IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/aio/rteyej/v1y2011i16p176-187.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Influence Of The Macroeconmic Situation In The Value Of The Sytematic Credit Risk In Albania. An Statistical Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Anila Mançka

    (University “Fan S. Noli” Faculty of Economy Korçë, Albania)

Abstract

The study presents the results of a statistical analysis of the macroeconomic impact in the credit risk in Albania. The purpose of the analysis is the determination of macroeconomic factors that had a significant impact on systematic credit risk in Albania. The analysis resulted that the depreciation of the currency in relation to the euro led to a worsening of financial situation of borrowers who have a loan in Euros, increasing the possibility of default loans. The world financial crisis has adversely affected our banking system, reducing the loans offered and worsening macroeconomic indicators. High inflation and GDP change also had a significant impact on the deterioration of the quality of the banking portfolio. By statistical analysis resulted in the period taken into account, the credit risk in Albania is not influenced by interest rates, export-imports, the unemployment rate and the exchange rate of the dollar.

Suggested Citation

  • Anila Mançka, 2011. "The Influence Of The Macroeconmic Situation In The Value Of The Sytematic Credit Risk In Albania. An Statistical Analysis," Revista Tinerilor Economisti (The Young Economists Journal), University of Craiova, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, vol. 1(16), pages 176-187, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:aio:rteyej:v:1:y:2011:i:16:p:176-187
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://feaa.ucv.ro/RTE/016-21.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Guttentag, Jack & Herring, Richard, 1984. "Credit Rationing and Financial Disorder," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 39(5), pages 1359-1382, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Bouvatier, Vincent & Lepetit, Laetitia, 2008. "Banks' procyclical behavior: Does provisioning matter?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 18(5), pages 513-526, December.
    2. Edwin Dickens, 1999. "A Political-Economic Critique of Minsky's Financial Instability Hypothesis: The case of the 1966 financial crisis," Review of Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(4), pages 379-398.
    3. Hott, C., 2011. "Lending behavior and real estate prices," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(9), pages 2429-2442, September.
    4. Nancy Masschelein, 2007. "Monitoring pro-cyclicality under the capital requirements directive : preliminary concepts for developing a framework," Working Paper Document 120, National Bank of Belgium.
    5. Davis, E. Philip & Karim, Dilruba, 2008. "Comparing early warning systems for banking crises," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 4(2), pages 89-120, June.
    6. Gerhard Clemenz & Mona Ritthaler, 1992. "Credit markets with asymmetric information : a survey," Finnish Economic Papers, Finnish Economic Association, vol. 5(1), pages 12-26, Spring.
    7. Berlinger, Edina, 2017. "Implicit rating: A potential new method to alert crisis on the interbank lending market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 277-283.
    8. Gabriel Jiménez & Jesús Saurina, 2006. "Credit Cycles, Credit Risk, and Prudential Regulation," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 2(2), May.
    9. Ebrahimi Kahou, Mahdi & Lehar, Alfred, 2017. "Macroprudential policy: A review," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 92-105.
    10. Gabriel Jiménez & Steven Ongena & José-Luis Peydró & Jesús Saurina, 2017. "Macroprudential Policy, Countercyclical Bank Capital Buffers, and Credit Supply: Evidence from the Spanish Dynamic Provisioning Experiments," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 125(6), pages 2126-2177.
    11. Abuzayed, Bana & Ben Ammar, Mouldi & Molyneux, Philip & Al-Fayoumi, Nedal, 2024. "Corruption, lending and bank performance," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 802-830.
    12. Sherrill Shaffer & Scott Hoover, 2008. "Endogenous screening, credit crunches, and competition in laxity," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 17(4), pages 296-314, December.
    13. Alfonso Palacio Vera, 2008. "The "New consensus"and the Post-Keynesian approach to the analysis of liquidity traps," Documentos de trabajo de la Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales 08-03, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales.
    14. Jiri Podpiera & Laurent Weill, 2010. "Measuring Excessive Risk-Taking in Banking," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 60(4), pages 294-306, November.
    15. Rajiv Sethi, 1995. "The Evolutionary Dynamics Of Financial Practices," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(3), pages 246-277, October.
    16. Eichengreen, Barry & Portes, Richard, 1986. "The Anatomy of Financial Crises," CEPR Discussion Papers 130, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    17. Vihriälä, Vesa, 1997. "Banks and the Finnish credit cycle 1986-1995," Bank of Finland Scientific Monographs, Bank of Finland, volume 0, number sm1997_007, July.
    18. De Bandt, Olivier & Hartmann, Philipp, 2000. "Systemic risk: A survey," Working Paper Series 35, European Central Bank.
    19. Eleftherios Fotios Aggelopoulos & Vasilios Giannopoulos & Evgenia Mpourou, 2016. "Credit Provision Strategy during Financial Crisis Using Bank Accounting Data," Accounting and Finance Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 5(4), pages 137-137, November.
    20. Fernando, Chitru S. & Herring, Richard J. & Subrahmanyam, Avanidhar, 2008. "Common liquidity shocks and market collapse: Lessons from the market for perps," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(8), pages 1625-1635, August.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    financial crisis; modern portfolio theory; macroeconomic factors; credit risk factors; Albania banking system.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E02 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - Institutions and the Macroeconomy
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:aio:rteyej:v:1:y:2011:i:16:p:176-187. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Ionascu Costel (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/fecraro.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.