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Impacts of the Brazilian Ethanol Program on the World Ethanol and Sugar Market: An Econometric Simulation Approach

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  • Koizumi, Tatsuji
  • Yanagishima, Koji

Abstract

The sugar market in Brazil is closely related to the ethanol market. Although the Brazilian government has abolished all sugar market intervention measures, it still retains control over the ethanol-gasoline blend ratio. In this study, we investigate the implications of a change in this blend ratio on the world ethanol and sugar markets－particularly in terms of production, consumption, exports and imports－by applying a newly developed World Ethanol-Sugar Market Model. Our simulation suggests moderate impacts on world ethanol and sugar markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Koizumi, Tatsuji & Yanagishima, Koji, 2005. "Impacts of the Brazilian Ethanol Program on the World Ethanol and Sugar Market: An Econometric Simulation Approach," Japanese Journal of Agricultural Economics (formerly Japanese Journal of Rural Economics), Agricultural Economics Society of Japan (AESJ), vol. 7, pages 1-17.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:jpjjre:242149
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.242149
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    Cited by:

    1. Jacinto F. Fabiosa & John C. Beghin & Fengxia Dong & JAmani Elobeid & Simla Tokgoz & Tun-Hsiang Yu, 2010. "Land Allocation Effects of the Global Ethanol Surge: Predictions from the International FAPRI Model," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 86(4), pages 687-706.
    2. Simla Tokgoz & Amani Elobeid, 2006. "Analysis of the Link between Ethanol, Energy, and Crop Markets, An," Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) Publications (archive only) 06-wp435, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University.
    3. Simla Tokgoz & Amani Elobeid & Jacinto Fabiosa & Dermot J. Hayes & Bruce A. Babcock & Tun-Hsiang (Edward) Yu & Fengxia Dong & Chad E. Hart, 2008. "Bottlenecks, Drought, and Oil Price Spikes: Impact on U.S. Ethanol and Agricultural Sectors," Review of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 30(4), pages 604-622.
    4. Cockburn, John & Decaluwé, Bernard & Fofana, Ismaël & Robichaud, Véronique, 2008. "Trade, Growth and Gender in Developing Countries: A Comparison of Ghana, Honduras, Senegal and Uganda," Conference papers 331676, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    5. Koizumi, Tatsuji & Ohga, Keiji, 2008. "Impacts of the Brazilian Bio-Diesel Program on the World Soybean and Soybean Products Market: An Econometric Simulation Approach," Japanese Journal of Agricultural Economics (formerly Japanese Journal of Rural Economics), Agricultural Economics Society of Japan (AESJ), vol. 10, pages 1-21.
    6. Koizumi, Tatsuji & Ohga, Keiji, 2009. "Impact of the Expansion of Brazilian FFV Utilization and U.S. Biofuel Policy Amendment on the World Sugar and Corn Markets: An Econometric Simulation Approach," Japanese Journal of Agricultural Economics (formerly Japanese Journal of Rural Economics), Agricultural Economics Society of Japan (AESJ), vol. 11, pages 1-24.
    7. Koizumi, Tatsuji & Ohga, Keiji, 2006. "Impacts of the Chinese Fuel-Ethanol Program on the World Corn Market: An Econometric Simulation Approach," Japanese Journal of Agricultural Economics (formerly Japanese Journal of Rural Economics), Agricultural Economics Society of Japan (AESJ), vol. 8, pages 1-15.
    8. Peters, May & Somwaru, Agapi & Hansen, James M. & Seeley, Ralph & Dirkse, Steve, 2009. "Modeling Biofuels Expansion in a Changing Global Environment," 2009 Conference, August 16-22, 2009, Beijing, China 51732, International Association of Agricultural Economists.

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    Keywords

    International Relations/Trade;

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