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Developing a Dynamic Stochastic Model of General Equilibrium for the Russian Economy

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  • Andrei Polbin

    (Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy)

  • Sergey Drobyshevsky

    (Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy)

Abstract

This paper describes a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model for the Russian economy. It takes into account a high dependence of the national economy on the oil export. The model consists of three production sectors: tradable and non-tradable sectors and oil extraction sector. Oil is exported and used as an input in tradable and non-tradable sectors. As an application of the calibrated model we analyze the macroeconomic effects of structural shocks that are popular in the literature and actual for the Russian economy including oil price shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Andrei Polbin & Sergey Drobyshevsky, 2014. "Developing a Dynamic Stochastic Model of General Equilibrium for the Russian Economy," Research Paper Series, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 166P, pages 156-156.
    • Handle: RePEc:gai:rpaper:124
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    Cited by:

    1. Arcady Solovyev, 2016. "Demographic Risks of the Pension Reform in the Russian Federation," Economy of region, Centre for Economic Security, Institute of Economics of Ural Branch of Russian Academy of Sciences, vol. 1(1), pages 162-174.
    2. Mikhail Yu. Andreyev & Andrey V. Polbin, 2018. "The Impact of Fiscal Policy on Macroeconomic Indicators in DSGE-models," Finansovyj žhurnal — Financial Journal, Financial Research Institute, Moscow 125375, Russia, issue 3, pages 21-33, June.
    3. Idrisov, Georgy & Kazakova, Maria & Polbin, Andrey, 2015. "A theoretical interpretation of the oil prices impact on economic growth in contemporary Russia," Russian Journal of Economics, Elsevier, vol. 1(3), pages 257-272.
    4. Anton I. Votinov & Maria A. Elkina, 2018. "Estimation of Fiscal Stimulus Efficiency in Russian Economy: Simple DSGE Model With Government Sector," Finansovyj žhurnal — Financial Journal, Financial Research Institute, Moscow 125375, Russia, issue 5, pages 83-96, October.
    5. Dmitry Kreptsev & Sergei Seleznev, 2017. "DSGE Model of the Russian Economy with the Banking Sector," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps27, Bank of Russia.
    6. Ainagul T. Mamyralieva & Aziza B. Karbekova & Gulchehra B. Abdyrahmanova, 2022. "Analysis of the economic sectors? sustainability of the Kyrgyz Republic," RIVISTA DI STUDI SULLA SOSTENIBILITA', FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 0(2), pages 185-204.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Russian economy; stochastic model of general equilibrium.;

    JEL classification:

    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E40 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - General
    • E47 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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