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Projected Cropland Requirements And Land Availability For Major U.S. Production Regions

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  • Santana, Carlos Augusto M.
  • Adams, Richard M.

Abstract

The decade of the 70's witnessed an expansion in U.S. cropped acreage in response to rising foreign demand. During this same period, substantial acreages of cropland were converted to non-agricultural uses. An issue arising from these land adjustments is whether available cropland will constrain agricultural production in the near future? This paper provides some insight by developing cropland requirements to meet 1985 demand for major U.S. commodities and then compares these projections with recent data in cropland availability. The results indicate that agricultural production should not be constrained by land availability at the national level, even in the event of high demand levels and slowed yield growth. When the analysis is extended to specific farm production regions, some shifts in production are suggested.

Suggested Citation

  • Santana, Carlos Augusto M. & Adams, Richard M., 1981. "Projected Cropland Requirements And Land Availability For Major U.S. Production Regions," Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 6(1), pages 1-14, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:wjagec:32075
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.32075
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. W. E. Johnston & G. S. Tolley, 1966. "Future Cropland Requirements and Projection Sensitivity," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 48(3_Part_I), pages 597-612.
    2. Marvin R. Duncan & C. Edward Harshbarger, 1979. "Agricultural productivity: trends and implications for the future," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, vol. 64(Sep), pages 1-12.
    3. Matthews, Jimmy L., 1973. "Conditional Market Forecasts and Implications for the U.S. Soybean Economy," Miscellaneous Publications 324757, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    4. Cotner, Melvin L., 1976. "Land Use Policy and Agriculture: A National Perspective," Miscellaneous Publications 329562, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    5. Cotner, M. L. & Skold, M. D. & Krause, O., 1975. "Farmland: Will There Be Enough?," Miscellaneous Publications 327291, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    Keywords

    Land Economics/Use;

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