IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bcp/journl/v8y2024i3sp3884-3896.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Public Budget Deficit and Economic Growth in Nigeria: Evidence from NARDL Approach

Author

Listed:
  • USMAN, Jabir Muhammed

    (Department of Economics, Mewar International University, Masaka Nigeria.)

  • AGUNBIADE, Olabode

    (Department of Economics, Mewar International University, Masaka Nigeria.)

  • AKUSO, Jonah

    (Department of Economics, Mewar International University, Masaka Nigeria.)

Abstract

The study examines public budget deficit financing and economic growth in Nigeria using time series data for the period of 1986 to 2021. The study uses Non-Linear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) as its estimation technique. Dialectically, the study reveals that public budget deficit financing sources such as; treasury bills, treasury bonds, multilateral debt, bilateral debt, oil revenue to total revenue ratio, non-oil revenue to total revenue ratio and external reserve had significant positive and negative impacts on economic growth in the Nigerian economy within the study period. However, specifically, public budget deficit financing sources such as; treasury bills, treasury bonds, oil revenue to total revenue ratio, non-oil revenue to total revenue ratio and external reserve have asymmetric impacts on economic growth in the Nigerian economy within the period under review. The study concludes that the imposition of a linear symmetric in modeling public budget deficit financing in the country could be misleading as far as Nigerian economy is concerned. Hence, the use of NARDL model for public budget deficit financing contributes to the understanding of the nonlinear dynamics between public budget deficit financing and economic growth, thereby leading to more effective and efficient forecasting and policymaking. The study recommends that government at all tiers in the country should maintain high level of fiscal discipline in order to ensure optimal utilization of treasury bills, treasury bonds, oil revenue to total revenue ratio, non-oil revenue to total revenue ratio and external reserve towards realizing the desired level of economic growth in the Nigerian economy.

Suggested Citation

  • USMAN, Jabir Muhammed & AGUNBIADE, Olabode & AKUSO, Jonah, 2024. "Public Budget Deficit and Economic Growth in Nigeria: Evidence from NARDL Approach," International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS), vol. 8(3s), pages 3884-3896, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:bcp:journl:v:8:y:2024:i:3s:p:3884-3896
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.rsisinternational.org/journals/ijriss/Digital-Library/volume-8-issue-3s/3884-3896.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://rsisinternational.org/journals/ijriss/articles/public-budget-deficit-and-economic-growth-in-nigeria-evidence-from-nardl-approach/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Pal, Debdatta & Mitra, Subrata K., 2016. "Asymmetric oil product pricing in India: Evidence from a multiple threshold nonlinear ARDL model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 314-328.
    2. Acha, Ikechukwu A & Essien, Joseph M, 2018. "The Economic Growth Imperative of Foreign Portfolio Investment for Nigeria," Noble International Journal of Economics and Financial Research, Noble Academic Publsiher, vol. 3(6), pages 71-77, June.
    3. Siew-Pong Cheah & Thian-Hee Yiew & Cheong-Fatt Ng, 2017. "A nonlinear ARDL analysis on the relation between stock price and exchange rate in Malaysia," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 37(1), pages 336-346.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yingce Yang & Junjie Guo & Ruihong He, 2023. "The Asymmetric Impact of the Oil Price and Disaggregate Shocks on Economic Policy Uncertainty: Evidence From China," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(2), pages 21582440231, June.
    2. Salisu, Afees A. & Ademuyiwa, Idris & Isah, Kazeem O., 2018. "Revisiting the forecasting accuracy of Phillips curve: The role of oil price," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 334-356.
    3. Abdhut Deheri & Stefy Carmel, 2024. "Do fluctuations in global crude oil prices have an asymmetric effect on oil product pricing in India?," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 57(1), pages 1-22, February.
    4. LIU Nan & SATO Kiyotaka, 2024. "Asymmetric Exchange Rate Pass-through between Unexpected Yen Appreciation and Depreciation: The case for Japanese machinery exports," Discussion papers 24008, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    5. Bisharat Hussain Chang & Omer Faruk Derindag & Nuri Hacievliyagil & Mehmet Canakci, 2022. "Exchange rate response to economic policy uncertainty: evidence beyond asymmetry," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 9(1), pages 1-14, December.
    6. Kang, Wensheng & de Gracia, Fernando Perez & Ratti, Ronald A., 2019. "The asymmetric response of gasoline prices to oil price shocks and policy uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 66-79.
    7. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Hadiseh Fariditavana, 2019. "How sensitive are the U.S. inpayments and outpayments to real exchange rate changes: an asymmetry analysis," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 16(4), pages 619-647, October.
    8. Xiaohui GONG & Bisharat Hussain CHANG & Xi CHEN & Kaiyang ZHONG, 2023. "Asymmetric Effects of Exchange Rates on Energy Demand in E7 Countries: New Evidence from Multiple Thresholds Nonlinear ARDL Model," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 125-142, June.
    9. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Muhammad Shafiullah & Faridul Islam, 2017. "The Bilateral J-Curve in Australia: A Nonlinear Reappraisal," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 56(3), pages 249-269, September.
    10. Lavisa Tala, 2024. "Economic Growth Effects of Fiscal Policy in South Africa: Empirical Evidence from Personal Income Tax," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 14(3), pages 1-11, May.
    11. Uche, Emmanuel & Ihezukwu, Veronica Adaku & Osunkwo, Folusho Olufunke Chinyere & Okoronkwo, Chijioke, 2021. "Does Oil Consumption Respond Asymmetrically to Oil Price, Exchange Rate and Income Differentials?," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 55(2), pages 51-63.
    12. Youshu Li & Junjie Guo, 2022. "The asymmetric impacts of oil price and shocks on inflation in BRICS: a multiple threshold nonlinear ARDL model," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(12), pages 1377-1395, March.
    13. Mohamed Ali Chroufa & Nouri Chtourou, 2023. "Asymmetric relationship between exchange rate and inflation in Tunisia: fresh evidence from multiple-threshold NARDL model and Granger quantile causality," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(7), pages 1-21, July.
    14. Emmanuel Uche & Bisharat Hussain Chang & Lionel Effiom, 2023. "Household consumption and exchange rate extreme dynamics: Multiple asymmetric threshold non‐linear autoregressive distributed lag model perspective," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(3), pages 3437-3450, July.
    15. Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen & Aftab, Muhammad, 2018. "Asymmetric effects of exchange rate changes on the Malaysia-China commodity trade," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 42(3), pages 470-486.
    16. Raza, Syed Ali & Guesmi, Khaled & Belaid, Fateh & Shah, Nida, 2022. "Time-frequency causality and connectedness between oil price shocks and the world food prices," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    17. Sy-Hoa Ho & Jamel Saadaoui, 2021. "Symmetric and asymmetric effects of exchange rates on money demand: empirical evidence from Vietnam," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(34), pages 3948-3961, July.
    18. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Hanafiah Harvey, 2018. "Do inpayments and outpayments respond to exchange rate changes asymmetrically: Evidence from Malaysia," The International Trade Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(4), pages 317-342, August.
    19. Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen & Harvey, Hanafiah & Hegerty, Scott W., 2017. "The Japanese trade balance and asymmetric effects of yen fluctuations: Evidence using nonlinear methods," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 15(C), pages 56-63.
    20. Engy Raouf, 2020. "A Non-Linear Autoreggresive Distributed Lag Analysis of the Triple Deficit Hypothesis in the Mena Region," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 10(8), pages 895-905, August.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bcp:journl:v:8:y:2024:i:3s:p:3884-3896. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Dr. Pawan Verma (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://rsisinternational.org/journals/ijriss/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.