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U.S. Grain Exports and the Value of the Dollar

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  • Haley, Stephen L.
  • Krissoff, Barry

Abstract

This article exammes the changes in grain exports from 1973 to 1985 A stmpltfied three-country trade model is introduced as a framework for analyzing U S gram trade, world gram trade, and market price when changes in two real effective exchange rates occur an exchange rate based on US trade with grain importers and an exchange rate based on global trade of grain competitors Although collitnearty in the data series makes implementatton of the theoretical model difficult, evidence suggests that the cumulative effect of a 1-percent depreciation (appreciation) in the value of the dollar was to expand (contract) U S wheat exports in the range of 2 3 percent and to expand feed grain exports in the range of 14 percent Wheat exports have adjusted to real exchange rate changes only over a long period of 10 -12 quarters Feed grain exports have been quicker to adjust to real exchange rate changes, but there are itgnificant lagged effects

Suggested Citation

  • Haley, Stephen L. & Krissoff, Barry, 1987. "U.S. Grain Exports and the Value of the Dollar," Journal of Agricultural Economics Research, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, vol. 39(2), pages 1-10.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:uersja:136715
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.136715
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Dutton, John & Grennes, Thomas, 1985. "Measurement of Effective Exchange Rates Appropriate for Agricultural Trade," Department of Economics and Business - Archive 259748, North Carolina State University, Department of Economics.
    2. Pagano, Marcello & Hartley, Michael J., 1981. "On fitting distributed lag models subject to polynomial restrictions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 171-198, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Hiemstra, Stephen W. & Shane, Mathew, 1988. "Monetary Factors Influencing GATT Negotiations on Agriculture," Foreign Agricultural Economic Report (FAER) 147990, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    2. Haley, Stephen L., 1987. "Conceptual Model Of Competitiveness And Comparative Advantage In Agricultural 4 -5-71 Trade," Staff Reports 277948, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    3. Roger Claassen & Richard Horan, 2001. "Uniform and Non-Uniform Second-Best Input Taxes," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 19(1), pages 1-22, May.
    4. Krissoff, Barry & Morey, Art, 1986. "The Dollar Turnaround And U.S. Agricultural Exports," Staff Reports 277923, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    5. Andino, Jose & Mulik, Kranti & Koo, Won W., 2005. "The Impact Of Brazil And Argentina'S Currency Devaluation On U.S. Soybean Trade," Agribusiness & Applied Economics Report 23486, North Dakota State University, Department of Agribusiness and Applied Economics.
    6. Larson, Donald W. & Bittencourt, Maurício Vaz Lobo & Thompson, Stanley R., 2005. "An Examination of the Impacts of Exchange Rate Volatility on Sectoral Trade in the Mercosur," 2005 Annual meeting, July 24-27, Providence, RI 19572, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    7. Haley, Stephen L. & Krissoff, Barry, 1988. "The Value Of The Dollar And Competitiveness Of U.S. Wheat Exports: Further Evidence," Staff Reports 278031, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    8. Titus O. Awokuse & Yan Yuan, 2006. "The impact of exchange rate volatility on U.S. poultry exports," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(2), pages 233-245.
    9. Yuan, Yan & Awokuse, Titus O., 2003. "Exchange Rate Volatility And U.S. Poultry Exports: Evidence From Panel Data," 2003 Annual meeting, July 27-30, Montreal, Canada 22083, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).

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