IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bgo/journl/v4y2020i2p271-290repec-bgo-.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

An Econometric Analysis on the Relationship of Economic Liberalization with Real Exchange Rate

Author

Listed:
  • Mehmet Barıs Aslan

    (Bingol University)

Abstract

The volatility in the real exchange rate may have a negative impact on many macroeconomic variables, primarily interest and inflation. The ability of economic managements to prevent such negative effects is directly proportional to their knowledge of the reasons for the volatility in the real exchange rate. When the literature on the subject is examined, mainly the studies on the relationship between openness and economic growth stand out. However, it is seen that there are not many study that dealing with the relationship between openness and the real exchange rate. Based on this, the aim of the study is to contribute to the literature in this sense by analyzing the effects of Turkey's openness on the real exchange rate. In the study using Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) time series method, quarterly data between 2004Q1-2018Q4 periods are used. The cointegration test result obtained from the study, taking a higher value than the upper value of the critical value of the F statistic shows that there is a long run cointegration relationship between the variables. The obtained results indicate that the coefficient of Turkey's long run financial and trade openness creates different effects on the real exchange rate. In addition, it is seen that the coefficients of both variables are statistically significant.

Suggested Citation

  • Mehmet Barıs Aslan, 2020. "An Econometric Analysis on the Relationship of Economic Liberalization with Real Exchange Rate," Bingol University Journal of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Bingol University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 4(2), pages 271-290, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:bgo:journl:v:4:y:2020:i:2:p:271-290repec/bgo/
    DOI: https://dx.doi.org/10.33399/biibfad.796452
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://repec.bingol.edu.tr/bgo/An%20Econometric%20Analysis%20on%20the%20Relationship%20of%20Economic%20Liberalization%20with%20Real%20Exchange%20Rate.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/https://dx.doi.org/10.33399/biibfad.796452?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Obstfeld, Maurice & Rogoff, Kenneth, 1995. "Exchange Rate Dynamics Redux," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 103(3), pages 624-660, June.
    2. Francisco Alcalá & Antonio Ciccone, 2004. "Trade and Productivity," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 119(2), pages 613-646.
    3. Buch, Claudia M. & Doepke, Joerg & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2005. "Financial openness and business cycle volatility," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(5), pages 744-765, September.
    4. Aizenman, Joshua, 2008. "On the hidden links between financial and trade opening," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(3), pages 372-386, April.
    5. Hau, Harald, 2002. "Real Exchange Rate Volatility and Economic Openness: Theory and Evidence," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 34(3), pages 611-630, August.
    6. Calderón, César & Kubota, Megumi, 2018. "Does higher openness cause more real exchange rate volatility?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 176-204.
    7. M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin & Richard J. Smith, 2001. "Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 289-326.
    8. Sofoklis Vogiazas & Constantinos Alexiou & Orafiri C. Ogan, 2019. "Drivers of the real effective exchange rates in high and upper‐middle income countries," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 58(1), pages 41-53, March.
    9. Islk, Nihat & Acar, Mustafa, 2005. "Openness and the Effects of Monetary Policy on the Exchange Rates: An Empirical Analysis," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 20, pages 52-67.
    10. Muhammad Zakaria & Ahmed Bilal Ghauri, 2011. "Trade Openness and Real Exchange Rate: Some Evidence from Pakistan," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 14(39), pages 201-229, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yin-Wong Cheung & Kon S. Lai, 2009. "A Multiple-Horizon Search for the Role of Trade and Financial Factors in Bilateral Real Exchange Rate Volatility," Journal of Economics and Management, College of Business, Feng Chia University, Taiwan, vol. 5(2), pages 187-218, July.
    2. SATO Kiyotaka & Shajuan ZHANG, 2019. "Do Exchange Rates Matter in Global Value Chains?," Discussion papers 19059, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    3. Al-Abri, Almukhtar, 2013. "Real exchange rate volatility, terms-of-trade shocks, and financial integration in primary-commodity exporting economies," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 120(1), pages 126-129.
    4. Trust R. Mpofu, 2021. "The determinants of real exchange rate volatility in South Africa," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(5), pages 1380-1401, May.
    5. Victor Shevchuk & Roman Kopych, 2021. "Exchange Rate Volatility, Currency Misalignment, and Risk of Recession in the Central and Eastern European Countries," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(5), pages 1-19, May.
    6. Vu Manh Hoai Nguyen & Tin Huu Ho & Luan Huynh Nguyen & An Thi Ha Pham, 2023. "The Impact of Trade Openness on Economic Stability in Asian Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(15), pages 1-20, July.
    7. Thi Hong Hanh Pham, 2018. "Liquidity and exchange rate volatility," Working Papers halshs-01708633, HAL.
    8. Yahui Yang & Zhe Peng, 2024. "Openness and Real Exchange Rate Volatility: Evidence from China," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 35(1), pages 121-158, February.
    9. Febrio Kacaribu & Syahda Sabrina & Teuku Riefky, 2021. "Does The Service Trade Openness Mitigate Real Exchange Rate Volatility?," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 24(2), pages 237-254, June.
    10. Zhang, Hao & Zhu, Jiaqing, 2022. "Does trade cause fear of appreciation?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 68-80.
    11. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2009-020 is not listed on IDEAS
    12. Chung-Fu Lai, 2016. "Tariff, Consumption Home Bias and Macroeconomic Dynamics," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 6(8), pages 425-444, August.
    13. Yuan, Shenguo & Wu, Zhouheng & Liu, Lanfeng, 2022. "The effects of financial openness and financial efficiency on Chinese macroeconomic volatilities," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    14. Chung-Fu Lai & Wen-Fang Wang, 2016. "Fiscal Policy in a Floating Exchange Rate Regime with Consumption Home Bias," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 8(6), pages 1-24, June.
    15. Zameelah Khan Jaffur & Boopen Seetanah & Noor-Ul-Hacq Sookia, 2020. "A cross-country analysis of the determinants of the real effective exchange rate in fifteen Sub-Saharan African countries," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(2), pages 1686-1697.
    16. Jordi Galí & Tommaso Monacelli, 2005. "Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Volatility in a Small Open Economy," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 72(3), pages 707-734.
    17. Mr. Marco Terrones & Mr. Eswar S Prasad & Mr. Ayhan Kose, 2003. "Financial Integration and Macroeconomic Volatility," IMF Working Papers 2003/050, International Monetary Fund.
    18. Lei Wang & Sana Ullah & Muhammad Tayyab Sohail, 2024. "Exchange rate volatility and green growth in China: does nonlinearity matter?," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 57(6), pages 1-26, December.
    19. Kose, M. Ayhan & Prasad, Eswar & Rogoff, Kenneth & Wei, Shang-Jin, 2010. "Financial Globalization and Economic Policies," Handbook of Development Economics, in: Dani Rodrik & Mark Rosenzweig (ed.), Handbook of Development Economics, edition 1, volume 5, chapter 0, pages 4283-4359, Elsevier.
    20. Francois, Joseph & Manchin, Miriam, 2013. "Institutions, Infrastructure, and Trade," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 165-175.
    21. Idris Abdullahi Abdulqadir, 2022. "The nonlinearity of exchange rate pass‐through on currency invoice: A quantile, generalized method of moments and threshold effect‐test from sub‐Sahara African economies," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 1473-1494, January.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economic liberalization; real exchange rate; ARDL boundary test approach;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bgo:journl:v:4:y:2020:i:2:p:271-290repec/bgo/. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Halim Tatli (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.