonesian Banking Industry: An Asymmetric Approach Before and During the Pandemic Crisis," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(2), pages 21582440221, June.
    15. Onkar Shivraj Swami & B. Nethaji & Jyoti Prakash Sharma, 2022. "Determining Risk Factors that Diminish Asset Quality of Indian Commercial Banks," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 23(2), pages 372-384, April.
    16. Changjun Zheng & Probir Kumar Bhowmik & Niluthpaul Sarker, 2019. "Industry-Specific and Macroeconomic Determinants of Non-Performing Loans: A Comparative Analysis of ARDL and VECM," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-17, December.
    17. Kolliopoulos, Athanasios, 2021. "Reforming the Greek financial system: a decade of failure," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 108523, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    18. Imad Jabbouri & Maryem Naili, 2020. "Determinants of Nonperforming Loans in Emerging Markets: Evidence from the MENA Region," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(04), pages 1-33, February.
    19. Shikha Goyal & Nikita Singhal & Nandita Mishra & Subhash Kumar Verma, 2023. "The impact of macroeconomic and institutional environment on NPL of developing and developed countries," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 9(1), pages 1-15, December.
    20. Cândida Ferreira, 2022. "Determinants of Non-performing Loans: A Panel Data Approach," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 28(3), pages 133-153, November.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bjz:ajisjr:1777. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Richtmann Publishing Ltd (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.richtmann.org/journal/index.php/ajis .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.