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Time to Retire? The Effect of State Fiscal Policies on Retirement Decisions

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  • Tami Gurley-Calvez
  • Brian Hill

Abstract

Our research addresses the importance of state fiscal policies on the probability of retirement using a panel of individual tax return data. Results indicate that a one percentage point increase in the income or sales tax rate reduces the probability of retirement by about 8.7 percent. The evidence suggests that state spending might also affect retirement decisions but magnitudes are inconclusive. In general, the results suggest that the income effect dominates; that is, higher tax rates at the state-level reduce disposable income and decrease the probability of retiring. Results are similar in models examining single and married filers separately.

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  • Tami Gurley-Calvez & Brian Hill, 2011. "Time to Retire? The Effect of State Fiscal Policies on Retirement Decisions," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 101(3), pages 35-39, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:aea:aecrev:v:101:y:2011:i:3:p:35-39
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    File URL: http://www.aeaweb.org/articles.php?doi=10.1257/aer.101.3.35
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. M. Solaiman Miah & Virginia Wilcox-Gok, 2007. "Do the sick retire early? Chronic illness, asset accumulation and early retirement," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(15), pages 1921-1936.
    2. Jon Bakija & Joel Slemrod, 2004. "Do the Rich Flee from High State Taxes? Evidence from Federal Estate Tax Returns," Department of Economics Working Papers 2004-12, Department of Economics, Williams College.
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    4. Rogowski, Jeannette & Karoly, Lynn, 2000. "Health insurance and retirement behavior: evidence from the health and retirement survey," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 529-539, July.
    5. Gurley–Calvez, Tami & Bruce, Donald, 2008. "Do Tax Cuts Promote Entrepreneurial Longevity?," National Tax Journal, National Tax Association;National Tax Journal, vol. 61(2), pages 225-250, June.
    6. Lucie Schmidt & Purvi Sevak, 2006. "Taxes, Wages, and the Labor Supply of Older Americans," Working Papers wp139, University of Michigan, Michigan Retirement Research Center.
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    Cited by:

    1. Zou, Tieding, 2017. "延迟退休的制约因素、政策效果与动态研究方法评价 [Restriction, Policy Effect and Dynamic Research Method to Delay Retirement]," MPRA Paper 85556, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 30 Jan 2018.
    2. Zhan Cao & Yizhou Tang, 2021. "The effect of increasing retirement age on consumption in China," Asian-Pacific Economic Literature, The Crawford School, The Australian National University, vol. 35(2), pages 136-150, November.

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