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Mit Optimierungsansätzen bessere Entscheidungen treffen? – Eine empirische Analyse in einem Planspiel

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  • Schönau, F.
  • Mußhoff, O.

Abstract

In diesem Beitrag wird der Frage nachgegangen, inwieweit Optimierungsansätze wie lineare Programmierungsmodelle geeignet sind, bessere Entscheidungen als reale Entscheider zu treffen. Auch beleuchtet werden Unterschiede im Entscheidungsverhalten und in den Produktionsstrategien. Dazu lassen wir ein gemischt-ganzzahliges lineares Programmierungsmodell (LP) und ein mehrperiodisches gemischt-ganzzahliges Programmierungsmodell (MLP) in einem Unternehmensplanspiel mit studentischen Teilnehmern konkurrieren. Es zeigt sich, dass die getesteten Optimierungsansätze tatsächlich erfolgreicher sind als die realen Entscheider im Durchschnitt. Allerdings übertreffen einzelne reale Entscheider die unter Anwendung von Optimierungsmodellen bestimmten Spielstrategien. Die Modelle wählen Produktionsstrategien, die sich zum Teil sehr stark von denen ihrer realen Konkurrenten unterscheiden. Inwieweit diese Ergebnisse aus dem Kontext der stark vereinfachten Planspielsituation auf reale wirtschaftliche Entscheidungssituationen übertragbar sind, muss noch geklärt werden.
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Suggested Citation

  • Schönau, F. & Mußhoff, O., 2012. "Mit Optimierungsansätzen bessere Entscheidungen treffen? – Eine empirische Analyse in einem Planspiel," Proceedings “Schriften der Gesellschaft für Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften des Landbaues e.V.”, German Association of Agricultural Economists (GEWISOLA), vol. 47, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:gewipr:260615
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.260615
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    3. Kathrin Happe, 2005. "Agricultural policies and farm structures - agent-based simulation and application to EU-policy reform," Others 0504011, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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