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Können Produktionsentscheidungen als Investitionsentscheidungen modelliert werden?

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  • Mann, Stefan
  • Mack, Gabriele
  • Ferjani, Ali

Abstract

Interviews with Swiss farmers lead to the hypotheses that production decisions, also in crop growing, are not made annually, but similarly to investment decisions in the long run. This hypothesis is backed by non-parametric time-series analysis for Switzerland and Germany. This creates a theoretical basis for combining Positive Mathematical Programming with flexibility constraints in optimization models. Results of the forecasting model SILAS show that forecasting quality is improved through this approach.

Suggested Citation

  • Mann, Stefan & Mack, Gabriele & Ferjani, Ali, 2003. "Können Produktionsentscheidungen als Investitionsentscheidungen modelliert werden?," German Journal of Agricultural Economics, Humboldt-Universitaet zu Berlin, Department for Agricultural Economics, vol. 52(07), pages 1-9.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:gjagec:98078
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.98078
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Bahner, Titus, 1995. "Landwirtschaftliche Betriebsgestaltung nach persönlichen Zahlen," German Journal of Agricultural Economics, Humboldt-Universitaet zu Berlin, Department for Agricultural Economics, vol. 44(10).
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    Cited by:

    1. Latruffe, Laure & Mann, Stefan, 2015. "Labour constraints on choosing profitable products for part-time farmers in Swiss agriculture," Bio-based and Applied Economics Journal, Italian Association of Agricultural and Applied Economics (AIEAA), vol. 4(2), pages 1-15, August.
    2. Heckelei, Thomas & Britz, Wolfgang & Zhang, Yinan, 2012. "Positive Mathematical Programming Approaches – Recent Developments in Literature and Applied Modelling," Bio-based and Applied Economics Journal, Italian Association of Agricultural and Applied Economics (AIEAA), vol. 1(1), pages 1-16, April.
    3. Flury, Christian & Mack, Gabriele & Rieder, Peter & Pfefferli, S., 2005. "Modeling the Liberalisation of the Milk Market in Switzerland," 2005 International Congress, August 23-27, 2005, Copenhagen, Denmark 24507, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    4. Jennifer Schweiger & Ali Ferjani & Achim Spiller, 2010. "Agentenbasierte Abschätzung der Wirtschaft-lichkeit von transgenen Kulturen anhand von Beispielbetrieben in einer Schweizer Ackerbau-region," Journal of Socio-Economics in Agriculture (Until 2015: Yearbook of Socioeconomics in Agriculture), Swiss Society for Agricultural Economics and Rural Sociology, vol. 3(1), pages 3-37.
    5. Mack, Gabriele & Ferjani, Ali & Mohring, Anke & Zimmerman, Albert & Mann, Stefan, 2015. "How did farmers act? An ex-post validation of normative and positive mathematical programming for an agent-based sector model," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 212201, International Association of Agricultural Economists.

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    Keywords

    Farm Management;

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