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Influence of weather shocks and coping strategies on food consumption: Evidence from rural Niger

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  • Gao, Jianfeng
  • Mills, Bradford F.

Abstract

Weather is an important determinant of household well-being in rural Sub-Saharan Africa. This paper explores the relationship between novel measures of cropping-season weather conditions and household food consumption in rural Niger, and how household coping mechanisms mediate that relationship. We employ a panel logit model to show that the normalised difference vegetation index (NDVI) and extreme heat degree day (EHDD) measures are associated with subjective self-reporting of drought in a panel dataset of 2 264 households. We then show, with a household fixed-effects panel model, that low NDVI and high EHDD measures are associated with significant decreases in household per capita food consumption. Household coping strategies, such as the disbursement of savings, temporary migration of a family member, and the adoption of heat-resistant agricultural technologies, are found to partially mitigate, but not fully alleviate, the negative effects of weather shocks on consumption. More comprehensive coping mechanisms are needed to improve household resilience to weather shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Gao, Jianfeng & Mills, Bradford F., 2021. "Influence of weather shocks and coping strategies on food consumption: Evidence from rural Niger," African Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, African Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 16(3), September.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:afjare:333948
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.333948
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Westenbarger, David A. & Frisvold, George B., 1995. "Air Pollution And Farm-Level Crop Yields: An Empirical Analysis Of Corn And Soybeans," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 24(2), pages 1-10, October.
    2. Lei Pan, 2009. "Risk Pooling through Transfers in Rural Ethiopia," Economic Development and Cultural Change, University of Chicago Press, vol. 57(4), pages 809-835, July.
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    4. Kathleen Lawlor & Sudhanshu Handa & David Seidenfeld, 2019. "Cash Transfers Enable Households to Cope with Agricultural Production and Price Shocks: Evidence from Zambia," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(2), pages 209-226, February.
    5. Aker, Jenny C. & Ninno, Carlo del & Dorosh, Paul A. & Mulder-Sibanda, Menno & Razmara, Setareh, 2009. "Niger - Food security and safety nets," Social Protection Discussion Papers and Notes 91576, The World Bank.
    6. Zhang, Peng & Zhang, Junjie & Chen, Minpeng, 2017. "Economic impacts of climate change on agriculture: The importance of additional climatic variables other than temperature and precipitation," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 8-31.
    7. Oscar J. Cacho & Jonathan Moss & Philip K. Thornton & Mario Herrero & Ben Henderson & Benjamin L. Bodirsky & Florian Humpenöder & Alexander Popp & Leslie Lipper, 2020. "The value of climate-resilient seeds for smallholder adaptation in sub-Saharan Africa," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 162(3), pages 1213-1229, October.
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    Cited by:

    1. Romuald S Kinda & Hajer Kratou, 2023. "Climatic variability, remittances and household consumption volatility In developing countries," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 43(1), pages 38-52.

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