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Forecasting exchange rate volatility using conditional variance models selected by information criteria

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  • Brooks, Chris
  • Burke, Simon P.

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  • Brooks, Chris & Burke, Simon P., 1998. "Forecasting exchange rate volatility using conditional variance models selected by information criteria," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 61(3), pages 273-278, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:61:y:1998:i:3:p:273-278
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    1. Cao, C Q & Tsay, R S, 1992. "Nonlinear Time-Series Analysis of Stock Volatilities," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 7(S), pages 165-185, Suppl. De.
    2. Sin, Chor-Yiu & White, Halbert, 1996. "Information criteria for selecting possibly misspecified parametric models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 71(1-2), pages 207-225.
    3. West, Kenneth D. & Cho, Dongchul, 1995. "The predictive ability of several models of exchange rate volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 69(2), pages 367-391, October.
    4. Bollerslev, Tim, 1986. "Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 307-327, April.
    5. Bollerslev, Tim & Chou, Ray Y. & Kroner, Kenneth F., 1992. "ARCH modeling in finance : A review of the theory and empirical evidence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 52(1-2), pages 5-59.
    6. Akgiray, Vedat, 1989. "Conditional Heteroscedasticity in Time Series of Stock Returns: Evidence and Forecasts," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 62(1), pages 55-80, January.
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    1. Md. Abu HASAN & Anita ZAMAN, 2017. "Volatility Nexus Between Stock Market And Macroeconomic Variables In Bangladesh: An Extended Garch Approach," Scientific Annals of Economics and Business (continues Analele Stiintifice), Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, vol. 64(2), pages 233-243, June.
    2. Liviu-Stelian BEGU & Silvia Spataru & Erika Marin, 2012. "Investigating The Evolution Of Ron/Eur Exchange Rate: The Choice Of Appropriate Model," Journal of Social and Economic Statistics, Bucharest University of Economic Studies, vol. 1(2), pages 23-39, DECEMBER.
    3. Yamaka, Woraphon & Zhang, Xuefeng & Maneejuk, Paravee & Ramos, Vicente, 2023. "Asymmetric effects of third-country exchange rate risk: A Markov switching approach," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    4. Franses,Philip Hans & Dijk,Dick van, 2000. "Non-Linear Time Series Models in Empirical Finance," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521770415, October.
    5. Matei, Marius, 2010. "Risk analysis in the evaluation of the international investment opportunities. Advances in modelling and forecasting volatility for risk assessment purposes," Working Papers of Institute for Economic Forecasting 100201, Institute for Economic Forecasting.
    6. Brooks, Chris & Burke, Simon P. & Persand, Gita, 2001. "Benchmarks and the accuracy of GARCH model estimation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 45-56.
    7. Gabriel Rodríguez & Junior A. Ojeda Cunya & José Carlos Gonzáles Tanaka, 2019. "An empirical note about estimation and forecasting Latin American Forex returns volatility: the role of long memory and random level shifts components," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 18(2), pages 107-123, June.
    8. Shaun Bond & Stephen Satchell, 2006. "Asymmetry and downside risk in foreign exchange markets," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(4), pages 313-332.
    9. Balaban, Ercan, 2004. "Comparative forecasting performance of symmetric and asymmetric conditional volatility models of an exchange rate," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 83(1), pages 99-105, April.
    10. Lin, Boqiang & Wesseh, Presley K., 2013. "What causes price volatility and regime shifts in the natural gas market," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 553-563.
    11. Neeti Mathur & Himanshu Mathur, 2020. "Application of GARCH Models For Volatility Modelling of Stock Market Returns: Evidences From BSE India," Proceedings of Business and Management Conferences 10112533, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
    12. Reschenhofer, Erhard & Mangat, Manveer Kaur & Stark, Thomas, 2020. "Volatility forecasts, proxies and loss functions," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 133-153.
    13. Ercan Balaban & Asli Bayar & Robert Faff, 2006. "Forecasting stock market volatility: Further international evidence," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(2), pages 171-188.
    14. Alessandra Pasqualina Viola & Marcelo Cabus Klotzle & Antonio Carlos Figueiredo Pinto & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone, 2017. "Predicting Exchange Rate Volatility in Brazil: an approach using quantile autoregression," Working Papers Series 466, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    15. Sohn, So Young & Lim, Michael, 2007. "Hierarchical forecasting based on AR-GARCH model in a coherent structure," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 176(2), pages 1033-1040, January.
    16. Sharma, Prateek & Vipul,, 2016. "Forecasting stock market volatility using Realized GARCH model: International evidence," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 222-230.
    17. Prateek Sharma & Vipul _, 2015. "Forecasting stock index volatility with GARCH models: international evidence," Studies in Economics and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 32(4), pages 445-463, October.
    18. Wu, Xinyu & Xie, Haibin & Zhang, Huanming, 2022. "Time-varying risk aversion and renminbi exchange rate volatility: Evidence from CARR-MIDAS model," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    19. S. M. Abdullah & Salina Siddiqua & Muhammad Shahadat Hossain Siddiquee & Nazmul Hossain, 2017. "Modeling and forecasting exchange rate volatility in Bangladesh using GARCH models: a comparison based on normal and Student’s t-error distribution," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 3(1), pages 1-19, December.

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