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Series handle: RePEc:nsr:niesrb
ISSN: 2753-9377
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Content
2024, Issue 16
- 1-4 Foreword
by Stephen Millard
- 4-5 National Institute Global Economic Outlook – Autumn 2024 – Summary
by Kaya, Ahmet & Cornforth, Ed & Hurst, Ian & Liadze, Iana & Sanchez Juanino, Patricia & Millard, Stephen & Bernard, Shama & Naisbitt, Barry & de Greef, Lea
- 6-78 National Institute Global Economic Outlook Autumn 2024
by Kaya, Ahmet & Cornforth, Ed & Hurst, Ian & Liadze, Iana & Sanchez Juanino, Patricia & Millard, Stephen & Bernard, Shama & Naisbitt, Barry & de Greef, Lea
- 14-20 Box A: Does the Recent Rise in Shipping Costs Warn of Higher Inflation?
by Kaya, Ahmet & Cornforth, Ed & Naisbitt, Barry
- 28-42 Box B: Not Your Father's Rate Cycle: US Economic Resilience Against Rate Hikes
by Monica George Michail & Paul Mortimer-Lee
- 53-63 Box C: Global Ripples: Fed's Monetary Moves and their Impact on Emerging Economies
by Turalay Kenc
- 64-77 NiGEM Topical Feature: The Effects of Higher US tariffs
by Bernard, Shama & de Greef, Lea & Hurst, Ian & Kaya, Ahmet & Naisbitt, Barry & Liadze, Iana
- 79-87 Appendix A: Summary of key forecast assumptions
by Liadze, Iana
- 88-96 Appendix B: Forecast detail
by Liadze, Iana
2024, Issue 15
- 3-4 Foreword
by Stephen Millard
- 7-47 National Institute Global Economic Outlook – Summer 2024 – Summary
by Kaya, Ahmet & Cornforth, Ed & Hurst, Ian & Liadze, Iana & Sanchez Juanino, Patricia & Millard, Stephen & Bernard, Shama & Naisbitt, Barry & de Greef, Lea
- 23-28 Box A: The European Union's Revised Fiscal Rules: Main Features and Implications
by Cassaro, Lucia
- 41-43 Box B: Quantitative Easing, Fiscal Policy and Central Bank Recapitalisation
by Jagjit S. Chadha
- 48-55 Appendix A: Summary of key forecast assumptions
by Liadze, Iana
- 56-64 Appendix B: Forecast detail
by Liadze, Iana
2024, Issue 14
- 3-4 Foreword
by Millard, Stephen
- 5-6 National Institute Global Economic Outlook – Summary
by Niesr
- 7-64 Global Economic Outlook
by Naisbitt, Barry & Cornforth, Ed & Hurst, Ian & Liadze, Iana & Kaya, Ahmet & Sanchez Juanino, Patricia & Millard, Stephen & Bernard, Shama
- 23-33 Box A: Everything You Wanted to Know About the US Budget Deficit and Debt But Were Afraid to Ask
by Paul Mortimer-Lee & Ahmet Kaya
- 36-39 Box B: How Geopolitics Shapes Chinese Economic Policy: An Introduction to 'Asymmetric Decoupling'
by David Lubin
- 54-64 NiGEM Topical Feature: To What Extent Has the Recovery and Resilience Facility Supported the EU Recovery from Covid?
by Stephen Millard
- 65-71 Appendix A: Summary of key forecast assumptions
by Liadze, Iana
- 72-80 Appendix B: Forecast detail
by Liadze, Iana
2024, Issue 13
- 1-3 Foreword
by Millard, Stephen
- 4-6 National Institute Global Economic Outlook – Summary
by Niesr
- 7-53 Global Economic Outlook
by Naisbitt, Barry & Cornforth, Ed & Hurst, Ian & Liadze, Iana & Kaya, Ahmet & Sanchez Juanino, Patricia & Millard, Stephen & Bernard, Shama
- 33-37 Box A: The Financial (In)Stability Real Interest Rate, R**, as a Monetary Policy Constraint
by Gianluca Benigno
- 39-43 Box B: Geopolitical risks and the global economy
by Kaya, Ahmet
- 45-51 Box C: The Spectre of a US House Price Correction
by Paul Mortimer-Lee
- 54-60 Appendix A: Summary of key forecast assumptions
by Liadze, Iana
- 61-69 Appendix B: Forecast detail
by Liadze, Iana
2023, Issue 12
- 1-3 Foreword
by Millard, Stephen
- 4-6 National Institute Global Economic Outlook – Summary
by Niesr
- 7-37 Global Economic Outlook
by Naisbitt, Barry & Cornforth, Ed & Hurst, Ian & Liadze, Iana & Kaya, Ahmet & Sanchez Juanino, Patricia & Millard, Stephen & Bernard, Shama
- 38-46 Box A: The Fed Has Overtightened
by Mortimer-Lee, Paul
- 47-52 Box B: Expanding country models in NiGEM
by Cornforth, Ed
- 53-61 Appendix A: Summary of key forecast assumptions
by Liadze, Iana
- 62-71 Appendix B: Forecast detail
by Liadze, Iana
2023, Issue 11
- 1-3 Foreword
by Chadha, Jagjit S.
- 4-6 National Institute Global Economic Outlook – Summary
by Niesr
- 7-34 Global Economic Outlook
by Naisbitt, Barry & Cornforth, Ed & Paula Bejarano Carbo & Hurst, Ian & Liadze, Iana & Mao, Xuxin & Sanchez Juanino, Patricia & Millard, Stephen
- 35-40 Box A: Prospects for Emerging Central and Eastern European Economies
by Jakub Rybacki
- 41-48 Box B: The Multilateral Context for European and Australian Economic Cooperation
by Paul Gretton
- 49-58 Box C: Why Did US Inflation Forecasts Fail?
by Paul Mortimer-Lee
- 59-69 NiGEM Topical Feature: Short-term Impact from a Rapid Increase in Carbon Taxes
by Iana Liadze & Barry Naisbitt & Patricia Sanchez-Juanino & Millard, Stephen
- 70-78 Appendix A: Summary of key forecast assumptions
by Liadze, Iana
- 79-88 Appendix B: Forecast detail
by Liadze, Iana
2023, Issue 10
- 1-3 Foreword
by Chadha, Jagjit S.
- 4-5 National Institute Global Economic Outlook – Summary
by Niesr
- 6-26 Global Economic Outlook
by Naisbitt, Barry & Cornforth, Ed & Paula Bejarano Carbo & Nowinska, Joanna & Hurst, Ian & Liadze, Iana & Low, Hailey & Mao, Xuxin & Sanchez Juanino, Patricia
- 27-33 Modelling the effects from slower trade growth: an exercise using NiGEM
by Iana Liadze & Barry Naisbitt & Patricia Sanchez-Juanino
- 34-39 Appendix A: Summary of key forecast assumptions
by Liadze, Iana
- 40-48 Appendix B: Forecast detail
by Liadze, Iana
2023, Issue 9
- 1-3 Foreword
by Chadha, Jagjit S.
- 4-5 National Institute Global Economic Outlook – Summary
by Niesr
- 6-34 Global Economic Outlook
by Naisbitt, Barry & Cornforth, Ed & Paula Bejarano Carbo & Nowinska, Joanna & Hurst, Ian & Liadze, Iana & Low, Hailey & Mao, Xuxin & Sanchez Juanino, Patricia
- 12-14 Box A: The First World War: what it helps us to understand about Russia's invasion of Ukraine
by Cohen, Norma
- 21-27 Box B: Has headline inflation peaked in the G7 economies?
by Naisbitt, Barry & Nowinska, Joanna
- 35-42 NiGEM Topical Feature: Modelling a secular slowdown in China: an exercise using NiGEM
by Iana Liadze & Mao, Xuxin & Barry Naisbitt & Patricia Sanchez-Juanino
- 43-48 Appendix A: Summary of key forecast assumptions
by Liadze, Iana
- 49-58 Appendix B: Forecast detail
by Liadze, Iana
2022, Issue 8
- 1-3 Foreword: Troubled Waters
by Chadha, Jagjit S.
- 4-5 National Institute Global Economic Outlook – Summary
by Niesr
- 6-26 Global Economic Outlook
by Naisbitt, Barry & Boshoff, Janine & Ed Cornforth & Paula Bejarano Carbo & Joanna Nowinska & Hurst, Ian & Liadze, Iana & Macchiarelli, Corrado & Mao, Xuxin & Sanchez Juanino, Patricia
- 27-30 Box A: Rising concerns over increased global economic fragmentation
by Barry Naisbitt
- 31-34 Box B: What is new in the NGFS scenarios?
by Patricia Sanchez-Juanino
- 35-43 NiGEM Topical Feature: The deflationary effects of global monetary tightening – an examination using NiGEM
by Iana Liadze & Corrado Macchiarelli & Barry Naisbitt & Patricia Sanchez-Juanino
- 44-49 Appendix A: Summary of key forecast assumptions
by Liadze, Iana
- 50-58 Appendix B: Forecast detail
by Liadze, Iana
2022, Issue 7
- 1-3 Foreword: Fraying at the Edges
by Chadha, Jagjit S.
- 4-5 National Institute Global Economic Outlook – Fraying at the Edges – Summary
by Niesr
- 6-23 Global Economic Outlook
by Naisbitt, Barry & Boshoff, Janine & Hurst, Ian & Liadze, Iana & Macchiarelli, Corrado & Mao, Xuxin & Sanchez Juanino, Patricia
- 24-27 Box A: The Euro Area's monetary-fiscal policy interactions after 2020: A new normal?
by Macchiarelli, Corrado & Giacon, Renato & Bartzokas, Anthony
- 28-31 Box B: The geopolitical consequences of Russia's invasion of Ukraine
by Butler, Creon
- 32-39 The global effects of an oil price shock in NiGEM
by Liadze, Iana & Macchiarelli, Corrado & Sanchez Juanino, Patricia & Naisbitt, Barry
- 40-45 Appendix A: Summary of key forecast assumptions
by Liadze, Iana
- 46-54 Appendix B: Forecast detail
by Liadze, Iana
2022, Issue 6
- 1-3 Foreword: Walking the Line
by Chadha, Jagjit S.
- 4-5 National Institute Global Economic Outlook – Walking the Line – Summary
by Niesr
- 6-23 Global Economic Outlook
by Naisbitt, Barry & Boshoff, Janine & Hurst, Ian & Liadze, Iana & Macchiarelli, Corrado & Mao, Xuxin & Sanchez Juanino, Patricia
- 24-29 Box A: China's slowdown is structural
by Eslake, Saul
- 30-34 Box B: War in Ukraine and the options for Europe's energy supply
by Aitken, Christopher & Ersoy, Erkal
- 35-45 NiGEM Topical Feature: Re-evaluating the Economic Costs of the Russia-Ukraine Conflict in NiGEM
by Liadze, Iana & Macchiarelli, Corrado & Sanchez Juanino, Patricia
- 46-51 Appendix A: Summary of key forecast assumptions
by Liadze, Iana
- 52-60 Appendix B: Forecast detail
by Liadze, Iana
2022, Issue 5
- 1-3 Foreward: Picking up the pieces
by Chadha, Jagjit S.
- 1-4 Executive summary
by Niesr
- 5-20 Inflation prompts policy normalisation
by Naisbitt, Barry & Boshoff, Janine & Holland, Dawn Nicole & Hurst, Ian & Liadze, Iana & Lenoel, Cyrille & Macchiarelli, Corrado & Mao, Xuxin & Sanchez Juanino, Patricia & Thamotheram, Craig & Whyte, Kemar
- 21-27 US Inflation: is it "Back to the Future"?
by Mortimer-Lee, Paul
- 28-31 Box B: Turkey's unorthodox monetary policy
by Kenc, Turalay
- 32-37 NiGEM Topical Feature: Monetary Policy Spillovers: the Euro Area and the United States in NiGEM
by Liadze, Iana & Naisbitt, Barry & Macchiarelli, Corrado & Sanchez Juanino, Patricia
- 38-41 Appendix A: Summary of key forecast assumptions
by Liadze, Iana
- 42-49 Appendix B: Forecast detail
by Liadze, Iana
2021, Issue 4
- 1-3 Foreward: The Needle's Eye
by Chadha, Jagjit S.
- 4-5 Executive summary
by Niesr
- 6-23 Slowing growth, rising inflation fears
by Naisbitt, Barry & Boshoff, Janine & Holland, Dawn Nicole & Hurst, Ian & Liadze, Iana & Lenoel, Cyrille & Macchiarelli, Corrado & Mao, Xuxin & Sanchez Juanino, Patricia & Thamotheram, Craig & Whyte, Kemar
- 24-31 Box A: US inflation - peaking soon?
by Naisbitt, Barry & Macchiarelli, Corrado & Sanchez Juanino, Patricia
- 32-37 Box B: Services rebound from the Covid-19 shock
by Naisbitt, Barry & Whyte, Kemar
- 38-43 NiGEM Topical Feature 1: Modelling a sudden largescale global carbon tax shock in NiGEM
by Holland, Dawn & Whyte, Kemar
- 44-47 Appendix A: Summary of key forecast assumptions
by Liadze, Iana
- 48-55 Appendix B: Forecast detail
by Liadze, Iana
2021, Issue 3
- 1-3 Foreward
by Chadha, Jagjit S.
- 1-4 Overview
by Niesr
- 5-22 Inflation fears escalate as GDP returns to its pre-pandemic level
by Naisbitt, Barry & Boshoff, Janine & Holland, Dawn Nicole & Hurst, Ian & Liadze, Iana & Lenoel, Cyrille & Macchiarelli, Corrado & Mao, Xuxin & Sanchez Juanino, Patricia & Thamotheram, Craig & Whyte, Kemar
- 23-33 NiGEM Topical Feature 1: Simulating the effect of the EU Recovery and Resilience Facility in NiGEM
by Liadze, Iana & Macchiarelli, Corrado
- 34-37 Appendix A: Summary of key forecast assumptions
by Liadze, Iana
- 38-45 Appendix B: Forecast detail
by Liadze, Iana
2021, Issue 2
- 1-3 Foreward
by Chadha, Jagjit S.
- 1-4 Overview
by Niesr
- 5-22 Vaccinations and US fiscal stimulus boost growth prospects
by Naisbitt, Barry & Boshoff, Janine & Holland, Dawn Nicole & Hurst, Ian & Liadze, Iana & Lenoel, Cyrille & Macchiarelli, Corrado & Mao, Xuxin & Sanchez Juanino, Patricia & Thamotheram, Craig & Whyte, Kemar
- 23-29 NiGEM Topical Feature 1: Modelling the impact of the American Rescue Plan in NiGEM
by Holland, Dawn Nicole & Sanchez Juanino, Patricia & Liadze, Iana & Naisbitt, Barry
- 30-35 NiGEM Topical Feature 2: Financial spillovers of the American Rescue Plan on emerging markets
by Holland, Dawn Nicole & Kucuk, Hande & Macchiarelli, Corrado
- 36-39 Appendix A: Summary of key forecast assumptions
by Liadze, Iana
- 40-47 Appendix B: Forecast detail
by Liadze, Iana
2021, Issue 1
- 1-3 Foreward
by Chadha, Jagit S.
- 1-4 Overview
by Niesr
- 5-18 The world in its grip: Covid-19
by Naisbitt, Barry & Boshoff, Janine & Holland, Dawn Nicole & Hurst, Ian & Liadze, Iana & Lenoel, Cyrille & Macchiarelli, Corrado & Mao, Xuxin & Sanchez Juanino, Patricia & Thamotheram, Craig & Whyte, Kemar
- 19-25 NiGEM Topical Feature 1: Trade and the unequal race to the Covid-19 vaccine
by Holland, Dawn Nicole & Macchiarelli, Corrado & Mao, Xuxin
- 26-31 NiGEM Topical Feature 2: Modelling the change in US monetary policy framework in NiGEM
by Holland, Dawn Nicole & Kucuk, Hande & Lenoel, Cyrille
- 32-35 Appendix A: Summary of key forecast assumptions
by Liadze, Iana
- 36-43 Appendix B: Forecast detail
by Liadze, Iana
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