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The Potential Effects on United States Agriculture of an Avian Influenza Outbreak

Author

Listed:
  • Brown, Scott
  • Madison, Daniel
  • Goodwin, Harold L., Jr.
  • Clark, F. Dustan

Abstract

The U.S. poultry industry has spent considerable resources to date preparing for an outbreak of avian influenza in this country. This research quantifies the potential effects of two alternative avian influenza scenarios on the poultry industry. In addition, this research looks at effects on other agriculture sectors including the loss of feed demand from an outbreak and the impacts on aggregate measures like farm income and consumer food expenditures. The economic sector model maintained by the Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) is employed for these scenarios.

Suggested Citation

  • Brown, Scott & Madison, Daniel & Goodwin, Harold L., Jr. & Clark, F. Dustan, 2007. "The Potential Effects on United States Agriculture of an Avian Influenza Outbreak," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 39(2), pages 1-9, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:joaaec:6516
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.6516
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Liang, Jing, 2010. "Three essays on food safety and foodborne illness," ISU General Staff Papers 201001010800002782, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    2. Lukáš ČECHURA & Tereza TAUSSIGOVÁ, 2013. "Avian influenza and structural change in the Czech poultry industry," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 59(1), pages 38-47.
    3. Lan Yi & Jianping Tao & Caifeng Tan & Zhongkun Zhu, 2019. "Avian Influenza, Public Opinion, and Risk Spillover: Measurement, Theory, and Evidence from China’s Broiler Market," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-44, April.
    4. Shockley, Jordan M. & Mark, Tyler & Burdine, Kenneth H. & Russell, Levi, 2020. "Financial Implications from Contracting Avian Inflfluenza in a U.S. Broiler Operation," Journal of Applied Farm Economics, Purdue University, vol. 3(1), January.
    5. Longworth, Natasha & Jongeneel, Roel A. & Saatkamp, Helmut W., 2021. "Management of Disease-triggered Shocks in Complex Value Chains: An Ex Ante Analysis of Market Effects of HPAI Control in the Dutch Egg Supply Chain," International Journal on Food System Dynamics, International Center for Management, Communication, and Research, vol. 12(03), September.
    6. Elbakidze, Levan, 2008. "Modeling of Avian Influenza Mitigation Policies Within the Backyard Segment of the Poultry Sector," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 33(2), pages 1-17.
    7. Hassouneh, Islam & Radwan, Amr & Serra, Teresa & Gil, José M., 2012. "Food scare crises and developing countries: The impact of avian influenza on vertical price transmission in the Egyptian poultry sector," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 264-274.
    8. Ning Xie & Yurong Zhu & Heng Liu & Feng Ye & Xiaochun Liu, 2024. "Impacts of Different Epidemic Outbreaks on Broiler Industry Chain Price Fluctuations in China: Implications for Sustainable Food Development," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(14), pages 1-17, July.

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