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Calibrated Probabilistic Mesoscale Weather Field Forecasting: The Geostatistical Output Perturbation Method

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  • Yulia Gel
  • Adrian E. Raftery
  • Tilmann Gneiting

Abstract

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  • Yulia Gel & Adrian E. Raftery & Tilmann Gneiting, 2004. "Calibrated Probabilistic Mesoscale Weather Field Forecasting: The Geostatistical Output Perturbation Method," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 99, pages 575-583, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:bes:jnlasa:v:99:y:2004:p:575-583
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    Cited by:

    1. Hu, Shuai & Xiang, Yue & Zhang, Hongcai & Xie, Shanyi & Li, Jianhua & Gu, Chenghong & Sun, Wei & Liu, Junyong, 2021. "Hybrid forecasting method for wind power integrating spatial correlation and corrected numerical weather prediction," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 293(C).
    2. Moreva, Olga & Schlather, Martin, 2023. "Bivariate covariance functions of Pólya type," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 194(C).
    3. Nabil Kahale, 2023. "Simulating Gaussian vectors via randomized dimension reduction and PCA," Papers 2304.07377, arXiv.org.
    4. Chris Matthew & Catalina Spataru, 2021. "Scottish Islands Interconnections: Modelling the Impacts on the UK Electricity Network of Geographically Diverse Wind and Marine Energy," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-21, May.
    5. Nabil Kahalé, 2019. "Efficient Simulation of High Dimensional Gaussian Vectors," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 44(1), pages 58-73, February.
    6. Jo Eidsvik & Sara Martino & Håvard Rue, 2009. "Approximate Bayesian Inference in Spatial Generalized Linear Mixed Models," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 36(1), pages 1-22, March.
    7. Gel, Yulia R. & Miao, Weiwen & Gastwirth, Joseph L., 2007. "Robust directed tests of normality against heavy-tailed alternatives," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(5), pages 2734-2746, February.
    8. Sevcíková, Hana & Raftery, Adrian E. & Waddell, Paul A., 2007. "Assessing uncertainty in urban simulations using Bayesian melding," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 41(6), pages 652-669, July.
    9. Tilmann Gneiting & Larissa Stanberry & Eric Grimit & Leonhard Held & Nicholas Johnson, 2008. "Rejoinder on: Assessing probabilistic forecasts of multivariate quantities, with an application to ensemble predictions of surface winds," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 17(2), pages 256-264, August.

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