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Volatility Nexus Between Stock Market And Macroeconomic Variables In Bangladesh: An Extended Garch Approach

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  • Md. Abu HASAN
  • Anita ZAMAN

Abstract

This paper examines the volatility of the Bangladesh stock market returns in response to the volatility of the macroeconomic variables employing monthly data of general index of Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) and four macroeconomic variables (Call Money Rate, Crude Oil Price, Exchange Rate and SENSEX of Bombay Stock Exchange) from January 2001 to December 2015. The results of GARCH-S models reveal that the volatility of DSE return is significantly guided by the volatility of macroeconomic variables, such as, exchange rate and SENSEX. Specifically, volatility of the DSE is expected to 19% increase by 1% increase of exchange rate. Moreover, the volatility of the Bangladesh stock market returns is expected to dampen down by 2% with an increase in the volatility of Indian stock market of 1%. Thus, we can comment that adding exchange rate or stock returns of India in the GARCH model provides significant knowledge about the behavior of the DSE volatility. JEL Codes - C32, C58, G10, G12

Suggested Citation

  • Md. Abu HASAN & Anita ZAMAN, 2017. "Volatility Nexus Between Stock Market And Macroeconomic Variables In Bangladesh: An Extended Garch Approach," Scientific Annals of Economics and Business (continues Analele Stiintifice), Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, vol. 64(2), pages 233-243, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:aic:saebjn:v:64:y:2017:i:2:p:233-243:n:69
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Stock Market; Macroeconomic Variables; Volatility; GARCH;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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