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Stochastic Model Specification Search for Time-Varying Parameter VARs
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Cited by:
- Annalisa Cadonna & Sylvia Fruhwirth-Schnatter & Peter Knaus, 2019. "Triple the gamma -- A unifying shrinkage prior for variance and variable selection in sparse state space and TVP models," Papers 1912.03100, arXiv.org.
- Florian Huber & Gregor Kastner & Martin Feldkircher, 2019.
"Should I stay or should I go? A latent threshold approach to large‐scale mixture innovation models,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(5), pages 621-640, August.
- Florian Huber & Gregor Kastner & Martin Feldkircher, 2016. "Should I stay or should I go? Bayesian inference in the threshold time varying parameter (TTVP) model," Department of Economics Working Papers wuwp235, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics.
- Florian Huber & Gregor Kastner & Martin Feldkircher, 2016. "Should I stay or should I go? A latent threshold approach to large-scale mixture innovation models," Papers 1607.04532, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2018.
- Huber, Florian & Kastner, Gregor & Feldkircher, Martin, 2018. "Should I stay or should I go? A latent threshold approach to large-scale mixture innovation models," Working Papers in Economics 2018-5, University of Salzburg.
- Huber, Florian & Kastner, Gregor & Feldkircher, Martin, 2016. "Should I stay or should I go? Bayesian inference in the threshold time varying parameter (TTVP) model," Department of Economics Working Paper Series 235, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris & Pettenuzzo, Davide, 2019.
"Bayesian compressed vector autoregressions,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 210(1), pages 135-154.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis & Davide Pettenuzzo, 2016. "Bayesian Compressed Vector Autoregressions," Working Papers 2016_09, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis & Davide Pettenuzzo, 2016. "Bayesian Compressed Vector Autoregressions," Working Papers 103, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Business School.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis & Davide Pettenuzzo, 2017. "Bayesian Compressed Vector Autoregressions," Working Paper series 17-32, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis & Davide Pettenuzzo, 2016. "Bayesian Compressed Vector Autoregressions," Working Papers 103R, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Business School, revised Apr 2016.
- Karlsson, Sune & Österholm, Pär, 2018. "Is the US Phillips Curve Stable? Evidence from Bayesian VARs," Working Papers 2018:5, Örebro University, School of Business.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Eisenstat, Eric & Strachan, Rodney W., 2020. "Reducing the state space dimension in a large TVP-VAR," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 218(1), pages 105-118.
- Dufays, Arnaud & Rombouts, Jeroen V.K., 2020. "Relevant parameter changes in structural break models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 217(1), pages 46-78.
- Bitto, Angela & Frühwirth-Schnatter, Sylvia, 2019. "Achieving shrinkage in a time-varying parameter model framework," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 210(1), pages 75-97.
- Annalisa Cadonna & Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter & Peter Knaus, 2020. "Triple the Gamma—A Unifying Shrinkage Prior for Variance and Variable Selection in Sparse State Space and TVP Models," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-36, May.
- Eric Eisenstat & Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2018.
"Reducing Dimensions in a Large TVP-VAR,"
Working Paper series
18-37, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Eric Eisenstat & Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2018. "Reducing Dimensions in a Large TVP-VAR," Working Paper Series 43, Economics Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Rodney W. Strachan, 2018. "Reducing dimensions in a large TVP-VAR," CAMA Working Papers 2018-49, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Phan, Tuan, 2016. "Has Monetary Policy Become More Aggressive, But Less Effective Over Time?," MPRA Paper 107200, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Hauzenberger Niko & Huber Florian & Koop Gary, 2024.
"Dynamic Shrinkage Priors for Large Time-Varying Parameter Regressions Using Scalable Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 28(2), pages 201-225, April.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Gary Koop, "undated". "Dynamic Shrinkage Priors for Large Time-varying Parameter Regressions using Scalable Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods," Working Papers 2305, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Gary Koop, 2020. "Dynamic Shrinkage Priors for Large Time-varying Parameter Regressions using Scalable Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods," Papers 2005.03906, arXiv.org, revised May 2023.
- Sylvia Fruhwirth-Schnatter & Peter Knaus, 2022. "Sparse Bayesian State-Space and Time-Varying Parameter Models," Papers 2207.12147, arXiv.org.
- Dawid J. van Lill, 2017. "Changes in the Liquidity Effect Over Time: Evidence from Four Monetary Policy Regimes," Working Papers 704, Economic Research Southern Africa.
- Martin Feldkircher & Nico Hauzenberger, 2019. "How useful are time-varying parameter models for forecasting economic growth in CESEE?," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q1/19, pages 29-48.
- Mike G. Tsionas, 2016. "Alternatives to large VAR, VARMA and multivariate stochastic volatility models," Working Papers 217, Bank of Greece.
- Gong, Xiao-Li & Liu, Xi-Hua & Xiong, Xiong & Zhuang, Xin-Tian, 2019. "Non-Gaussian VARMA model with stochastic volatility and applications in stock market bubbles," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 129-136.
- Legrand, Romain, 2018. "Time-Varying Vector Autoregressions: Efficient Estimation, Random Inertia and Random Mean," MPRA Paper 88925, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2018.
"Specification tests for time-varying parameter models with stochastic volatility,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(8), pages 807-823, September.
- Joshua C.C. Chan, 2015. "Specification tests for time-varying parameter models with stochastic volatility," CAMA Working Papers 2015-42, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Reusens Peter & Croux Christophe, 2017. "Detecting time variation in the price puzzle: a less informative prior choice for time varying parameter VAR models," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 21(4), pages 1-18, September.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat, 2018.
"Bayesian model comparison for time‐varying parameter VARs with stochastic volatility,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(4), pages 509-532, June.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat, 2015. "Bayesian model comparison for time-varying parameter VARs with stochastic volatility," CAMA Working Papers 2015-32, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Emmanuel C. Mamatzakis & Steven Ongena & Mike G. Tsionas, 2023. "The response of household debt to COVID-19 using a neural networks VAR in OECD," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(1), pages 65-91, July.
- Assaf, A. George & Tsionas, Mike G., 2019. "Forecasting occupancy rate with Bayesian compression methods," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 439-449.
- Martin Feldkircher & Luis Gruber & Florian Huber & Gregor Kastner, 2024. "Sophisticated and small versus simple and sizeable: When does it pay off to introduce drifting coefficients in Bayesian vector autoregressions?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(6), pages 2126-2145, September.
- Filippo Ferroni & Stefano Grassi & Miguel A. Leon-Ledesma, 2015.
"Fundamental shock selection in DSGE models,"
Studies in Economics
1508, School of Economics, University of Kent.
- Stefano Grassi & Miguel Leon-Ledesma & Filippo Ferroni, 2016. "Fundamental shock selection in DSGE models," 2016 Meeting Papers 47, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Tsai, I-Chun & Chen, Han-Bo & Lin, Che-Chun, 2024. "The ability of energy commodities to hedge the dynamic risk of epidemic black swans," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
- Barbara Rossi, 2019.
"Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them,"
Working Papers
1162, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Rossi, Barbara, 2020. "Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them," CEPR Discussion Papers 14472, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Barbara Rossi, 2019. "Forecasting in the presence of instabilities: How do we know whether models predict well and how to improve them," Economics Working Papers 1711, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Jul 2021.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat, 2015. "Efficient estimation of Bayesian VARMAs with time-varying coefficients," CAMA Working Papers 2015-19, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2022.
"Asymmetric conjugate priors for large Bayesian VARs,"
Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 13(3), pages 1145-1169, July.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2019. "Asymmetric conjugate priors for large Bayesian VARs," CAMA Working Papers 2019-51, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2021. "Asymmetric Conjugate Priors for Large Bayesian VARs," Papers 2111.07170, arXiv.org.
- Korobilis, Dimitris, 2014.
"Data-based priors for vector autoregressions with drifting coefficients,"
SIRE Discussion Papers
2014-022, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Dimitris Korobilis, 2014. "Data-based priors for vector autoregressions with drifting coefficients," Working Papers 2014_04, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Korobilis, Dimitris, 2014. "Data-based priors for vector autoregressions with drifting coefficients," MPRA Paper 53772, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Belomestny, Denis & Krymova, Ekaterina & Polbin, Andrey, 2021. "Bayesian TVP-VARX models with time invariant long-run multipliers," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
- Cross, Jamie, 2019. "On the reduced macroeconomic volatility of the Australian economy: Good policy or good luck?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 174-186.
- Liu, Junbin & Liu, Xiaoxing & Shi, Guangping, 2019. "What influences portfolio contagion among open-end mutual funds?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 145-152.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Grant, Angelia L., 2016.
"Fast computation of the deviance information criterion for latent variable models,"
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 847-859.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Angelia L. Grant, 2014. "Fast Computation of the Deviance Information Criterion for Latent Variable Models," CAMA Working Papers 2014-09, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Mike G. Tsionas, 2016. "Alternative Bayesian compression in Vector Autoregressions and related models," Working Papers 216, Bank of Greece.
- Lin Liu, 2022. "Economic Uncertainty and Exchange Market Pressure: Evidence From China," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(1), pages 21582440211, January.
- Filippo Ferroni & Stefano Grassi & Miguel A. León-Ledesma, 2017. "Selecting Primal Innovations in DSGE models," Working Paper Series WP-2017-20, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- Lopes, Hedibert F. & McCulloch, Robert E. & Tsay, Ruey S., 2022. "Parsimony inducing priors for large scale state–space models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 230(1), pages 39-61.
- Williams Ohemeng & Elvis Kwame Agyapong & Kenneth Ofori-Boateng, 2021. "Exchange rate and inflation dynamics: does the month or quarter of the year matter?," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 1(6), pages 1-24, June.
- Marta Banbura & Andries van Vlodrop, 2018. "Forecasting with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions with Time Variation in the Mean," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 18-025/IV, Tinbergen Institute.
- Michael O’Grady, 2019. "Estimating the Output, Inflation and Unemployment Gaps in Ireland using Bayesian Model Averaging," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 50(1), pages 35-76.