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An Analysis Of The Effect Of Currency Mismatch On A Country’S Default Risk

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  • Irena Jankovic
  • Bosko Zivkovic

Abstract

The aim of this paper is the measurement of currency mismatch for a selected group of developing and frontier markets in the Central and Eastern Europe and Western Balkan regions and the analysis of the effects of aggregate currency misbalances on particular countries’ risk of default. The empirical tests provided confirm the positive effect of currency mismatch on default risk, which is reflected in the behaviour of yield spreads on the government bonds of the countries under consideration. The higher the negative currency misbalances are, the higher the EMBI spreads appear to be, and vice versa.

Suggested Citation

  • Irena Jankovic & Bosko Zivkovic, 2014. "An Analysis Of The Effect Of Currency Mismatch On A Country’S Default Risk," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 59(201), pages 85-122, April – J.
    • Handle: RePEc:beo:journl:v:59:y:2014:i:201:p:85-122
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Scott Regifère MOUANDAT, 2022. "Asymétrie des Monnaies : Quel Effet sur la Dette Publique des pays membres de la CEMAC ?," Journal of Academic Finance, RED research unit, university of Gabes, Tunisia, vol. 13(1), pages 62-83, June.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Currency Mismatch; Default Risk; EMBI Spreads;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt

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