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La relación virtuosa de la seguridad y la inversión extranjera directa en Colombia (1994-2013)

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  • Catalina Gómez Toro

    (Universidad EAFIT)

Abstract

Este artículo considera el PIB, la inversión extranjera directa y el crimen en Colombia, entre 1994 y 2013, para explorar relaciones que se pueden presentar entre ellas, teniendo en cuenta un índice de criminalidad, que agrupa delitos de alto impacto. La hipótesis es que las mejores condiciones de seguridad en el país durante la década anterior, que se evidencia con la reducción del índice de criminalidad, favorecieron el incremento en la inversión extranjera, lo que posibilita finalmente un mayor desarrollo económico y social en el largo plazo. Para contrastar la hipótesis, se utiliza un modelo ARIMA-ARCH que recoge la volatilidad y la inercia de las variables, encontrando una relación inversa entre el crimen y la inversión extranjera; una relación directa entre la inversión extranjera y el producto; y una relación inversa entre el indicador de crimen y el producto del país.

Suggested Citation

  • Catalina Gómez Toro, 2014. "La relación virtuosa de la seguridad y la inversión extranjera directa en Colombia (1994-2013)," Ensayos de Política Económica, Departamento de Investigación Francisco Valsecchi, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Pontificia Universidad Católica Argentina., vol. 2(2), pages 62-87, Octubre.
    • Handle: RePEc:atw:epecon:v:2:y:2014:i:2:p:62-87
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Violencia; inversión extranjera directa; índice de criminalidad; Colombia;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • K42 - Law and Economics - - Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior - - - Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law
    • F20 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - General
    • C43 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Index Numbers and Aggregation

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