Prediction and Inference in the Hubbert-Deffeyes Peak Oil Model
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
Download full text from publisher
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.
References listed on IDEAS
- Eyal Dvir & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2009.
"Three Epochs of Oil,"
NBER Working Papers
14927, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Eyal Dvir & Ken Rogoff, 2009. "The Three Epochs of Oil," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 706, Boston College Department of Economics.
- Olivier J. Blanchard & Jordi Gali, 2007.
"The Macroeconomic Effects of Oil Shocks: Why are the 2000s So Different from the 1970s?,"
NBER Working Papers
13368, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Blanchard, Olivier & GalÃ, Jordi, 2008. "The Macroeconomic Effects of Oil Shocks: Why are the 2000s so Different from the 1970s?," CEPR Discussion Papers 6631, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- David C. Wyld, 2010. "ASecond Lifefor organizations?: managing in the new, virtual world," Management Research Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 33(6), pages 529-562, May.
- Joseph E. Stiglitz, 1974. "Growth with Exhaustible Natural Resources: The Competitive Economy," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 41(5), pages 139-152.
- Bradley, Paul G, 1973. "Increasing Scarcity: The Case of Energy Resources," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 63(2), pages 119-125, May.
- James L. Smith, 2009.
"World Oil: Market or Mayhem?,"
Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 23(3), pages 145-164, Summer.
- James L. Smith, 2008. "World Oil: Market or Mayhem?," Working Papers 0815, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research.
- Slade, Margaret E., 1982. "Trends in natural-resource commodity prices: An analysis of the time domain," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 9(2), pages 122-137, June.
- Harold Hotelling, 1931. "The Economics of Exhaustible Resources," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 39(2), pages 137-137.
- Olivier J. Blanchard & Jordi Galí, 2007.
"The Macroeconomic Effects of Oil Price Shocks: Why Are the 2000s so Different from the 1970s?,"
NBER Chapters, in: International Dimensions of Monetary Policy, pages 373-421,
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Olivier J. Blanchard & Jordi Galí, 2007. "The Macroeconomic Effects of Oil Price Shocks: Why are the 2000s so different from the 1970s?," Working Papers 0711, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research.
- Olivier J. Blanchard & Jordi Galí, 2007. "The macroeconomic effects of oil price shocks: Why are the 2000s so different from the 1970s?," Economics Working Papers 1045, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Oct 2008.
- Joseph Stiglitz, 1974. "Growth with Exhaustible Natural Resources: Efficient and Optimal Growth Paths," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 41(5), pages 123-137.
- Rosenberg, Nathan, 1973. "Innovative Responses to Materials Shortages," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 63(2), pages 111-118, May.
- Considine, Timothy J. & Dalton, Maurice, 2008. "Peak Oil in a Carbon Constrained World," International Review of Environmental and Resource Economics, now publishers, vol. 1(4), pages 327-365, February.
- H. Scott Gordon, 1954. "The Economic Theory of a Common-Property Resource: The Fishery," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Chennat Gopalakrishnan (ed.), Classic Papers in Natural Resource Economics, chapter 9, pages 178-203, Palgrave Macmillan.
- Nordhaus, William D, 1973. "World Dynamics: Measurement Without Data," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 83(332), pages 1156-1183, December.
- Lutz Kilian, 2009.
"Not All Oil Price Shocks Are Alike: Disentangling Demand and Supply Shocks in the Crude Oil Market,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 99(3), pages 1053-1069, June.
- Kilian, Lutz, 2006. "Not All Oil Price Shocks Are Alike: Disentangling Demand and Supply Shocks in the Crude Oil Market," CEPR Discussion Papers 5994, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Stephen P. Holland, 2008.
"Modeling Peak Oil,"
The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 2), pages 61-80.
- Stephen P. Holland, 2008. "Modeling Peak Oil," The Energy Journal, , vol. 29(2), pages 61-80, April.
- Richard Heinberg & David Fridley, 2010. "The end of cheap coal," Nature, Nature, vol. 468(7322), pages 367-369, November.
- Roger Fouquet & Peter J. G. Pearson, 1998.
"A Thousand Years of Energy Use in the United Kingdom,"
The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 4), pages 1-41.
- Roger Fouquet & Peter J.G. Pearson, 1998. "A Thousand Years of Energy Use in the United Kingdom," The Energy Journal, , vol. 19(4), pages 1-41, October.
- H. Scott Gordon, 1954. "The Economic Theory of a Common-Property Resource: The Fishery," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 62(2), pages 124-124.
Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
Cited by:
- Lynham, John & Nitta, Kohei & Saijo, Tatsuyoshi & Tarui, Nori, 2016.
"Why does real-time information reduce energy consumption?,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 173-181.
- John Lynham & Kohei Nitta & Tatsuyoshi Saijo & Nori Tarui, 2014. "Why does real-time information reduce energy consumption?," Working Papers 201419, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.
- John Lynam & Kohei Nitta & Tatsuyoshi Saijo & Nori Tarui, 2014. "Why does real-time information reduce energy consumption?," Working Papers 2014-11, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa.
- Schleich, Joachim & Klobasa, Marian & Gölz, Sebastian & Brunner, Marc, 2013.
"Effects of feedback on residential electricity demand—Findings from a field trial in Austria,"
Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 1097-1106.
- Schleich, Joachim & Klobasa, Marian & Götz, Sebastian & Brunner, Marc, 2012. "Effects of feedback on residential electricity demand: Findings from a field trial in Austria," Working Papers "Sustainability and Innovation" S8/2012, Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research (ISI).
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Michele Ruta & Anthony J. Venables, 2012.
"International Trade in Natural Resources: Practice and Policy,"
Annual Review of Resource Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 4(1), pages 331-352, August.
- Anthony Venables & Michele Ruta, 2012. "International trade in natural resources: practice and policy," OxCarre Working Papers 084, Oxford Centre for the Analysis of Resource Rich Economies, University of Oxford.
- Michele Ruta & Anthony J. Venables, 2012. "International Trade in Natural Resources: Practice and Policy," CESifo Working Paper Series 3778, CESifo.
- Venables, Anthony & Ruta, Michele, 2012. "International trade in natural resources: Practice and policy," CEPR Discussion Papers 8903, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Ruta, Michele & Venables, Anthony J., 2012. "International trade in natural resources: Practice and policy," WTO Staff Working Papers ERSD-2012-07, World Trade Organization (WTO), Economic Research and Statistics Division.
- Marc Gronwald, 2009. "Jumps in Oil Prices- Evidence and Implications," ifo Working Paper Series 75, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Lutz Kilian, 2010.
"Oil Price Shocks, Monetary Policy and Stagflation,"
RBA Annual Conference Volume (Discontinued), in: Renée Fry & Callum Jones & Christopher Kent (ed.),Inflation in an Era of Relative Price Shocks,
Reserve Bank of Australia.
- Kilian, Lutz, 2009. "Oil Price Shocks, Monetary Policy and Stagflation," CEPR Discussion Papers 7324, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Joëts, Marc & Mignon, Valérie & Razafindrabe, Tovonony, 2017.
"Does the volatility of commodity prices reflect macroeconomic uncertainty?,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 313-326.
- Marc Joëts & Valérie Mignon & Tovonony Razafindrabe, 2015. "Does the volatility of commodity prices reflect macroeconomic uncertainty?," Working Papers hal-04141423, HAL.
- M. Joëts & V. Mignon & T. Razafindrabe, 2016. "Does the volatility of commodity prices reflect macroeconomic uncertainty ?," Working papers 607, Banque de France.
- Marc Joëts & Valérie Mignon & Tovonony Razafindrabe, 2016. "Does the volatility of commodity prices reflect macroeconomic uncertainty?," Post-Print hal-01411696, HAL.
- Marc Joëts & Valérie Mignon & Tovonony Razafindrabe, 2016. "Does the volatility of commodity prices reflect macroeconomic uncertainty?," Post-Print hal-01386096, HAL.
- Marc Joëts & Valérie Mignon & Tovonony Razafindrabe, 2017. "Does the volatility of commodity prices reflect macroeconomic uncertainty?," Post-Print halshs-01683788, HAL.
- Tovonony Razafindrabe & Valérie Mignon & Marc Joëts, 2016. "Does the volatility of commodity prices reflects macroeconomic uncertainty?," Post-Print hal-01667080, HAL.
- Marc Joëts & Valérie Mignon & Tovonony Razafindrabe, 2015. "Does the volatility of commodity prices reflect macroeconomic uncertainty?," EconomiX Working Papers 2015-7, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
- Marc Joëts & Valérie Mignon & Tovonony Razafindrabe, 2015. "Does the volatility of commodity prices reflect macroeconomic uncertainty?," Working Papers 2015-02, CEPII research center.
- Valérie Mignon & Tovonony Razafindrabe & Marc Joëts, 2016. "Does the volatility of commodity prices reflects macroeconomic uncertainty?," Post-Print hal-01667085, HAL.
- Soren T. Anderson & Ryan Kellogg & Stephen W. Salant, 2018.
"Hotelling under Pressure,"
Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 126(3), pages 984-1026.
- T. Anderson, Soren & Kellog, Ryan & W. Salant, Stephen, "undated". "Hotelling under Pressure," RFF Working Paper Series dp-14-20, Resources for the Future.
- Soren T. Anderson & Ryan Kellogg & Stephen W. Salant, 2014. "Hotelling Under Pressure," NBER Working Papers 20280, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Stuermer, Martin, 2018.
"150 Years Of Boom And Bust: What Drives Mineral Commodity Prices?,"
Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 22(3), pages 702-717, April.
- Stuermer, Martin, 2013. "150 Years of Boom and Bust: What Drives Mineral Commodity Prices?," MPRA Paper 51859, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Martin Stuermer, 2014. "150 years of boom and bust: what drives mineral commodity prices?," Working Papers 1414, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Martin Stürmer, 2013. "150 Years of Boom and Bust: What Drives Mineral Commodity Prices?," 2013 Papers pst529, Job Market Papers.
- Stürmer, Martin, 2013. "150 years of boom and bust: what drives mineral commodity prices?," IDOS Discussion Papers 5/2013, German Institute of Development and Sustainability (IDOS).
- Zaklan, Aleksandar & Abrell, Jan & Neumann, Anne, 2016. "Stationarity changes in long-run energy commodity prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 96-103.
- Waisman, Henri & Rozenberg, Julie & Sassi, Olivier & Hourcade, Jean-Charles, 2012. "Peak Oil profiles through the lens of a general equilibrium assessment," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 744-753.
- Gérard Gaudet, 2007.
"Natural resource economics under the rule of Hotelling,"
Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 40(4), pages 1033-1059, November.
- Gérard Gaudet, 2007. "Natural resource economics under the rule of Hotelling," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 40(4), pages 1033-1059, November.
- Smith, James L., 2012.
"On the portents of peak oil (and other indicators of resource scarcity),"
Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 68-78.
- James L. Smith, 2010. "On The Portents of Peak Oil (And Other Indicators of Resource Scarcity)," Working Papers 1010, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research.
- Radoslaw Stefanski, 2014.
"Structural Transformation and the Oil Price,"
Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 17(3), pages 484-504, July.
- University of Minnesota & Radoslaw Stefanski, 2009. "Structural Transformation and the Oil Price," 2009 Meeting Papers 1050, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Radoslaw Stefanski, 2013. "Online Appendix to "Structural Transformation and the Oil Price"," Online Appendices 12-45, Review of Economic Dynamics.
- Radoslaw Stefanski, 2010. "Structural Transformation and the Oil Price," OxCarre Working Papers 048, Oxford Centre for the Analysis of Resource Rich Economies, University of Oxford.
- Radoslaw Stefanski, 2013. "Code and data files for "Structural Transformation and the Oil Price"," Computer Codes 12-45, Review of Economic Dynamics.
- Cameron Hepburn & Alex Bowen, 2013.
"Prosperity with growth: economic growth, climate change and environmental limits,"
Chapters, in: Roger Fouquet (ed.), Handbook on Energy and Climate Change, chapter 29, pages 617-638,
Edward Elgar Publishing.
- Cameron Hepburn & Alex Bowen, 2012. "Prosperity with growth: Economic growth, climate change and environmental limits," GRI Working Papers 93, Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment.
- Golombek, Rolf & Irarrazabal, Alfonso A. & Ma, Lin, 2018.
"OPEC's market power: An empirical dominant firm model for the oil market,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 98-115.
- Rolf Golombek & Alfonso A. Irarrazabal & Lin Ma, 2013. "OPEC's Market Power: An Empirical Dominant Firm Model for the Oil Market," CESifo Working Paper Series 4512, CESifo.
- Golombek, Rolf & Irarrazabal, Alfonso A. & Ma, Lin, 2015. "OPEC’s market power: An Empirical Dominant Firm Model for the Oil Market," Memorandum 21/2015, Oslo University, Department of Economics.
- Stamford da Silva, Alexandre, 2008. "Growth with exhaustible resource and endogenous extraction rate," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 25(6), pages 1165-1174, November.
- John Baffes & M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge & Marc Stocker, 2015.
"The great plunge in oil prices: causes, consequences, and policy responses,"
CAMA Working Papers
2015-23, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- John Baffes & M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge & Marc Stocker, 2015. "The Great Plunge in Oil Prices: Causes, Consequences, and Policy Responses," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1504, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
- John Baffes & M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge & Marc Stocker, 2015. "The Great Plunge in Oil Prices: Causes, Consequences, and Policy Responses," Policy Research Notes (PRNs) 94725, The World Bank.
- Marz, Waldemar & Pfeiffer, Johannes, 2023. "Fossil resource market power and capital markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
- Brian R. Copeland & M. Scott Taylor, 2017. "Environmental and resource economics: A Canadian retrospective," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 50(5), pages 1381-1413, December.
- Burcu Afyonoğlu Fazlıoğlu & Agustín Pérez-Barahona & Çağrı Sağlam, 2019. "Energy and Physical Capital: A Case of Non-classical Dynamics," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 72(4), pages 1003-1022, April.
- Brian R. Copeland & M. Scott Taylor, 2017. "Environmental and resource economics: A Canadian retrospective," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 50(5), pages 1381-1413, December.
- Kallis, Giorgos & Sager, Jalel, 2017. "Oil and the economy: A systematic review of the literature for ecological economists," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 561-571.
More about this item
JEL classification:
- F0 - International Economics - - General
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:aen:journl:ej34-2-04. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: David Williams (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/iaeeeea.html .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.