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Prognozowanie w obszarze zakupu nieruchomości w Polsce na 2021 rok w aspekcie bezpieczeństwa ekonomicznego

Author

Listed:
  • Bartosz Kozicki
  • Szymon Mitkow
  • Bogdan Sowa

Abstract

W opracowaniu wykonano analizę ceny 1 m2 powierzchni użytkowej budynku mieszkalnego oddanego do użytkowania w Polsce w ujęciu kwartalnym od 1999 do 2020 roku. Wykryto prawidłowości w postaci trendu. Został on potwierdzony zbudowanym modelem zero-jedynkowym regresji wielorakiej złożonym z dziewięciu predyktorów. Wielokrotny R2 tego modelu wyniósł 0,96. Dodatkowo model posłużył do wykonania prognozowania ceny 1 m2 powierzchni użytkowej budynku mieszkalnego oddanego do użytkowania w Polsce w ujęciu kwartalnym na rok 2021. Ostatnim etapem badań była ocena uzyskanej prognozy, poprzez wyliczenie miernika MAPE.

Suggested Citation

  • Bartosz Kozicki & Szymon Mitkow & Bogdan Sowa, 2021. "Prognozowanie w obszarze zakupu nieruchomości w Polsce na 2021 rok w aspekcie bezpieczeństwa ekonomicznego," Nowoczesne Systemy Zarządzania. Modern Management Systems, Military University of Technology, Faculty of Security, Logistics and Management, Institute of Organization and Management, issue 2, pages 23-37.
    • Handle: RePEc:aou:nszioz:y:2021:i:2:p:23-37
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. ., 2021. "Five Ps for the Next Pandemic," Chapters, in: Pandemic Economics, chapter 7, pages 147-168, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    2. ., 2021. "The coronavirus pandemic and international trade policy," Chapters, in: Navigating the Free Trade–Fair Trade Fault-Lines, chapter 0, pages 89-107, Edward Elgar Publishing.
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