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A Study on Forecasting Prices of Groundnut Oil in Delhi by Arima Methodology and Artificial Neural Networks

Author

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  • Mishra, G. C.
  • Singh, A.

Abstract

Forecasting of prices of commodities specially those of agricultural commodities is very difficult because they are not only governed by demand and supply but by so many other factors which are beyond control like weather vagaries, storage capacity, transportation etc. In this paper times series namely ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) methodology given by Box and Jenkins has been used for forecasting prices of edible oils and this approach has been compared with ANN (Artificial Neural Network) methodology.

Suggested Citation

  • Mishra, G. C. & Singh, A., 2013. "A Study on Forecasting Prices of Groundnut Oil in Delhi by Arima Methodology and Artificial Neural Networks," AGRIS on-line Papers in Economics and Informatics, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Faculty of Economics and Management, vol. 5(3), pages 1-10, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:aolpei:157527
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.157527
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Makridakis, Spyros & Hibon, Michele, 2000. "The M3-Competition: results, conclusions and implications," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 16(4), pages 451-476.
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    5. Jeffrey H. Dorfman & Christopher S. McIntosh, 1990. "Results of a Price Forecasting Competition," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 72(3), pages 804-808.
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    Cited by:

    1. Sulaiman, H. & Malec, K. & Maitah, Mansoor, 2014. "Appropriate tools of Marketing Information System for Citrus Crop in the Lattakia Region, R. A. SYRIA," AGRIS on-line Papers in Economics and Informatics, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Faculty of Economics and Management, vol. 6(3), pages 1-10, September.
    2. Papagera, A. & Ioannou, K. & Zaimes, G. & Iakovoglou, V. & Simeonidou, M., 2014. "Simulation and Prediction of Water Allocation Using Artificial Neural Networks and a Spatially Distributed Hydrological Model," AGRIS on-line Papers in Economics and Informatics, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Faculty of Economics and Management, vol. 6(4), pages 1-11, December.
    3. Yu Zhao & Xi Zhang & Zhongshun Shi & Lei He, 2017. "Grain Price Forecasting Using a Hybrid Stochastic Method," Asia-Pacific Journal of Operational Research (APJOR), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 34(05), pages 1-24, October.

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