IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/aea/aecrev/v111y2021i1p364-96.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Lumpy Investment, Business Cycles, and Stimulus Policy

Author

Listed:
  • Thomas Winberry

Abstract

I study the aggregate implications of micro-level lumpy investment in a model consistent with the empirical dynamics of the real interest rate. The elasticity of aggregate investment with respect to shocks is procyclical because more firms are likely to make an extensive margin investment in expansions than in recessions. Matching the dynamics of the real interest rate is key to generating this result because it disciplines the interest-elasticity of investment and avoids counterfactual behavior of the model that would otherwise eliminate most of the procyclical responsiveness. Therefore, data on interest rates place important discipline in aggregating micro-level investment behavior.

Suggested Citation

  • Thomas Winberry, 2021. "Lumpy Investment, Business Cycles, and Stimulus Policy," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 111(1), pages 364-396, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:aea:aecrev:v:111:y:2021:i:1:p:364-96
    DOI: 10.1257/aer.20161723
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.aeaweb.org/doi/10.1257/aer.20161723
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://doi.org/10.3886/E119560V1
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.aeaweb.org/doi/10.1257/aer.20161723.appx
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.aeaweb.org/doi/10.1257/aer.20161723.ds
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to AEA members and institutional subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1257/aer.20161723?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Baley, Isaac & Blanco, Andres, 2022. "The Long-Run Effects of Corporate Tax Reforms," CEPR Discussion Papers 16936, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Görtz, Christoph & Sakellaris, Plutarchos & Tsoukalas, John D., 2023. "Firms’ financing dynamics around lumpy capacity adjustments," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    3. Reiter Michael & Sveen Tommy & Weinke Lutz, 2023. "Idiosyncratic Shocks, Lumpy Investment and the Monetary Transmission Mechanism," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 23(2), pages 1037-1055, June.
    4. Lee, Hanbaek, 2022. "Striking While the Iron Is Cold: Fragility after a Surge of Lumpy Investments," MPRA Paper 115872, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Cairó, Isabel & Sim, Jae, 2023. "Monetary policy and financial stability," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    6. Isaac Baley & Andrés Blanco, 2021. "Aggregate Dynamics in Lumpy Economies," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(3), pages 1235-1264, May.
    7. Guceri, Irem & Albinowski, Maciej, 2021. "Investment responses to tax policy under uncertainty," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(3), pages 1147-1170.
    8. Kase, Hanno & Melosi, Leonardo & Rottner, Matthias, 2022. "Estimating Nonlinear Heterogeneous Agents Models with Neural Networks," CEPR Discussion Papers 17391, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    9. Eddie Dekel & John K. -H. Quah & Ludvig Sinander, 2022. "Comparative statics with adjustment costs and the Le Chatelier principle," Papers 2206.00347, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2024.
    10. Jože Damijan & Jozef Konings & Črt Kostevc & Katja Zajc Kejžar, 2022. "Explaining the Low Level of Investment in Slovenia," European Economy - Discussion Papers 169, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
    11. Joao Ayres & Gajendran Raveendranathan, 2023. "Firm Entry and Exit during Recessions," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 47, pages 47-66, January.
    12. Joao Ayres & Gajendran Raveendranathan, 2023. "Firm Entry and Exit during Recessions," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 47, pages 47-66, January.
    13. Francesco Furno, 2021. "The Macroeconomic Effects of Corporate Tax Reforms," Papers 2111.12799, arXiv.org.
    14. Michael Funke & Raphael Terasa, 2022. "Temporary Super Depreciation Allowances for Green and Digital Investments," CESifo Working Paper Series 9838, CESifo.
    15. Isaac Baley & Andrés Blanco, 2022. "The Macroeconomics of Partial Irreversibility," Working Papers 1312, Barcelona School of Economics.
    16. Richard Audoly, 2023. "Firm Dynamics and Random Search over the Business Cycle," Staff Reports 1069, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D25 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Intertemporal Firm Choice: Investment, Capacity, and Financing
    • E13 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Neoclassical
    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • G31 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Capital Budgeting; Fixed Investment and Inventory Studies
    • H25 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Business Taxes and Subsidies

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:aea:aecrev:v:111:y:2021:i:1:p:364-96. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Michael P. Albert (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/aeaaaea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.