IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/acf/journl/y2018id817.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Modeling of the Market of Internal Russian Passenger Air Transportation

Author

Listed:
  • A. O. Tomaev
  • A. S. Kaukin

Abstract

In the article the market of passenger air transportation is modelled, as theoretical model the system of the equations demand-supply is used. Results of assessment of model on data on domestic market for 2013 show that demand is a little more sensitive to the change in price, than the supply. In addition, according to the received estimates, demand is expected above with a growth of number and the income of the population and during the periods of the increased tourist activity whereas growth of airport collecting significantly reduces the offer of airlines. In the work, the case analysis of separate effects in the market of passenger air transportation is carried out also. Results demonstrate that in the absence of other shocks leaving of Transaero from the market had to lead to increase in prices on the corresponding routes for 4,6%. In addition, calculation of potential dynamics of a passenger traffic depending on realization of one of three scenarios of the taxation in the oil sector has been carried out.

Suggested Citation

  • A. O. Tomaev & A. S. Kaukin, 2018. "Modeling of the Market of Internal Russian Passenger Air Transportation," Administrative Consulting, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration. North-West Institute of Management., issue 4.
  • Handle: RePEc:acf:journl:y:2018:id:817
    DOI: 10.22394/1726-1139-2018-4-85-93
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.acjournal.ru/jour/article/viewFile/817/816
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22394/1726-1139-2018-4-85-93?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Abed, Seraj Y. & Ba-Fail, Abdullah O. & Jasimuddin, Sajjad M., 2001. "An econometric analysis of international air travel demand in Saudi Arabia," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 7(3), pages 143-148.
    2. Hsu, Chaug-Ing & Wen, Yuh-Horng, 2003. "Determining flight frequencies on an airline network with demand-supply interactions," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 39(6), pages 417-441, November.
    3. Nicole Adler, 2005. "Hub-Spoke Network Choice Under Competition with an Application to Western Europe," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 39(1), pages 58-72, February.
    4. Kopsch, Fredrik, 2012. "A demand model for domestic air travel in Sweden," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 46-48.
    5. Wei, Wenbin & Hansen, Mark, 2006. "An aggregate demand model for air passenger traffic in the hub-and-spoke network," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 40(10), pages 841-851, December.
    6. Hsiao, Chieh-Yu & Hansen, Mark, 2011. "A passenger demand model for air transportation in a hub-and-spoke network," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 47(6), pages 1112-1125.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Kaukin, Andrey (Каукин, Андрей), 2018. "Diagnosis of the Growth Model of the Russian Air Transportation Market: Bottlenecks and Directions of Development [Диагностика Модели Роста Российского Рынка Авиаперевозок: Узкие Места И Направлени," Working Papers 061830, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
    2. Tao Li, 2017. "A Demand Estimator Based on a Nested Logit Model," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 51(3), pages 918-930, August.
    3. Birolini, Sebastian & Jacquillat, Alexandre & Cattaneo, Mattia & Antunes, António Pais, 2021. "Airline Network Planning: Mixed-integer non-convex optimization with demand–supply interactions," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 154(C), pages 100-124.
    4. Wang, Sen & Gao, Yi, 2021. "A literature review and citation analyses of air travel demand studies published between 2010 and 2020," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    5. Pagoni, Ioanna & Psaraki-Kalouptsidi, Voula, 2016. "The impact of carbon emission fees on passenger demand and air fares: A game theoretic approach," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 41-51.
    6. Kağan Albayrak, Muhammed Bilge & Özcan, İsmail Çağrı & Can, Raif & Dobruszkes, Frédéric, 2020. "The determinants of air passenger traffic at Turkish airports," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    7. Wang, Yue & Wong, Collin Wai Hung & Cheung, Tommy King-Yin & Wu, Edmund Yangming, 2021. "How influential factors affect aviation networks: A Bayesian network analysis," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    8. Birolini, Sebastian & Besana, Emanuele & Cattaneo, Mattia & Redondi, Renato & Sallan, Jose Maria, 2022. "An integrated connection planning and passenger allocation model for low-cost carriers," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    9. Mohammadian, Iman & Abareshi, Ahmad & Abbasi, Babak & Goh, Mark, 2019. "Airline capacity decisions under supply-demand equilibrium of Australia’s domestic aviation market," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 108-121.
    10. Abdelghany, Ahmed & Guzhva, Vitaly S., 2022. "Exploratory analysis of air travel demand stimulation in first-time served markets," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    11. repec:dau:papers:123456789/6792 is not listed on IDEAS
    12. Tu, Ningwen & Li, Zhi-Chun & Fu, Xiaowen & Lei, Zheng, 2020. "Airline network competition in inter-continental market," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    13. Xuanyu Yue & Julie Byrne, 2021. "Linking the Determinants of Air Passenger Flows and Aviation Related Carbon Emissions: A European Study," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-16, July.
    14. Frédéric Dobruszkes & Christian Vandermotten, 2022. "Do scale and the type of markets matter? Revisiting the determinants of passenger air services worldwide," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/336304, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    15. Xu, Yifan & Adler, Nicole & Wandelt, Sebastian & Sun, Xiaoqian, 2024. "Competitive integrated airline schedule design and fleet assignment," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 314(1), pages 32-50.
    16. Li, Zhi-Chun & Lam, William H.K. & Wong, S.C. & Fu, Xiaowen, 2010. "Optimal route allocation in a liberalizing airline market," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 44(7), pages 886-902, August.
    17. Sibdari, Soheil & Mohammadian, Iman & Pyke, David F., 2018. "On the impact of jet fuel cost on airlines’ capacity choice: Evidence from the U.S. domestic markets," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 1-17.
    18. Saraswati, Batari & Hanaoka, Shinya, 2014. "Airport–airline cooperation under commercial revenue sharing agreements: A network approach," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 17-33.
    19. Bernardes Real, Luiza & O'Kelly, Morton & de Miranda, Gilberto & Saraiva de Camargo, Ricardo, 2018. "The gateway hub location problem," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 95-112.
    20. Tirtha, Sudipta Dey & Bhowmik, Tanmoy & Eluru, Naveen, 2023. "Understanding the factors affecting airport level demand (arrivals and departures) using a novel modeling approach," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
    21. Yang, Chih-Wen, 2016. "Entry effect of low-cost carriers on airport-pairs demand model using market concentration approach," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 291-297.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:acf:journl:y:2018:id:817. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: the person in charge (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://sziu.ranepa.ru .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.