IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bcp/journl/v8y2024i12p4024-4036.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Empirical Analysis of the Impact of External Debt on Capital Formation in Sub-Saharan Africa: The Moderating Role of Institutional Quality

Author

Listed:
  • Yusuf Shamsuddeen Nadabo

    (Department of Economics, Umaru Musa Yar’adua University, Katsina)

  • Muhammad Mustapha Abdullahi

    (Department of Economics, Umaru Musa Yar’adua University, Katsina)

Abstract

This study examines the nexus between external debt and capital formation in sub-Saharan African countries, with a focus on the role of institutional quality as a moderator. The analysis covered from 1998 to 2023, using two-step system GMM, panel quantile regression, dynamic threshold estimator and cross-sectional dependence test. The results showed that external debt has a negative impact on capital formation, but this effect is moderated by institutional quality. The study also found that the benefits of debt can be realized in sub-Saharan Africa when the average institutional quality is above a certain threshold. Specifically, countries with strong institutional quality can use debt effectively to promote efficient resource allocation and attract further investment. Therefore, policymakers are encouraged to implement debt management strategies and institutional reforms, such as reducing corruption, improving effective governance, and strengthening the rule of law, to ensure transparency in debt utilization and maintain a sustainable debt level. This will create a more favorable environment for both domestic and foreign investment.

Suggested Citation

  • Yusuf Shamsuddeen Nadabo & Muhammad Mustapha Abdullahi, 2024. "Empirical Analysis of the Impact of External Debt on Capital Formation in Sub-Saharan Africa: The Moderating Role of Institutional Quality," International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS), vol. 8(12), pages 4024-4036, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:bcp:journl:v:8:y:2024:i:12:p:4024-4036
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.rsisinternational.org/journals/ijriss/Digital-Library/volume-8-issue-12/4024-4036.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://rsisinternational.org/journals/ijriss/articles/empirical-analysis-of-the-impact-of-external-debt-on-capital-formation-in-sub-saharan-africa-the-moderating-role-of-institutional-quality/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Dollar, David & Kraay, Aart, 2003. "Institutions, trade, and growth : revisiting the evidence," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3004, The World Bank.
    2. Bahal, Girish & Raissi, Mehdi & Tulin, Volodymyr, 2018. "Crowding-out or crowding-in? Public and private investment in India," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 323-333.
    3. Laurent Kemoe & Emmanuel K.K. Lartey, 2022. "Public debt, institutional quality and growth in sub-Saharan Africa: a threshold analysis," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(2), pages 222-244, March.
    4. John C. Driscoll & Aart C. Kraay, 1998. "Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation With Spatially Dependent Panel Data," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 80(4), pages 549-560, November.
    5. Yusuf Shamsuddeen Nadabo, 2023. "Revisiting the nexus between remittances and financial sector development in Nigeria," Economic Journal of Emerging Markets, Universitas Islam Indonesia, vol. 15(2), pages 115-128.
    6. António Afonso & Eduardo Rodrigues, 2024. "Is public investment in construction and in R&D, growth enhancing? A PVAR approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(24), pages 2875-2899, May.
    7. Jean Claude Kouakou Brou & Mamadou Thiam, 2023. "External debt and capital flight in sub-Saharan Africa: The role of institutions," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 43(4), pages 1642-1655.
    8. Edi Harsono & Andi Kusumawati & Nirwana Nirwana, 2023. "External Debt Determinants: Do Macroeconomic and Institutional Ones Matter for Selected ASEAN Developing Countries?," Economies, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-17, December.
    9. Seo, Myung Hwan & Shin, Yongcheol, 2016. "Dynamic panels with threshold effect and endogeneity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 195(2), pages 169-186.
    10. Muhammad Mustapha Abdullahi & Nor Aznin Bt Abu Bakar & Sallahuddin B. Hassan, 2016. "Debt Overhang versus Crowding Out Effects: Understanding the Impact of External Debts on Capital Formation in Theory," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 6(1), pages 271-278.
    11. Taner Turan & Halit Yanıkkaya, 2021. "External debt, growth and investment for developing countries: some evidence for the debt overhang hypothesis," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 20(3), pages 319-341, September.
    12. Dobdinga Cletus Fonchamnyo & Gildas Dohba Dinga & Vahsegmi Carolle Ngum, 2021. "Revisiting the nexus between domestic investment, foreign direct investment and external debt in SSA countries: PMG‐ARDL approach," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 33(3), pages 479-491, September.
    13. Dinci J. Penzin & Afees Salisu & Benedict N.Akanegbu, 2022. "A Note On Public Debt-Private Investment Nexus In Emerging Economies," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 25(1), pages 25-36, June.
    14. Siew Yee Lau & Ai Lian Tan & Chung Yee Liew, 2019. "The Asymmetric Link between Public Debt and Private Investment in Malaysia," Malaysian Journal of Economic Studies, Faculty of Business and Economics, University of Malaya & Malaysian Economic Association, vol. 56(2), pages 327-342, December.
    15. Krugman, Paul, 1988. "Financing vs. forgiving a debt overhang," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 253-268, November.
    16. Kaya, Ilker & Kaya, Ozgur, 2020. "Foreign aid, institutional quality and government fiscal behavior in emerging economies: An empirical investigation," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 59-67.
    17. Mabula, Salyungu & Mutasa, Felician, 2019. "The Effect of Public Debt on Private Investment in Tanzania," African Journal of Economic Review, African Journal of Economic Review, vol. 7(01), January.
    18. Kouakou Jean Claude Brou & M. Thiam, 2023. "External debt and capital flight in sub-Saharan Africa: The role of institutions [Dette extérieure et fuite des capitaux en Afrique subsaharienne : Le rôle des institutions]," Post-Print hal-04540643, HAL.
    19. Walid BENAYED & Foued Badr GABSI & Samia OMRANE BELGUITH, 2015. "Threshold Effect of Public Debt on Domestic Investment: Evidence from Selected African Countries," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(4(605), W), pages 189-198, Winter.
    20. Claessens, Stijn & Detragiache, Enrica & Kanbur, Ravi & Wickham, Peter, 1996. "Analytical aspects of the debt problems of heavily indebted poor countries," Policy Research Working Paper Series 1618, The World Bank.
    21. Zunaira Aman & Brigitte Granville & Sushanta K. Mallick & Ilayda Nemlioglu, 2024. "Does greater financial openness promote external competitiveness in emerging markets? The role of institutional quality," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1), pages 486-510, January.
    22. Bai, Ye & Banerji, Sanjay & Wang, Zilong & Zhang, Wenjing, 2024. "Can participation in IMF programs facilitate sovereign debt rescheduling? The role of program size," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    23. Charles O Manasseh & Felicia C Abada & Ebelechukwu L Okiche & Ogochukwu Okanya & Ifeoma C Nwakoby & Peter Offu & Anuli R Ogbuagu & Chiedozie O Okafor & Paul C Obidike & Nnenna G Nwonye, 2022. "External debt and economic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa: Does governance matter?," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 17(3), pages 1-28, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Obaike John Ojeka & Tajudeen Egbetunde & Gideon Oseibibi Okoduwa & Aisha Omobolanle Ojeyode & Mumuni Jimoh & Gideon Oladele Ogunbowale, 2024. "Moderating effect of institutional quality on the influence of debt on investment in sub-Saharan Africa," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 10(1), pages 1-17, December.
    2. Dinci J. Penzin & Afees Salisu & Benedict N.Akanegbu, 2022. "A Note On Public Debt-Private Investment Nexus In Emerging Economies," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 25(1), pages 25-36, June.
    3. Sofia São Marcos & Sofia Vale, 2024. "Is there a nonlinear relationship between public investment and private investment? Evidence from 21 Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development countries," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1), pages 887-902, January.
    4. TOGBENU, Fo-kossi Edem & Kadanga, Mayo Takémsi Norris, 2024. "Un réexamen de l’effet de seuil de la dette publique sur la croissance économique en Afrique subsaharienne [A reevaluation of the threshold effect of public debt on economic growth in Sub-Saharan A," MPRA Paper 120429, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Hasse, Jean-Baptiste & Lecourt, Christelle & Siagh, Souhila, 2024. "Setting up a sovereign wealth fund to reduce currency crises," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    6. Ralf Hepp, 2005. "Can Debt Relief Buy Growth?," International Finance 0510003, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Paulo André Camuri & Frederico G. Jayme Jr. & Ana Maria Hermeto, 2015. "Fiscal consolidation in developed and emerging economies [Fiscal consolidation in developed and emerging economies]," Nova Economia, Economics Department, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (Brazil), vol. 25(spe), pages 835-861, December.
    8. Maket, Isaiah, 2024. "Rethinking energy poverty alleviation through financial inclusion: Do institutional quality and climate change risk matter?," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    9. Bhattacharya, Rudrani & C. Prasanth & Rao, R. Kavita, 2024. "How much Debt is Optimal for the Major Indian States? Economic Growth vs. Debt Sustainability," Working Papers 24/411, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
    10. Marco Arnone & Luca Bandiera & Andrea Presbitero, 2005. "External Debt Sustainability: Theory and Empirical Evidence," International Finance 0512007, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Muhammad Dawood & Zhao Rui Feng & Muhammad Ilyas & Ghulam Abbas, 2024. "External Debt, Transmission Channels, and Economic Growth: Evidence of Debt Overhang and Crowding-Out Effect," SAGE Open, , vol. 14(3), pages 21582440241, July.
    12. Caner, Mehmet & Fan, Qingliang & Grennes, Thomas, 2021. "Partners in debt: An endogenous non-linear analysis of the effects of public and private debt on growth," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 694-711.
    13. repec:dau:papers:123456789/4089 is not listed on IDEAS
    14. Olaoye, Olumide O. & Eluwole, Oluwatosin O. & Ayesha, Aziz & Afolabi, Olugbenga O., 2020. "Government spending and economic growth in ECOWAS: An asymmetric analysis," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 22(C).
    15. Adeniyi, Oluwatosin & Adekunle, Wasiu & Orekoya, Samuel, 2018. "Non-linear Relation between External Debt and Economic Growth in Nigeria: Does the Investment Channel Matter?," MPRA Paper 99975, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 07 Apr 2019.
    16. Alexander Chudik & Kamiar Mohaddes & M. Hashem Pesaran & Mehdi Raissi, 2017. "Is There a Debt-Threshold Effect on Output Growth?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 99(1), pages 135-150, March.
    17. Adegboyega Raymond Rahaj, 2018. "Eternal Debt and Economic Growth in Nigeria: An ARDL Approach," Acta Universitatis Danubius. OEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 14(4), pages 581-596, AUGUST.
    18. Emmanuel Mensah & Joseph Kwadwo Tuffour & Mamdouh Abdulaziz Saleh Al-Faryan, 2023. "Does macroeconomic misery index matter in the micro firm-level earnings Management – performance nexus? Evidence from dynamic Panel threshold regression," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(2), pages 2289321-228, October.
    19. Iordanis Kalaitzoglou & Beatrice Durgheu, 2016. "Financial growth and Economic Growth in Europe : Is the Euro Beneficial for All Countries?," Post-Print hal-00859252, HAL.
    20. Maier, Rolf, 2005. "External Debt and Pro-Poor Growth," Proceedings of the German Development Economics Conference, Kiel 2005 23, Verein für Socialpolitik, Research Committee Development Economics.
    21. Hilary Clistina Ingham, 2018. "Economic Growth in the EU: Is Flexicurity a Help or a Hindrance?," Working Papers 238220512, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bcp:journl:v:8:y:2024:i:12:p:4024-4036. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Dr. Pawan Verma (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://rsisinternational.org/journals/ijriss/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.