IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bcp/journl/v7y2023i8p1713-1726.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Impact of Covid 19 on Stock Market and Exchange Rate in Nigeria

Author

Listed:
  • Bala-Keffi, Ladi. R

    (Central Bank of Nigeria)

  • Oboh, Victor. U

    (Central Bank of Nigeria)

  • Imam, Shamsuddeen. Z

    (Central Bank of Nigeria)

  • Vanni, Eguolo. M

    (Central Bank of Nigeria)

  • Bikefe, Grace. G

    (Central Bank of Nigeria)

  • Okoronkwo, Chinecherem.D

    (Central Bank of Nigeria)

  • Joshua, Adams. N

    (Central Bank of Nigeria)

  • Yusuf, Danjuma.S

    (Central Bank of Nigeria)

Abstract

The study investigates the impact of COVID–19 on the stock market and exchange rate in Nigeria. To achieve this objective, the impulse response function of the Toda-Yamamoto model (TY Model), and the variance decomposition were applied to all-share index, exchange rate, oil prices and Covid-19 cases. The impulse response function reveals that all-share index and exchange rate respond negatively to COVID-19 shocks. More so, the forecast variance decomposition revealed that the impact of COVID-19 pandemic on stock market was minimal. In general, the study found evidence of poor performance in the stock market and depreciation of exchange rate due to fall in oil prices. The study recommends effective exchange rate management during periods of crisis, and the diversification of the economy to broaden export base to mitigate the effect of exchange rate changes on the stock market and other sectors of the economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Bala-Keffi, Ladi. R & Oboh, Victor. U & Imam, Shamsuddeen. Z & Vanni, Eguolo. M & Bikefe, Grace. G & Okoronkwo, Chinecherem.D & Joshua, Adams. N & Yusuf, Danjuma.S, 2023. "Impact of Covid 19 on Stock Market and Exchange Rate in Nigeria," International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS), vol. 7(8), pages 1713-1726, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:bcp:journl:v:7:y:2023:i:8:p:1713-1726
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.rsisinternational.org/journals/ijriss/Digital-Library/volume-7-issue-8/1713-1726.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.rsisinternational.org/journals/ijriss/articles/impact-of-covid-19-on-stock-market-and-exchange-rate-in-nigeria/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Topcu, Mert & Gulal, Omer Serkan, 2020. "The impact of COVID-19 on emerging stock markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    2. Zhang, Dayong & Hu, Min & Ji, Qiang, 2020. "Financial markets under the global pandemic of COVID-19," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    3. Toda, Hiro Y. & Yamamoto, Taku, 1995. "Statistical inference in vector autoregressions with possibly integrated processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 66(1-2), pages 225-250.
    4. Ozili, Peterson K, 2020. "Covid-19 pandemic and economic crisis: The Nigerian experience and structural causes," MPRA Paper 99424, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. K.P. Prabheesh & Sanjiv Kumar, 2021. "The Dynamics of Oil Prices, Exchange Rates, and the Stock Market Under COVID-19 Uncertainty - Evidence From India," Energy RESEARCH LETTERS, Asia-Pacific Applied Economics Association, vol. 2(3), pages 1-6.
    6. Peterson K. Ozili, 2020. "COVID-19 pandemic and economic crisis: the Nigerian experience and structural causes," Journal of Economic and Administrative Sciences, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 37(4), pages 401-418, October.
    7. David Edgerton & Ghazi Shukur, 1999. "Testing autocorrelation in a system perspective testing autocorrelation," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(4), pages 343-386.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Shah, Sayar Ahmad & Garg, Bhavesh, 2023. "Testing policy effectiveness during COVID-19: An NK-DSGE analysis," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    2. Mert Topcu & Ibrahim Yagli & Furkan Emirmahmutoglu, 2021. "COVID-19 and stock market volatility: A time-varying perspective," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 41(3), pages 1681-1689.
    3. Keh, Chia-Guan & Tan, Yan-Teng, 2021. "COVID 19: The Impact of Government Policy Responses on Economic Activity and Stock Market Performance in Malaysia," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 55(1), pages 123-133.
    4. Cornelius O. Okorie & Christopha C. Arua & Felix M. Nwankwo, 2023. "Nigerian State and Rent-Dependent Economy: An Exposition of Vision 2020 Policy Strategies for Future Sustainable Development," International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS), vol. 7(3), pages 1330-1345, March.
    5. Mahata, Ajit & Rai, Anish & Nurujjaman, Md. & Prakash, Om, 2021. "Modeling and analysis of the effect of COVID-19 on the stock price: V and L-shape recovery," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 574(C).
    6. Prelorentzos, Arsenios-Georgios N. & Konstantakis, Konstantinos N. & Michaelides, Panayotis G. & Xidonas, Panos & Goutte, Stephane & Thomakos, Dimitrios D., 2024. "Introducing the GVAR-GARCH model: Evidence from financial markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    7. Ștefan Cristian Gherghina & Daniel Ștefan Armeanu & Camelia Cătălina Joldeș, 2020. "Stock Market Reactions to COVID-19 Pandemic Outbreak: Quantitative Evidence from ARDL Bounds Tests and Granger Causality Analysis," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(18), pages 1-35, September.
    8. Shaturaev, Jakhongir, 2023. "Impact of Covid-19 on stock market volatility-A Bangladesh Perspective," MPRA Paper 118207, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 10 Mar 2023.
    9. Jialei Jiang & Eun-Mi Park & Seong-Taek Park, 2021. "The Impact of the COVID-19 on Economic Sustainability—A Case Study of Fluctuation in Stock Prices for China and South Korea," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-17, June.
    10. Peng, Yi-Ting & Chang, Tsangyao & Ranjbar, Omid & Xiang, Feiyun, 2024. "Has the COVID-19 pandemic shock transmitted to the u.s. stock market: Evidence using bootstrap (A)symmetric fourier granger causality test in quantiles," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    11. Kumeka, Terver Theophilus & Uzoma-Nwosu, Damian Chidozie & David-Wayas, Maria Onyinye, 2022. "The effects of COVID-19 on the interrelationship among oil prices, stock prices and exchange rates in selected oil exporting economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    12. Katarzyna Czech & Michał Wielechowski & Pavel Kotyza & Irena Benešová & Adriana Laputková, 2020. "Shaking Stability: COVID-19 Impact on the Visegrad Group Countries’ Financial Markets," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(15), pages 1-19, August.
    13. Lütkepohl,Helmut & Krätzig,Markus (ed.), 2004. "Applied Time Series Econometrics," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521547871, October.
    14. Yilanci, Veli & Kilci, Esra N., 2021. "The role of economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk in predicting prices of precious metals: Evidence from a time-varying bootstrap causality test," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    15. Deev, Oleg & Plíhal, Tomáš, 2022. "How to calm down the markets? The effects of COVID-19 economic policy responses on financial market uncertainty," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    16. Stefanescu Razvan & Dumitriu Ramona, 2021. "The Extended Holiday Effects on Bucharest Stock Exchange during Coronavirus Pandemic," Risk in Contemporary Economy, "Dunarea de Jos" University of Galati, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, pages 293-303.
    17. Sanjay Kumar Rout & Hrushikesh Mallick, 2022. "Sovereign Bond Market Shock Spillover Over Different Maturities: A Journey from Normal to Covid-19 Period," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 29(4), pages 697-734, December.
    18. Elgammal, Mohammed M. & Ahmed, Walid M.A. & Alshami, Abdullah, 2021. "Price and volatility spillovers between global equity, gold, and energy markets prior to and during the COVID-19 pandemic," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    19. Wang, Zhixuan & Dong, Yanli & Liu, Ailan, 2022. "How does China's stock market react to supply chain disruptions from COVID-19?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    20. Joseph B. Ajefu & Ayse Demir & Padmali Rodrigo, 2023. "Covid-19-induced Shocks, Access to Basic Needs and Coping Strategies," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 35(6), pages 1347-1368, December.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bcp:journl:v:7:y:2023:i:8:p:1713-1726. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Dr. Pawan Verma (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://rsisinternational.org/journals/ijriss/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.