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Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes


Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E4: Money and Interest Rates
/ / / E47: Forecasting and Simulation
This topic is covered by the following reading lists:
  1. Mondialisation
  2. Quantitative Macroeconomics and Real Business Cycles (QM&RBC)
  3. Advanced Monetary Theory and Policy (ECON 447)

Most recent items first, undated at the end.
  • 2009 Is the Permanent Income Hypothesis Really Well-Suited for Forecasting?
    by Rangan Gupta & Emmanuel Ziramba [Downloadable!]
  • 2009 Stochastic Dominance in Stock Market Special Days
    by Lonjid, Iveel [Downloadable!]
  • 2009 Propositions d'indicateurs macroprudentiels pour le systeme bancaire de la CEMAC
    by KAMGNA, Severin Yves & TINANG, Nzesseu Jules & TSOMBOU, Kinfak Christian [Downloadable!]
  • 2009 “No One Saw This Coming”: Understanding Financial Crisis Through Accounting Models
    by Bezemer, Dirk J [Downloadable!]
  • 2009 Quantifying the Effect of Financial Conditions in the Euro Area, Japan, United Kingdom and United States
    by Stéphanie Guichard & David Haugh & David Turner [Downloadable!]
  • 2009 Systemic Risk and the Refinancing Ratchet Effect
    by Amir E. Khandani & Andrew W. Lo & Robert C. Merton [Downloadable!]
  • 2009 DSGE Model-Based Forecasting of Non-modelled Variables
    by Frank Schorfheide & Keith Sill & Maxym Kryshko [Downloadable!]
  • 2009 Pre-Conditions For Inflation Targeting In An Emerging Economy - The Case Of India
    by Ankita Mishra & Vinod Mishra [Downloadable!]
  • 2009 On economic evaluation of directional forecasts
    by Oliver Blaskowitz & Helmut Herwartz [Downloadable!]
  • 2009 Deflationary vs. Inflationary Expectations - A New-Keynesian Perspective with Heterogeneous Agents and Monetary Believes
    by Felix Geiger & Oliver Sauter [Downloadable!]
  • 2009 Deteriorating Public Finances and Rising Government Debt: Implications for Monetary Policy
    by Lillian Cheung & Chi-Sang Tam & Jessica Szeto [Downloadable!]
  • 2009 Systemic Risk and the Refinancing Ratchet Effect
    by Amir E. Khandani & Andrew W. Lo & Robert C. Merton [Downloadable!]
  • 2009 Macroeconomic Forecasting and Structural Change
    by Antonello D'Agostino & Luca Gambetti & Domenico Giannone [Downloadable!]
  • 2009 Inflation Risk Premia and Survey Evidence on Macroeconomic Uncertainty
    by Söderlind, Paul [Downloadable!]
  • 2009 Implementing the New Structural Model of the Czech National Bank
    by Michal Andrle & Tibor Hledik & Ondra Kamenik & Jan Vlcek [Downloadable!]
  • 2009 Does forecast combination improve Norges Bank inflation forecasts?
    by Hilde C. Bjørnland & Karsten Gerdrup & Anne Sofie Jore & Christie Smith & Leif Anders Thorsrud [Downloadable!]
  • 2009 No-arbitrage Near-Cointegrated VAR(p) Term Structure Models, Term Premia and GDP Growth
    by Jardet, C. & Monfort, A. & Pegoraro, F. [Downloadable!]
  • 2009 A Financial Conditions Index for the United States
    by Kimberly Beaton & René Lalonde & Corinne Luu [Downloadable!]
  • 2009 Forecasting inflation with gradual regime shifts and exogenous information
    by Andrés González & Kirstin Hubrich & Timo Teräsvirta [Downloadable!]
  • 2009 What Explains The Great Moderation in the U.S.? A Structural Analysis
    by Fabio Canova [Downloadable!]
  • 2009 Biased Estimation in a Simple Extension of a Standard Error Correction Model
    by Christian Müller-Kademann
  • 2009 Macroeconomic efault Modeling and Stress Testing
    by Dietske Simons & Ferdinand Rolwes [Downloadable!]
  • 2009 Bailing out the Titanic with a Thimble
    by Steve Ken [Downloadable!]
  • 2009 Measurement Of Liquidity Effect From The View Of The Efficiency Of Monetary Policies In Turkey
    by Burhan Dogan [Downloadable!]
  • 2008 Does money matter for U.S. inflation? Evidence from Bayesian VARs
    by Berger, Helge & Österholm, Pär [Downloadable!]
  • 2008 Does money still matter for U.S. output?
    by Berger, Helge & Österholm, Pär [Downloadable!]
  • 2008 Does money growth granger-cause inflation in the Euro Area? Evidence from output-of-sample forecasts using Bayesian VARs
    by Berger, Helge & Österholm, Pär [Downloadable!]
  • 2008 Inflation Risk Premia and Survey Evidence on Macroeconomic Uncertainty
    by Paul Söderlind [Downloadable!]
  • 2008 Predicting the Fed
    by Kenneth B. Petersen & Vladimir Pozdnyakov [Downloadable!]
  • 2008 The Dynamics of Economic Functions: Modelling and Forecasting the Yield Curve
    by Clive Bowsher & Roland Meeks [Downloadable!]
  • 2008 Predicting the Signs of Forecast Errors
    by Nazaria Solferino & Robert J. Waldmann [Downloadable!]
  • 2008 Solving Linear Rational Expectations Models with Predictable Structural Changes
    by Adam Cagliarini & Mariano Kulish [Downloadable!]
  • 2008 A Review of Forecasting Techniques for Large Data Sets
    by Jana Eklund & George Kapetanios [Downloadable!]
  • 2008 Revisiting Useful Approaches to Data-Rich Macroeconomic Forecasting
    by Jan J.J. Groen & George Kapetanios [Downloadable!]
  • 2008 Predicting Downturns in the US Housing Market: A Bayesian Approach
    by Rangan Gupta & Sonali Das
  • 2008 Spatial Bayesian Methods of Forecasting House Prices in Six Metropolitan Areas of South Africa
    by Rangan Gupta & Sonali Das
  • 2008 A New-Keynesian DSGE Model for Forecasting the South African Economy
    by Guangling (Dave) Liu & Rangan Gupta & Eric Schaling
  • 2008 A Small Open Economy DSGE Model for Pakistan
    by Haider, Adnan & Khan, Safdar Ullah [Downloadable!]
  • 2008 The Stock of Money and Why You Should Care
    by Kelly, Logan J [Downloadable!]
  • 2008 Quantifying the Effect of Financial Conditions on US Activity
    by Stéphanie Guichard & David Turner [Downloadable!]
  • 2008 The Dynamics of Economic Functions: Modelling and Forecasting the Yield Curve
    by Clive G. Bowsher & Roland Meeks [Downloadable!]
  • 2008 Housing market spillovers : evidence from an estimated DSGE model
    by Matteo Iacoviello & Stefano Neri [Downloadable!]
  • 2008 Assessing household credit risk: evidence from a household survey
    by Dániel Holló & Mónika Papp [Downloadable!]
  • 2008 Economic Activity and the Stock Market: The Asymmetric Impact of Fundamental and Non-Fundamental News
    by Ólan Henry & Nilss Olekalns & Kalvinder Shields [Downloadable!]
  • 2008 Assessing the impact of the ECB’s monetary policy on the stock markets: A sectoral view
    by Konstantin Kholodilin & Alberto Montagnoli & Oreste Napolitano & Boriss Siliverstovs [Downloadable!]
  • 2008 Optimizing Time-series Forecasts for Inflation and Interest Rates Using Simulation and Model Averaging
    by Jumah, Adusei & Kunst, Robert M. [Downloadable!]
  • 2008 Testing directional forecast value in the presence of serial correlation
    by Oliver Blaskowitz & Helmut Herwartz [Downloadable!]
  • 2008 Monetary Policy Regimes and the Volatility of Long-Term Interest Rates
    by Queijo von Heideken, Virginia [Downloadable!]
  • 2008 Compétition pour les paiements : une titanomachie revisitée par la modélisation multi-agents
    by Sandra Deungoue [Downloadable!]
  • 2008 Valuation of Convexity Related Derivatives
    by Jiří Witzany [Downloadable!]
  • 2008 Assessing the Impact of the ECB's Monetary Policy on the Stock Markets: A Sectoral View
    by Konstantin Kholodilin & Alberto Montagnoli & Oreste Napolitano & Boriss Siliverstovs [Downloadable!]
  • 2008 Beating the Random Walk: a Performance Assessment of Long-term Interest Rate Forecasts
    by Frank A.G. den Butter & Pieter W. Jansen [Downloadable!]
  • 2008 Estimating the Structural Demand for Irish Housing
    by Addison-Smyth, Diarmaid & McQuinn, Kieran & O' Reilly, Gerard [Downloadable!]
  • 2008 The price puzzle: Mixing the temporary and permanent monetary policy shocks
    by Ida Wolden Bache & Kai Leitemo [Downloadable!]
  • 2008 Commodity prices, interest rates and the dollar
    by Q. Farooq Akram [Downloadable!]
  • 2008 Experts´ Macroeconomics Expectations: An Evaluation of Mexican Short-Run Forecasts
    by Carlos Capistrán & Gabriel López-Moctezuma [Downloadable!]
  • 2008 A beta based framework for (lower) bond risk premia
    by Stefano Nobili & Gerardo Palazzo [Downloadable!]
  • 2008 Exploring agent-based methods for the analysis of payment systems: a crisis model for StarLogo TNG
    by Luca Arciero & Claudia Biancotti & Leandro DÂ’Aurizio & Claudio Impenna [Downloadable!]
  • 2008 Housing market spillovers: Evidence from an estimated DSGE model
    by Matteo Iacoviello & Stefano Neri [Downloadable!]
  • 2008 Combining Canadian Interest-Rate Forecasts
    by David Jamieson Bolder & Yuliya Romanyuk [Downloadable!]
  • 2008 Optimal and Simple Monetary Policy Rules with Zero Floor on the Nominal Interest Rate
    by Anton Nakov [Downloadable!]
  • 2008 Hits and Misses: Ten Years of Czech Inflation Targeting (Introduction)
    by Kateřina Šmídková & Aleš Bulíř & Martin Čihák [Downloadable!]
  • 2008 Exchange Rate Management and Inflation Targeting: Modeling the Exchange Rate in Reduced-Form New Keynesian Models
    by Jaromír Beneš & Jaromír Hurník & David Vávra [Downloadable!]
  • 2008 Forecasting with DSGE Models: The Role of Nonlinearities
    by Paul Pichler [Downloadable!]
  • 2007 Forecasting with estimated dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models: The role of nonlinearities
    by Paul Pichler [Downloadable!]
  • 2007 What Are In‡ation Expectations Rational?
    by David Andolfatto & Scott Hendry & Kevin Moran [Downloadable!]
  • 2007 Forecasting the Yield Curve Using Priors from No Arbitrage Affine Term Structure Models
    by Andrea Carriero [Downloadable!]
  • 2007 A Bayesian Framework for the Expectations Hypothesis. How to Extract Additional Information from the Term Structure of Interest Rates
    by Andrea Carriero [Downloadable!]
  • 2007 Forecasting the South African Economy: A DSGE-VAR Approach
    by Guangling (Dave) Liu & Rangan Gupta & Eric Schaling
  • 2007 Bayesian Methods of Forecasting Inventory Investment in South Africa
    by Rangan Gupta
  • 2007 Modelling and Forecasting the Metical-Rand Exchange Rate
    by Samuel Zita & Rangan Gupta
  • 2007 Forecasting the South African Economy with Gibbs Sampled BVECMs
    by Rangan Gupta
  • 2007 Does global liquidity help to forecast US inflation?
    by D'Agostino, A & Surico, P [Downloadable!]
  • 2007 Explaining the US Bond Yield Conundrum
    by Bandholz, Harm & Clostermann, Joerg & Seitz, Franz [Downloadable!]
  • 2007 The Taylor Rule and the Macroeconomic Performance in Pakistan
    by Wasim Shahid Malik & Ather Maqsood Ahmed [Downloadable!]
  • 2007 News versus Sunspot Shocks in Linear Rational Expectations Models
    by Lilia Karnizova [Downloadable!]
  • 2007 Shocks, Structures or Monetary Policies? The Euro Area and US After 2001
    by Lawrence Christiano & Roberto Motto & Massimo Rostagno [Downloadable!]
  • 2007 Integrating credit and interest rate risk: A theoretical framework and an application to banks' balance sheets
    by Mathias Drehmann & Steffen Sorensen & Marco Stringa [Downloadable!]
  • 2007 Bayesian versus robust control approach towards parameter uncertainty in monetary policymaking: how close are the outcomes? Some illustrating evidence from the EMU economies
    by Juha Kilponen & Marc-Alexandre Sénégas & Jouko Vilmunen [Downloadable!]
  • 2007 Forecasting Changes in UK Interest Rates
    by Thanaset Chevapatrakul & Tae-Hwan Kim & Paul Mizen [Downloadable!]
  • 2007 Is core money growth a good and stable inflation predictor in the euro area?
    by Kai Carstensen [Downloadable!]
  • 2007 Three methods of forecasting currency crises: Which made the run in signaling the South African currency crisis of June 2006?
    by Tobias Knedlik & Rolf Scheufele [Downloadable!]
  • 2007 A Leading Indicator Model of Banking Distress ¡V Developing an Early Warning System for Hong Kong and Other EMEAP Economies
    by Jim Wong & Eric Wong & Phyllis Leung [Downloadable!]
  • 2007 Does Money Growth Granger-Cause Inflation in the Euro Area? Evidence from Out-of-Sample Forecasts Using Bayesian VARs
    by Berger, Helge & Österholm, Pär [Downloadable!]
  • 2007 Macroeconomic imbalances and exchange rate regime shifts
    by Post, Erik [Downloadable!]
  • 2007 Household loan loss risk in Finland – estimations and simulations with micro data
    by Herrala, Risto & Kauko, Karlo [Downloadable!]
  • 2007 Joint Inference and Counterfactual Experimentation for Impulse Response Functions by Local Projections
    by Jorda, Oscar [Downloadable!]
  • 2007 Information Criteria for Impulse Response Function Matching Estimation of DSGE Models
    by Hall, Alastair & Inoue, Atsushi & Nason M, James & Rossi, Barbara [Downloadable!]
  • 2007 Predicting the Term Structure of Interest Rates: Incorporating Parameter Uncertainty, Model Uncertainty and Macroeconomic Information
    by Michiel D. de Pooter & Francesco Ravazzolo & Dick van Dijk [Downloadable!]
  • 2007 (Un)Predictability and Macroeconomic Stability
    by D''Agostino, Antonello & Giannone, Domenico & Surico, Paolo [Downloadable!]
  • 2007 Inflation Targeting and Communication: Should the Public Read Inflation Reports or Tea Leaves?
    by Ales Bulir & Katerina Smidkova & Viktor Kotlan & David Navratil [Downloadable!]
  • 2007 Why and How to Assess Inflation Target Fulfilment
    by Jan Filacek [Downloadable!]
  • 2007 A Model of Cross-Country House Prices (228.91 KB PDF)
    by McQuinn, Kieran & O' Reilly, Gerard [Downloadable!]
  • 2007 Does global liquidity help to forecast US inflation?
    by D'Agostino, Antonello & Surico, Paolo [Downloadable!]
  • 2007 Housing Market Spillovers: Evidence from an Estimated DSGE Model
    by Matteo Iacoviello & Stefano Neri [Downloadable!]
  • 2007 Estimation and Inference by the Method of Projection Minimum Distance
    by Òscar Jordà & Sharon Kozicki [Downloadable!]
  • 2007 Unanticipated Defaults and Losses in Canada's Large-Value Payments System, Revisited
    by Devin Ball & Walter Engert [Downloadable!]
  • 2007 The Zero Bound on Nominal Interest Rates: Implications for the Optimal Monetary Policy in Canada
    by Claude Lavoie & Hope Pioro [Downloadable!]
  • 2007 Modern Forecasting Models in Action: Improving Macroeconomic Analyses at Central Banks
    by Malin Adolfson & Michael K. Andersson & Jesper Lindé & Mattias Villani & Anders Vredin [Downloadable!]
  • 2007 Why and How to Assess Inflation-Target Fulfillment
    by Jan Filáček [Downloadable!]
  • 2007 Why Central Bankers Should Disclose: Interest Rate Forecast
    by Jan Filáček & Luboš Komárek & Petr Král [Downloadable!]
  • 2007 Striving to Be “Clearly Open” and “Crystal Clear”: Monetary Policy Communication of the CNB
    by Kateřina Šmídková & Aleš Bulíř [Downloadable!]
  • 2007 The Science and Art of Monetary-Policy Communication
    by Martin Čihák [Downloadable!]
  • 2007 The Canadian macroeconomy and the yield curve: an equilibrium-based approach
    by René Garcia & Richard Luger [Downloadable!]
  • 2007 La demande de titres longs par les non-residents explique-t-elle le bas niveau des taux longs publics americains ?
    by Bruno Ducoudre [Downloadable!]
  • 2007 The bond market term premium: what is it, and how can we measure it?
    by Don H Kim & Athanasios Orphanides [Downloadable!]
  • 2007 Predicting Currencycrises With Signalapproach: The Case Ofturkey
    by Halil Altintas & Bulent Oz [Downloadable!]
  • 2006 Growth and Inflation Disparities in Corridor V
    by Dino Martellato [Downloadable!]
  • 2006 Skewed policy responses and IT in Latin America
    by Marco Vega [Downloadable!]
  • 2006 Monetary Policy and the Term Structure: A Fully Structural DSGE approach
    by Massimiliano Marzo & Ulf Sodestrom & Paolo Zagaglia
  • 2006 Macroeconomic Models and the Yield Curve
    by Jagjit Chadha & Sean Holly [Downloadable!]
  • 2006 High Dimensional Yield Curves: Models and Forecasting
    by Clive G. Bowsher & Roland Meeks [Downloadable!]
  • 2006 El costo del crédito en el Perú, revisión de la evolución reciente
    by Mario Mesía & Eduardo Costa & Oscar Graham & Robert Soto & Alejandro Rabanal [Downloadable!]
  • 2006 Measuring the Natural Interest Rate for the Peruvian Economy
    by Paul Castillo & Carlos Montoro & Vicente Tuesta [Downloadable!]
  • 2006 A Small-Scale DSGE Model for Forecasting the South African Economy
    by Guangling (Dave) Liu & Rangan Gupta
  • 2006 Forecasting the South African Economy with VARs and VECMs
    by Rangan Gupta
  • 2006 A BVAR Model for the South African Economy
    by Rangan Gupta & Moses M. Sichei
  • 2006 U.S. Core Inflation: A Wavelet Analysis
    by Cotter, John & Dowd, Kevin [Downloadable!]
  • 2006 Predicting the term structure of interest rates incorporating parameter uncertainty, model uncertainty and macroeconomic information
    by De Pooter, Michiel & Ravazzolo, Francesco & van Dijk, Dick [Downloadable!]
  • 2006 Are there gains from including monetary aggregates and stock market indices in the monetary policy reaction function? A simulation study of recent U.S. monetary policy
    by Mandler, Martin [Downloadable!]
  • 2006 A Three-Factor Yield Curve Model: Non-Affine Structure, Systematic Risk Sources, and Generalized Duration
    by Francis X. Diebold & Lei Ji & Canlin Li [Downloadable!]
  • 2006 High Dimensional Yield Curves: Models and Forecasting
    by Clive Bowsher & Roland Meeks [Downloadable!]
  • 2006 Time-Dependent Portfolio Adjustment: Yet Another Look at the Dynamics
    by Pablo A. Guerron [Downloadable!]
  • 2006 Noisy Macroeconomic Announcements, Monetary Policy, and Asset Prices
    by Roberto Rigobon & Brian Sack [Downloadable!]
  • 2006 Comparing the Point Predictions and Subjective Probability Distributions of Professional Forecasters
    by Joseph Engelberg & Charles F. Manski & Jared Williams [Downloadable!]
  • 2006 A Factor Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rates and Risk Premium Estimation for Latvia's Money Market
    by Viktors Ajevskis & Kristine Vitola [Downloadable!]
  • 2006 Measuring Expectations
    by Kjellberg, David [Downloadable!]
  • 2006 Profitability of simple trading strategies exploiting the forward premium bias in foreign exchange markets and the time premium in yield curves
    by Andres Vesilind [Downloadable!]
  • 2006 Projection Minimum Distance: An Estimator for Dynamic Macroeconomic Models
    by Jorda, Oscar & Kozicki, Sharon [Downloadable!]
  • 2006 Monetary Policy and the Evolution of the US Economy
    by Canova, Fabio [Downloadable!]
  • 2006 Structural Changes in the US Economy: Bad Luck or Bad Policy?
    by Canova, Fabio & Gambetti, Luca [Downloadable!]
  • 2006 (Un)Predictability and Macroeconomic Stability
    by D'Agostino, Antonello & Domenico, Giannone & Surico, Paolo [Downloadable!]
  • 2006 Macroeconomic Models and the Yield Curve: An assessment of the Fit
    by Chadha, J.S. & Holly, S. [Downloadable!]
  • 2006 Pursuing financial stability under an inflation-targeting regime
    by Q. Farooq Akram & Gunnar Bårdsen & Kjersti-Gro Lindquist [Downloadable!]
  • 2006 Flexible inflation targeting and financial stability: Is it enough to stabilise inflation and output?
    by Q. Farooq Akram & Øyvind Eitrheim [Downloadable!]
  • 2006 Examining the Trade-Off between Settlement Delay and Intraday Liquidity in Canada's LVTS: A Simulation Approach
    by Neville Arjani [Downloadable!]
  • 2006 Whom should we believe? Information content of the yield curve and analysts’ expectations
    by Péter Gábriel & Klára Pintér [Downloadable!]
  • 2006 Factor Model Forecasts for New Zealand
    by Troy D. Matheson [Downloadable!]
  • 2006 On The Fisher Effect And Inflation Dynamics In Low-Income Countries: An Assessment Of Sub-Saharan Africa Economies
    by NANDWA, Boaz [Downloadable!]
  • 2005 (Un)Predictability and Macroeconomic Stability
    by Antonello D'Agostino & Domenico Giannone & Paolo Surico [Downloadable!]
  • 2005 Optimal Monetary Policy Rules in A Simple Stochastic Macro Model: China's Evidence
    by Shengzu Wang & Shen Guo [Downloadable!]
  • 2005 The properties of cycles in South African financial variables and their relation to the business cycle
    by Willem Boshoff [Downloadable!]
  • 2005 Reconciling The Effects of Monetary Policy Actions on Consumption Within A Heterogeneous Agent Framework
    by Yamin Ahmad
  • 2005 A BVAR Forecasting Model For Peruvian Inflation
    by Gonzalo Llosa & Vicente Tuesta & Marco Vega [Downloadable!]
  • 2005 Were There Regime Switches in U.S. Monetary Policy?
    by Christopher A. Sims & Tao Zha [Downloadable!]
  • 2005 The performance evaluation of hedge funds: a comparison of different approaches using European data
    by Carretta, Alessandro & Mattarocci, Gianluca [Downloadable!]
  • 2005 Factor model forecasts for New Zealand
    by Troy Matheson [Downloadable!]
  • 2005 Monetary policy and asset prices: To respond or not?
    by Gunnar Bårdsen & Q. Farooq Akram & Øyvind Eitrheim [Downloadable!]
  • 2005 Understanding and Comparing Factor-Based Forecasts
    by Jean Boivin & Serena Ng [Downloadable!]
  • 2005 Non-Linearities, Large Forecasters And Evidential Reasoning Under Rational Expectations
    by Ali al-Nowaihi & Sanjit Dhami [Downloadable!]
  • 2005 Productivity and the Business Cycle in Japan: Evidence from Japanese Industry Data
    by Tsutomu Miyagawa & Yukie Sakuragawa & Miho Takizawa [Downloadable!]
  • 2005 Forecasting Performance of an Open Economy Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model
    by Adolfson, Malin & Lindé, Jesper & Villani, Mattias [Downloadable!]
  • 2005 Modern Forecasting Models in Action: Improving Macroeconomic Analyses at Central Banks
    by Adolfson, Malin & Andersson, Michael K. & Lindé, Jesper & Villani, Mattias & Vredin, Anders [Downloadable!]
  • 2005 Are Constant Interest Rate Forecasts Modest Interventions? Evidence from an Estimated Open Economy DSGE Model of the Euro Area
    by Adolfson, Malin & Laséen, Stefan & Lindé, Jesper & Villani, Mattias [Downloadable!]
  • 2005 Bayesian Estimation of an Open Economy DSGE Model with Incomplete Pass-Through
    by Adolfson, Malin & Laséen, Stefan & Lindé, Jesper & Villani, Mattias [Downloadable!]
  • 2005 Evaluating a Central Bank’s Recent Forecast Failure
    by Nymoen, Ragnar [Downloadable!]
  • 2005 Application of investment models in foreign exchange reserve management in Eesti Pank
    by Andres Vesilind & Toivo Kuus [Downloadable!]
  • 2005 Term Structure Estimation with Survey Data on Interest Rate Forecasts
    by Kim, Don H. & Orphanides, Athanasios [Downloadable!]
  • 2005 A Comparison of Direct and Iterated Multistep AR Methods for Forecasting Macroeconomic Time Series
    by Marcellino, Massimiliano & Stock, James H & Watson, Mark W [Downloadable!]
  • 2005 The Role of Asymmetries and Regime Shifts in the Term Structure of Interest Rates
    by Clarida, Richard & Sarno, Lucio & Taylor, Mark P & Valente, Giorgio [Downloadable!]
  • 2005 Fulfilment of the Maastricht Inflation Criterion by the Czech Republic: Potential Costs and Policy Options
    by Vit Barta [Downloadable!]
  • 2005 Monetary policy and asset prices: To respond or not?
    by Q. Farook Akram & Gunnar Bårdsen & Øyvind Eitrheim [Downloadable!]
  • 2005 The Canadian Macroeconomy and the Yield Curve: An Equilibrium-Based Approach
    by René Garcia & Richard Luger [Downloadable!]
  • 2005 The Impact of Unanticipated Defaults in Canada's Large Value Transfer System
    by Darcey McVanel [Downloadable!]
  • 2005 Understanding and Comparing Factor-Based Forecasts
    by Jean Boivin & Serena Ng [Downloadable!]
  • 2005 Causality Links Between Asset Prices And Cash Rate In Australia
    by West, L.k. & Agbola, W.F. [Downloadable!]
  • 2004 Efficient Tests of Long-Run Causation in Trivariate VAR Processes with a Rolling Window Study of the Money-Income Relationship
    by Jonathan B. Hill [Downloadable!]
  • 2004 Money as an indicator variable for monetary policy when money demand is forward looking
    by Lauri Kajanoja [Downloadable!]
  • 2004 Model-Free Impulse Responses
    by Oscar Jorda [Downloadable!]
  • 2004 Reconciling the Effects of Monetary Policy Actions on Consumption Within a Heterogeneous Agent Framework
    by Yamin Ahmad [Downloadable!]
  • 2004 What explains the Great Moderation in the US? A structural analysis
    by Fabio Canova [Downloadable!]
  • 2004 Financial Factors, Macroeconomic Information and the Expectations Theory of the Term Structure of Interest Rates
    by Iryna Kaminska & Andrea Carriero & Carlo A. Favero [Downloadable!]
  • 2004 Money makes the world go round ... about the necessity of nonlinear techniques in interest rate forecasting
    by Stefan Fink & Janette F. Walde [Downloadable!]
  • 2004 Stochastic Optimisation and Worst Case Analysis in Monetary Policy Design
    by S. Zakovic & V. Wieland & B. Rustem
  • 2004 Targeting Inflation by Forecast Feedback Rules in Small Open Economies
    by Kai Leitemo [Downloadable!]
  • 2004 Professional Forecasts of Interest Rates and Exchange Rates: Evidence from the Wall Street Journal's Panel of Economists
    by Karlyn Mitchell & Douglas K. Pearce [Downloadable!]
  • 2004 A Dynamic Factor Model for Current-Quarter Estimates of Economic Activity in Hong Kong
    by Stefan Gerlach & Matthew S. Yiu [Downloadable!]
  • 2004 Efficient Tests of Long-Run Causation in Trivariate VAR Processes with a Rolling Window Study of the Money-Income Relationship
    by Jonathan B. Hill [Downloadable!]
  • 2004 A joint econometric model of macroeconomic and term structure dynamics
    by Peter Hoerdahl & Oreste Tristani [Downloadable!]
  • 2004 Model-Free Impulse Responses
    by Jorda, Oscar [Downloadable!]
  • 2004 A joint econometric model of macroeconomic and term structure dynamics
    by Peter Hördahl & Oreste Tristani & David Vestin [Downloadable!]
  • 2004 Determinants of euro term structure of credit spreads
    by Astrid Van Landschoot [Downloadable!]
  • 2004 Composição Ótima Para A Dívida Pública: Uma Análise Macro-Estrutural
    by Mariana Lopes & Erica Domingos [Downloadable!]
  • 2004 Four Reflections On Practising Inflation Targeting In The Czech Republic
    by Oldřich Dědek [Downloadable!]
  • 2004 Curva de rendimientos y crecimiento de la producción real en la UEM: eficiencia y estabilidad predictiva./Yield Curve and Real Output Growth in the EMU: Efficiency and Predictive Stability
    by DUARTE, A. & VENETIS, I. & PAYÁ, I. [Downloadable!]
  • 2004 Information Content of Inflation-Indexed Bond Prices: Evaluation of U.S. Treasury Inflation-Protection Securities
    by Kitamura, Yukinobu [Downloadable!]
  • 2004 A Nonparametric Dimension Test of the Term Structure
    by Javier Gil-Bazo & Gonzalo Rubio [Downloadable!]
  • 2003 Sovereign Credit Ratings and Their Impact on Recent Financial Crises
    by Roman Kraeussl [Downloadable!]
  • 2003 Structural changes in the US economy: is there a role for monetary policy?
    by Fabio Canova & Luca Gambetti [Downloadable!]
  • 2003 Variety of Agent-based Models for Computer Simulation of FX Rate
    by Lukas, L.
  • 2003 Inflation Scares and Monetary Policy
    by John C. Williams & Athanasios Orphanides
  • 2003 Are More Data Always Better for Factor Analysis?
    by Jean Boivin & Serena Ng [Downloadable!]
  • 2003 Spillovers Across U.S. Financial Markets
    by Roberto Rigobon & Brian Sack [Downloadable!]
  • 2003 Optimal Policy with Partial Information in a Forward-Looking Model: Certainty-Equivalence Redux
    by Lars E. O. Svensson & Michael Woodford [Downloadable!]
  • 2003 Interest Rate Term Structure in Latvia in the Monetary Policy Context
    by Jelena Zubkova [Downloadable!]
  • 2003 Indicator Accuracy and Monetary Policy: Is Ignorance Bliss?
    by Nimark, Kristoffer P. [Downloadable!]
  • 2003 Money as an indicator variable for monetary policy when money demand is forward looking
    by Kajanoja, Lauri [Downloadable!]
  • 2003 Trois essais sur les anticipations d'inflation - Three essays on inflation expectation
    by Jean-Pierre Allégret & Jean-François Goux [Downloadable!]
  • 2003 Monetary Policy Performance and the Accuracy of Observations
    by Kristoffer P. NIMARK [Downloadable!]
  • 2003 Is there a Phillips Curve in the US and the EU15 Countries? An empirical investigatio
    by Jesús Vazquez [Downloadable!]
  • 2003 Model-Free Impulse Responses
    by Jorda, Oscar [Downloadable!]
  • 2003 The Fed and Stock Market: A Proxy and Instrumental Variable Identification
    by d'Amico, Stefania & Mira Farka [Downloadable!]
  • 2003 Federal Funds Rate Prediction
    by Sarno, Lucio & Daniel l Thornton & Giorgio Valente [Downloadable!]
  • 2003 Choosing the Regime in an Uncertain World, the UK and Monetary Union
    by Barrell, Ray & Ian Hurst & Tatiana Kirsanova [Downloadable!]
  • 2003 Sovereign Credit Ratings and Their Impact on Recent Financial Crises
    by Roman Kraeussl [Downloadable!]
  • 2003 A Critique on the Proposed Use of External Sovereign Credit Ratings in Basel II
    by Roman Kraeussl [Downloadable!]
  • 2003 Do Changes in Sovereign Credit Ratings Contribute to Financial Contagion in Emerging Market Crises?
    by Roman Kraeussl [Downloadable!]
  • 2003 Do Credit Rating Agencies Add to the Dynamics of Emerging Market Crises?
    by Roman Kraeussl [Downloadable!]
  • 2003 Predicting Financial Crisis in Developing Economies: Astronomy or Astrology?
    by Ilene Grabel [Downloadable!]
  • 2003 Currency Substitution and the Demand for Money in Five European Union Countries
    by Julide Yildirim [Downloadable!]
  • 2002 Strukturelle Veränderungen In Der Wirtschaft Der Republiken Kraoatien Und Bundesrepublik Deutschland
    by Novak, Branko & Matić, Branko [Downloadable!]
  • 2002 Default, currency crises, and sovereign credit ratings
    by Reinhart, Carmen [Downloadable!]
  • 2002 Modest Policy Interventions
    by Eric M. Leeper & Tao Zha [Downloadable!]
  • 2002 Empirical Analysis of Policy Interventions
    by Eric M. Leeper & Tao Zha [Downloadable!]
  • 2002 The Impact of Monetary Policy on Asset Prices
    by Roberto Rigobon & Brian P. Sack [Downloadable!]
  • 2002 A Currency Board Model of Hong Kong
    by Yue Ma & Guy Meredith & Matthew S. Yiu [Downloadable!]
  • 2002 The Effects of The Euro on Financial Markets, Activity and Structure
    by Studener [Downloadable!]
  • 2002 Smooth Transition Regression Models in UK Stock Returns
    by Nektarios Aslanidis [Downloadable!]
  • 2002 Inflation Expectations and Learning about Monetary Policy
    by Andolfatto, David & Scott Hendry & Kevin Moran [Downloadable!]
  • 2002 On the role of money in a business cycle model of a small open economy: The case of Spain
    by Eduardo L. Giménez & José María Martín-Moreno [Downloadable!]
  • 2002 Mali Sektör 2002-2007
    by Eda ALİDEDEOĞLU & Giyas GÖKKENT
  • 2002 An Almon Approximation of the Day of the Month Effect in Currency in Circulation
    by Kaushik Bhattacharya & Himanshu Joshi
  • 2001 Uncertainty, Indeterminacy and Shannon's Derivation of Entropy: Implications for Policy Administration - A Systems Theoretical Approach
    by Author: A.G.Perison [Downloadable!]
  • 2001 Systems Theory of Macroeconomics, Introduction to
    by A.G.Perison [Downloadable!]
  • 2001 New economy : new policy rules?
    by Eric Schaling, James Bullard [Downloadable!]
  • 2001 Modeling an Indexed Portfolio for the Italian Market
    by Rita L.D'Ecclesia, Marida Bertocchi, Jozsef Abaffy
  • 2001 Inércia de juros e regras de Taylor: Explorando as funções de resposta a impulso em um modelo de equilíbrio geral com parâmetros estilizados para o Brazil
    by Dionisio Dias Carneiro & Pedro Garcia Duarte [Downloadable!]
  • 2001 Measuring the Reaction of Monetary Policy to the Stock Market
    by Roberto Rigobon & Brian Sack [Downloadable!]
  • 2001 Indicator Variables for Optimal Policy under Asymmetric Information
    by Lars E.O. Svensson & Michael Woodford [Downloadable!]
  • 2001 Indicator Variables for Optimal Policy under Asymmetric Information
    by Svensson, Lars E. O. & Woodford, Michael [Downloadable!]
  • 2001 Evaluation and Development of Confidence Indicators Based on Harmonised Business Consumer Surveys
    by The Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs.
  • 2001 On the Variation of Hedging Decisions in Daily Currency Risk Management
    by Charles S. Bos & Ronald J. Mahieu & Herman K. van Dijk [Downloadable!]
  • 2001 Daily Exchange Rate Behaviour and Hedging of Currency Risk
    by Charles S. Bos & Ronald J. Mahieu & Herman K. van Dijk [Downloadable!]
  • 2001 Modelling Mortgage Rate Changes with a Smooth Transition Error-Correction Model
    by Ying Liu [Downloadable!]
  • 2001 Economic Cycle Research Institute and Pennsylvania State University
    by Philip A. Klein
  • 2000 The Effect of Uncertainty on Monetary Policy: How Good are the Brakes?
    by Guy Debelle & Adam Cagliarini [Downloadable!]
  • 2000 Issues in the Choice of a Monetary Regime for India
    by Warwick J. McKibbin & Kanhaiya Singh [Downloadable!]
  • 2000 Indicator Variables for Optimal Policy
    by Lars E.O. Svensson & Michael Woodford [Downloadable!]
  • 2000 Indicator Variables for Optimal Policy
    by Svensson, Lars & Woodford, Michael [Downloadable!]
  • 2000 Did Monetary Forces Cause the Great Depression? A Bayesian VAR Analysis for the U.S. Economy
    by Albrecht Ritschl & Ulrich Woitek [Downloadable!]
  • 2000 Outlook for the Canadian Economy: National Projection Through 2020
    by Dungan, P. & Murphy, S. & Wilson, T.
  • 2000 Extremal spillovers in financial markets
    by Straetmans, Stefan [Downloadable!]
  • 2000 New economy : new policy rules?
    by Bullard, J. & Schaling, E. [Downloadable!]
  • 2000 On the variation of hedging decisions in daily currency risk management
    by C.S. Bos & R.J. Mahieu & H.K. Van Dijk [Downloadable!]
  • 2000 Daily exchange rate behaviour and hedging of currency risk
    by C.S. Bos & R.J. Mahieu & H.K. Van Dijk [Downloadable!]
  • 2000 Sovereign Ratings and Their Impact on Recent Financial Crises
    by Roman Kraeussl [Downloadable!]
  • 2000 Open Market Operations as a Monetary Policy Shock Measure in a Quantitative Business Cycle Model
    by Burkhard Heer & Andreas Schabert [Downloadable!]
  • 1999 Value at Risk: On the Stability and Forecasting of the Variance-covariance Matrix
    by James Engel & Marianne Gizycki [Downloadable!]
  • 1999 Daily Exchange Rate Behaviour and Hedging of Currency Risk
    by Bos, C.S. & Mahieu, R.J. & van Dijk, H.K.
  • 1999 The Value of Publishing Official Central Bank Forecasts
    by Tarkka, J. & Mayes, D.
  • 1999 Optimal and Conditionallly Optimal Targeting Rules for Small Open Economies
    by Dennis, R.
  • 1999 Conditionally Optimal Rules in a Simple Closed Economy Model Under Discretion and Commitment
    by Dennis, R.
  • 1999 Daily Exchange Rate Behaviour and Hedging of Currency Risk
    by Charles S. Bos & Ronald J. Mahieu & Herman K. van Dijk [Downloadable!]
  • 1998 Estimating a European Demand for Money
    by Bernd Hayo [Downloadable!]
  • 1998 Error-correction versus Differencing in Macroeconomic Forecasting
    by Eitrheim, O. & Husebo, T.A. & Nymoen, R.
  • 1998 Liquidity Constraints and Cycles
    by Rochon, C.
  • 1998 Looking for Arbitrage
    by Flam, S.D.
  • 1998 Un modelo de vectores autorregresivos bayesianos (BVAR) para la predicción del tipo de interés a corto plazo de la economía española
    by ORTIZ VIDAL-ABARCA, A. [Downloadable!]
  • 1998 Anticipation and Surprises in Central Bank Interest Rate Policy
    by Daniel Hardy [Downloadable!]
  • 1997 Labor Market Shifts and the Price Puzzle Revisited
    by Alan Krueger [Downloadable!]
  • 1997 Explaining the Persistence of Commodity Prices
    by NG, Serena & RUGE-MURCIA, Francisco J. [Downloadable!]
  • 1997 Structural Change, the Demand for Skilled Labour and Lifelong Learning
    by G.A. Meagher [Downloadable!]
  • 1997 Credible Disinflation Policy in a Dynamic Setting
    by Christopher F. Baum & Meral Karasulu [Downloadable!]
  • 1997 The Ex Ante Predictive Accuracy of Alternative Models of the Term Structure of Interest Rates
    by Basma Bekdache & Christopher F. Baum [Downloadable!]
  • 1996 Accounting for Convertible Debt: A Fundamental Financial Instrument Approach to Accounting for Convertible Debt as a Single Instrument
    by Casson, P.
  • 1996 Forecasting the S&P500: A Disequilibrium Indicator
    by Davidson, S. & Meyer, S.
  • 1996 The Medium Term Outlook for Labour Demand: An Economy Wide Assessment
    by G.A. Meagher [Downloadable!]
  • 1996 Coordinating Policies for Human Resources Development
    by G.A. Meagher [Downloadable!]
  • 1996 Economic Modelling and the National Strategy for Vocational Education and Training
    by G.A. Meagher & B.R. Parmenter [Downloadable!]
  • 1996 Future Workforce Skills: Projections with the MONASH Model
    by G.A. Meagher & B.R. Parmenter [Downloadable!]
  • 1996 Aggregation Bias in Estimating European Money Demand Functions
    by Wesche, Katrin [Downloadable!]
  • 1996 Nearest-Neighbor Forecasts of U.S. Interest Rates
    by John Barkoulas & Christopher F. Baum & Atreya Chakraborty [Downloadable!]
  • 1996 Speculative Behaviour, Regime-Switching and Stock Market Crashes
    by Van Norden, S. & Schaller, H. [Downloadable!]
  • 1996 Determinantes del tipo de interés a largo plazo: Un estudio VAR
    by Javier Nievas López & Eduardo Pozo Remiro [Downloadable!]
  • 1993 Stochastic Trends and Short-Run Relationships Between Financial Variables and Rela Activity
    by Toru Konishi & Valerie A. Ramey [Downloadable!]
  • 1993 Explaining The Term Structure Of Interest Rates: A Panel Data Approach
    by E. Scott Mayfield & Robert G. Murphy
  • 1971 A Forecasting Model Of The Canadian Economy
    by Glenn Jenkins [Downloadable!]
  • Deficit Spending in the Nazi Recovery, 1933-1938: A Critical Reassessment
    by Albrecht Ritschl [Downloadable!]
  • Did Monetary Forces Cause the Great Depression? A Bayesian VAR Analysis for the U.S. Economy
    by Albrecht Ritschl & Ulrich Woitek [Downloadable!]
  • A Critique on the Proposed Use of External Sovereign Credit Ratings in Basel II
    by Roman Kraeussl [Downloadable!]
  • Do Changes in Sovereign Credit Ratings Contribute to Financial Contagion in Emerging Market Crises?
    by Roman Kraeussl [Downloadable!]
  • Do Credit Rating Agencies Add to the Dynamics of Emerging Market Crises
    by Roman Kraeussl [Downloadable!]
  • House Prices and Monetary Policy in Colombia
    by Martha López [Downloadable!]

    This page was last updated on 2009-11-8.


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