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Linking Money Supply With The Gross Domestic Product In Romania

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  • Daniela Zapodeanu
  • Mihail Ioan Cociuba

Abstract

Evolution of money supply and gross domestic product are in a close relationship, in this paper we analysis this relationship in order to construct a function which will explicit this connection for Romania. Evolution of gross domestic product is one with a seasonal component so from the data series we will be eliminating seasonality with the X-12 ARIMA method. Analyzing the data of money supply (M3) and of GDP over ten years through the Augmented Dickey-Fuller we obtained that both series are non-stationary. Applying the co-integration analysis method Engle- Granger we conclude that the two series have a cointegration relationship between them. We will propose a model explanation of the link between the two sets of data type, a DVAR model.

Suggested Citation

  • Daniela Zapodeanu & Mihail Ioan Cociuba, 2010. "Linking Money Supply With The Gross Domestic Product In Romania," Annales Universitatis Apulensis Series Oeconomica, Faculty of Sciences, "1 Decembrie 1918" University, Alba Iulia, vol. 1(12), pages 1-50.
    • Handle: RePEc:alu:journl:v:1:y:2010:i:12:p:50
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Bernd Hayo, 2000. "The demand for money in Austria," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 25(4), pages 581-603.
    2. Pop Silaghi, Monica Ioana, 2009. "Exports-Economic Growth Causality: Evidence from CEE Countries," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 6(2), pages 105-117, June.
    3. Ozturk, Ilhan & Acaravci, Ali, 2008. "The Demand for Money in Transition Economies," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 5(2), pages 35-43, June.
    4. Adrian Blundell-Wignall & M. Rondoni & Helmut Ziegelschmidt, 1984. "The Demand for Money and Velocity in Major OECD Countries," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 13, OECD Publishing.
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    Cited by:

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    4. Joof, Foday, 2021. "The Co-Movement between Foreign Reserves, Economic Growth and Money Supply: Evidence from the WAMZ Countries," MPRA Paper 110193, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    money supply (M3); GDP; seasonality; stationarity; cointegration; DVAR.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation

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