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Stochastic Dominance in Wheat Variety Development and Release Strategies

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  • Dahl, Bruce L.
  • Wilson, William W.
  • Nganje, William E.

Abstract

Variety development and release decisions involve tradeoffs between yields and characteristics valued by end-users, as well as uncertainties about agronomic, quality, and economic variables. In this study, methods are developed to determine the value of varieties to growers and end-users including the effects of variability in economic, agronomic, and quality variables. The application is to hard red spring (HRS) wheat, a class of wheat for which these tradeoffs and risks are particularly apparent. Results indicate two experimental varieties provide improvements in grower and end-user value, relative to incumbents. Stochastic dominance techniques and statistical tests are applied to determine efficient sets and robustness of the results. A risk-adjusted portfolio model, which simultaneously incorporates correlations between grower and end-use characteristics, is also developed to compare the portfolio value of varieties.

Suggested Citation

  • Dahl, Bruce L. & Wilson, William W. & Nganje, William E., 2004. "Stochastic Dominance in Wheat Variety Development and Release Strategies," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 29(01), pages 1-18, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:jlaare:31141
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.31141
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Dahl, Bruce & Wilson, William W., 2018. "Risk premiums due to Fusarium Head Blight (FHB) in wheat and barley," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 145-153.
    2. Park, Seong Cheol & Vitale, Jeffrey D. & Turner, Jason Clemn & Stoecker, Arthur L. & Hattey, Jeffory A., 2011. "Economic Potential of Swine Effluent in Intensified Forage Systems in the Southern Plains," Journal of the ASFMRA, American Society of Farm Managers and Rural Appraisers, vol. 2011, pages 1-22, June.
    3. William W. Wilson & Wesley Wilson & Bruce Dahl, 2009. "Protein and the demand for hard wheats ," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 53(2), pages 285-303, April.
    4. Wilson, William W. & McKee, Greg & Nganje, William & Dahl, Bruce & Bangsund, Dean, 2017. "Economic Impact of USWBSI’s Scab Initiative to Reduce FHB," Agribusiness & Applied Economics Report 264672, North Dakota State University, Department of Agribusiness and Applied Economics.
    5. Chang, Hung-Hao & Wen, Fang-I, 2008. "Off-farm Work, Technical Efficiency, and Production Risk: Empirical Evidence from a National Farmer Survey in Taiwan," 2008 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2008, Orlando, Florida 6164, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    6. Park, Seong Cheol & Cho, Jaesung & Bevers, Stanley J. & Amosson, Stephen H. & Rudd, Jackie C., 2012. "Dryland Wheat variety selection in the Texas High Plain," 2012 Annual Meeting, February 4-7, 2012, Birmingham, Alabama 119658, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.

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    Crop Production/Industries;

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