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The Cross-Section and Time-Series of Stock and Bond Returns
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- Carolin Pflueger & Emil Siriwardane & Adi Sunderam, 2018. "A Measure of Risk Appetite for the Macroeconomy," NBER Working Papers 24529, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Croce, M.M. & Nguyen, Thien T. & Raymond, S. & Schmid, L., 2019. "Government debt and the returns to innovation," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(3), pages 205-225.
- Christian Gouriéroux & Alain Monfort & Sarah Mouabbi & Jean-Paul Renne, 2021.
"Disastrous Defaults [Risk premia and term premia in general equilibrium],"
Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 25(6), pages 1727-1772.
- Gouriéroux Christian & Monfort Alain & Mouabbi Sarah & Renne Jean-Paul, 2020. "Disastrous Defaults," Working papers 778, Banque de France.
- Gouriéroux, Christian & Monfort, Alain & Mouabbi, Sarah & Renne, Jean-Paul, 2021. "Disastrous Defaults," TSE Working Papers 21-1237, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
- Pegoraro, F. & Siegel, A. F. & Tiozzo Pezzoli, L., 2014. "Specification Analysis of International Treasury Yield Curve Factors," Working papers 490, Banque de France.
- Jongrim Ha & M. Ayhan Kose & Christopher Otrok & Eswar S. Prasad, 2020.
"Global macro-financial cycles and spillovers,"
CAMA Working Papers
2020-12, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Ha, Jongrim & Kose, M. Ayhan & Otrok, Christopher & Prasad, Eswar, 2020. "Global Macro-Financial Cycles and Spillovers," IZA Discussion Papers 13000, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Jongrim Ha & M. Ayhan Kose & Christopher Otrok & Eswar S. Prasad, 2020. "Global Macro-Financial Cycles and Spillovers," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 2004, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
- Kose, M. Ayhan & Ha, Jongrim & Otrok, Christopher & Prasad, Eswar, 2020. "Global Macro-Financial Cycles and Spillovers," CEPR Discussion Papers 14404, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Jongrim Ha & M. Ayhan Kose & Christopher Otrok & Eswar S. Prasad, 2020. "Global Macro-Financial Cycles and Spillovers," NBER Working Papers 26798, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Fabio C. Bagliano & Claudio Morana, 2017.
"It ain’t over till it’s over: A global perspective on the Great Moderation-Great Recession interconnection,"
Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(49), pages 4946-4969, October.
- Fabio C. Bagliano & Claudio Morana, 2015. "It ain't over till it's over: A global perspective on the Great Moderation-Great Recession interconnection," Working papers 031, Department of Economics, Social Studies, Applied Mathematics and Statistics (Dipartimento di Scienze Economico-Sociali e Matematico-Statistiche), University of Torino.
- Fabio C. Bagliano & Claudio Morana, 2015. "It ain'?t over till it'?s over: A global perspective on the Great Moderation-Great Recession interconnection," Carlo Alberto Notebooks 424, Collegio Carlo Alberto.
- Fabio Bagliano & Claudio Morana, 2015. "It ain't over till it's over: A global perspective on the Great Moderation-Great Recession interconnection," Working Papers 303, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Jul 2015.
- Bandi, Federico M. & Chaudhuri, Shomesh E. & Lo, Andrew W. & Tamoni, Andrea, 2021. "Spectral factor models," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(1), pages 214-238.
- Pinter, Gabor, 2018.
"Macroeconomic shocks and risk premia,"
LSE Research Online Documents on Economics
90370, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Gabor Pinter, 2018. "Macroeconomic Shocks and Risk Premia," Discussion Papers 1812, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
- Philippe Mueller & Andrea Vedolin & Hao Zhou, 2019.
"Short-Run Bond Risk Premia,"
Quarterly Journal of Finance (QJF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 9(03), pages 1-34, September.
- Mueller, Philippe & Vedolin, Andrea & Zhou, Hao, 2011. "Short run bond risk premia," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 119065, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Philippe Mueller & Andrea Vedolin & Hao Zhou, 2011. "Short Run Bond Risk Premia," FMG Discussion Papers dp686, Financial Markets Group.
- Ralph S. J. Koijen & Tomas J. Philipson & Harald Uhlig, 2016.
"Financial Health Economics,"
Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 84, pages 195-242, January.
- Ralph Koijen & Tomas Philipson & Harald Uhlig, 2014. "Financial Health Economics," NBER Working Papers 20075, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Ralph S.J. Koijen & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2011.
"Predictability of Returns and Cash Flows,"
Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 3(1), pages 467-491, December.
- Ralph S.J. Koijen & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2010. "Predictability of Returns and Cash Flows," NBER Working Papers 16648, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Christian Leschinski & Michelle Voges & Philipp Sibbertsen, 2021.
"Integration and Disintegration of EMU Government Bond Markets,"
Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-17, March.
- Leschinski, Christian & Voges, Michelle & Sibbertsen, Philipp, 2018. "Integration and Disintegration of EMU Government Bond Markets," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-625, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
- Kozak, Serhiy & Santosh, Shrihari, 2020. "Why do discount rates vary?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 137(3), pages 740-751.
- Dick, Christian D. & Schmeling, Maik & Schrimpf, Andreas, 2013.
"Macro-expectations, aggregate uncertainty, and expected term premia,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 58-80.
- Christian D. Dick & Maik Schmeling & Andreas Schrimpf, 2010. "Macro Expectations, Aggregate Uncertainty, and Expected Term Premia," CREATES Research Papers 2010-49, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Dick, Christian D. & Schmeling, Maik & Schrimpf, Andreas, 2010. "Macro expectations, aggregate uncertainty, and expected term premia," ZEW Discussion Papers 10-064, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
- Dewandaru, Ginanjar & Masih, Rumi & Bacha, Obiyathulla Ismath & Masih, A. Mansur. M., 2015.
"Combining momentum, value, and quality for the Islamic equity portfolio: Multi-style rotation strategies using augmented Black Litterman factor model,"
Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 205-232.
- Dewandaru, Ginanjar & Masih, Rumi & Bacha, Obiyathulla & Masih, A. Mansur M., 2014. "Combining Momentum, Value, and Quality for the Islamic Equity Portfolio: Multi-style Rotation Strategies using Augmented Black Litterman Factor Model," MPRA Paper 56965, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Morana, Claudio, 2014.
"Insights on the global macro-finance interface: Structural sources of risk factor fluctuations and the cross-section of expected stock returns,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 64-79.
- Claudio Morana, 2013. "Insights on the global macro-finance interface: Structural sources of risk factors fluctuations and the cross-section of expected stock returns," Working Papers 264, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Dec 2013.
- Claudio Morana, 2013. "Insights on the global macro-finance interface: Structural sources of risk factors fluctuations and the cross-section of expected stock returns," CeRP Working Papers 138, Center for Research on Pensions and Welfare Policies, Turin (Italy).
- Goldstein, Itay & Jiang, Hao & Ng, David T., 2017. "Investor flows and fragility in corporate bond funds," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(3), pages 592-613.
- Chen, Zhiyao & Hackbarth, Dirk & Strebulaev, Ilya A., 2022. "A unified model of distress risk puzzles," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(2), pages 357-384.
- Boons, Martijn & Duarte, Fernando & de Roon, Frans & Szymanowska, Marta, 2020.
"Time-varying inflation risk and stock returns,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(2), pages 444-470.
- Martijn Boons & Frans de Roon & Fernando M. Duarte & Marta Szymanowska, 2013. "Time-Varying Inflation Risk and Stock Returns," Staff Reports 621, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Matthijs Breugem & Stefano Colonello & Roberto Marfè & Francesca Zucchi, 2020.
"Dynamic Equity Slope,"
Working Papers
2020:21, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
- Matthijs Breugem & Stefano Colonnello & Roberto Marfè & Francesca Zucchi, 2020. "Dynamic Equity Slope," Carlo Alberto Notebooks 626, Collegio Carlo Alberto.
- Matthijs Breugem & Stefano Colonnello & Roberto Marfe & Francesca Zucchi, 2024. "Dynamic Equity Slope," Carlo Alberto Notebooks 713 JEL Classification: D, Collegio Carlo Alberto.
- Tim A. Kroencke & Felix Schindler & Bertram I. Steininger, 2018. "The Anatomy of Public and Private Real Estate Return Premia," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 56(3), pages 500-523, April.
- Stephanie Heck, 2022. "Corporate bond yields and returns: a survey," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 36(2), pages 179-201, June.
- Bandi, Federico M. & Tamoni, Andrea, 2023. "Business-cycle consumption risk and asset prices," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(2).
- Jaroslav Borovička & Mark Hendricks & José A. Scheinkman, 2011.
"Risk-Price Dynamics,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics,
Society for Financial Econometrics, vol. 9(1), pages 3-65, Winter.
- Jaroslav Borovička & Lars Peter Hansen & Mark Hendricks & José A. Scheinkman, 2009. "Risk Price Dynamics," NBER Working Papers 15506, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Lars Peter Hansen & Jaroslav BoroviÄ ka & Mark Hendricks & José A. Scheinkman, 2010. "Risk Price Dynamics," Working Papers 2010-004, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics.
- Jaroslav Borovicka & Lars Peter Hansen & Mark Hendricks & Jose A. Scheinkman, 2009. "Risk Price Dynamics," Working Papers 1393, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Econometric Research Program..
- Jesper Rangvid & Maik Schmeling & Andreas Schrimpf, 2009. "Global Asset Pricing: Is There a Role for Long-run Consumption Risk?," CREATES Research Papers 2009-57, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Thomas Kroen & Ernest Liu & Atif Mian & Amir Sufi, 2021.
"Falling Rates and Rising Superstars,"
Working Papers
2021-3, Princeton University. Economics Department..
- Thomas Kroen & Ernest Liu & Atif R. Mian & Amir Sufi, 2021. "Falling Rates and Rising Superstars," NBER Working Papers 29368, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Liu, Yan & Wu, Jing Cynthia, 2021.
"Reconstructing the yield curve,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(3), pages 1395-1425.
- Yan Liu & Jing Cynthia Wu, 2020. "Reconstructing the Yield Curve," NBER Working Papers 27266, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Jannic Cutura & Gianpaolo Parise & Andreas Schrimpf, 2020.
"Debt De-risking,"
BIS Working Papers
868, Bank for International Settlements.
- Parise, Gianpaolo & Cutura, Jannic & Schrimpf, Paul, 2020. "Debt De-risking," CEPR Discussion Papers 14817, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Chatelais, Nicolas & Stalla-Bourdillon, Arthur & Chinn, Menzie D., 2023.
"Forecasting real activity using cross-sectoral stock market information,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
- Nicolas Chatelais & Arthur Stalla-Bourdillon & Menzie Chinn, 2023. "Forecasting real activity using cross-sectoral stock market information," Post-Print hal-04459605, HAL.
- J. Benson Durham, 2013. "Arbitrage-free models of stocks and bonds," Staff Reports 656, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- David Backus & Mikhail Chernov & Stanley Zin, 2014.
"Sources of Entropy in Representative Agent Models,"
Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 69(1), pages 51-99, February.
- Backus, David & Zin, Stanley E. & Chernov, Mikhail, 2011. "Sources of entropy in representative agent models," CEPR Discussion Papers 8488, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- David Backus & Mikhail Chernov & Stanley Zin, 2011. "Sources of Entropy in Representative Agent Models," Working Papers 11-21, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business, Department of Economics.
- David Backus & Mikhail Chernov & Stanley E. Zin, 2011. "Sources of Entropy in Representative Agent Models," NBER Working Papers 17219, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Paulo Maio, 2013. "Intertemporal CAPM with Conditioning Variables," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 59(1), pages 122-141, April.
- Qin, Yiyi & Cai, Jun & Wang, James J.D. & Webb, Robert I., 2023. "Gold-mining stocks, risk factors, and tail patterns," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
- He, Yunhao & Leippold, Markus, 2020. "Short-run risk, business cycle, and the value premium," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
- Andreou, Elena & Ghysels, Eric, 2021. "Predicting the VIX and the volatility risk premium: The role of short-run funding spreads Volatility Factors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 220(2), pages 366-398.
- Bakshi, Gurdip & Chabi-Yo, Fousseni, 2011. "Variance Bounds on the Permanent and Transitory Components of Stochastic Discount Factors," Working Paper Series 2011-11, Ohio State University, Charles A. Dice Center for Research in Financial Economics.
- M. Max Croce & Tatyana Marchuk & Christian Schlag, 2019. "The Leading Premium," NBER Working Papers 25633, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Nicolas Chatelais & Menzie Chinn & Arthur Stalla-Bourdillon, 2022.
"Macroeconomic Forecasting Using Filtered Signals from a Stock Market Cross Section,"
Working papers
903, Banque de France.
- Nicolas Chatelais & Arthur Stalla-Bourdillon & Menzie D. Chinn, 2022. "Macroeconomic Forecasting using Filtered Signals from a Stock Market Cross Section," NBER Working Papers 30305, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Lian, Ziying & Cai, Jun & Webb, Robert I., 2020. "Oil stocks, risk factors, and tail behavior," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
- Croce, Mariano M. & Marchuk, Tatyana & Schlag, Christian, 2022. "The leading premium," SAFE Working Paper Series 371, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
- Pintor, Gabor, 2016. "The macroeconomic shock with the highest price of risk," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 86225, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Jules van Binsbergen & Michael Brandt & Ralph Koijen, 2012.
"On the Timing and Pricing of Dividends,"
American Economic Review,
American Economic Association, vol. 102(4), pages 1596-1618, June.
- Jules H. van Binsbergen & Michael W. Brandt & Ralph S.J. Koijen, 2010. "On the Timing and Pricing of Dividends," NBER Working Papers 16455, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Jules H. van Binsbergen & Michael W. Brandt & Ralph S.J. Koijen, 2011. "On the Timing and Pricing of Dividends," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 11-13, Swiss Finance Institute.
- Jules Vanbinsbergen & Michael W. Brandt & Ralph Koijen, 2010. "On the Timing and Pricing of Dividends," Working Papers 2010-010, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics.
- Assaf Eisdorfer & Carmelo Giaccotto, 2014. "Pricing assets with stochastic cash-flow growth," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(6), pages 1005-1017, June.
- Verner, Robert & Tkáč, Michal, 2023. "On the predictability of bonds," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
- Jaewon Choi & Matthew P. Richardson & Robert F. Whitelaw, 2014. "On the Fundamental Relation Between Equity Returns and Interest Rates," NBER Working Papers 20187, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Bretscher, Lorenzo & Malkhozov, Aytek & Tamoni, Andrea, 2021. "Expectations and aggregate risk," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 91-108.
- Zhang, Han, 2021. "An inflation-based ICAPM in China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
- Lorenzo Bretscher & Andrea Tamoni & Aytek Malkhozov, 2019. "News Shocks and Asset Prices," 2019 Meeting Papers 100, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Carolin Pflueger & Emil Siriwardane & Adi Sunderam, 2019. "Financial Market Risk Perceptions and the Macroeconomy," NBER Working Papers 26290, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Gideon Magnus, 2016. "A plausible model of yield curve dynamics," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 30(2), pages 205-228, May.
- Fernando D. Chague, 2013. "Conditional Betas and Investor Uncertainty," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2013_04, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).
- Croce, Mariano & Schlag, Christian & Marchuk, Tatyana, 2018. "The Leading Premium," CEPR Discussion Papers 12631, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Choi, Jaewon & Kim, Yongjun, 2018. "Anomalies and market (dis)integration," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 16-34.
- Pier dup Lopez & J. David López-Salido & Francisco Vazquez-Grande, 2015.
"Nominal Rigidities and the Term Structures of Equity and Bond Returns,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2015-64, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Pierlauro Lopez & J. David López-Salido & Francisco Vazquez-Grande, 2023. "Nominal Rigidities and the Term Structures of Equity and Bond Returns," Working Papers 23-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Barroso, Pedro & Boons, Martijn & Karehnke, Paul, 2021. "Time-varying state variable risk premia in the ICAPM," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(2), pages 428-451.
- Kozak, Serhiy, 2022. "Dynamics of bond and stock returns," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 188-209.
- Cieslak, Anna & Pang, Hao, 2021. "Common shocks in stocks and bonds," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(2), pages 880-904.
- Kroencke, Tim A. & Schindler, Felix & Sebastian, Steffen & Theissen, Erik, 2013. "GDP mimicking portfolios and the cross-section of stock returns," ZEW Discussion Papers 13-026, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
- Box, Travis & Davis, Ryan & Evans, Richard & Lynch, Andrew, 2021. "Intraday arbitrage between ETFs and their underlying portfolios," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(3), pages 1078-1095.
- Patricia M. Dechow & Ryan D. Erhard & Richard G. Sloan & And Mark T. Soliman, 2021. "Implied Equity Duration: A Measure of Pandemic Shutdown Risk," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 59(1), pages 243-281, March.
- Maio, Paulo & Santa-Clara, Pedro, 2012. "Multifactor models and their consistency with the ICAPM," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(3), pages 586-613.
- Yang, Huan & Cai, Jun & Huang, Lin & Marcus, Alan J., 2021. "Bank stocks, risk factors, and tail behavior," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 203-229.
- Lou, Jun & Wong, Tat Wing & Fung, Ka Wai Terence & Shaende, Jonas J. Nazimoff, 2021. "Stock and bond joint pricing, consumption surplus, and inflation news," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
- Ludvigson, Sydney C., 2013.
"Advances in Consumption-Based Asset Pricing: Empirical Tests,"
Handbook of the Economics of Finance, in: G.M. Constantinides & M. Harris & R. M. Stulz (ed.), Handbook of the Economics of Finance, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 799-906,
Elsevier.
- Sydney C. Ludvigson, 2011. "Advances in Consumption-Based Asset Pricing: Empirical Tests," NBER Working Papers 16810, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Dahlquist, Magnus & Hasseltoft, Henrik, 2013. "International Bond Risk Premia," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(1), pages 17-32.
- Chava, Sudheer & Hsu, Alex & Zeng, Linghang, 2020. "Does history repeat itself? Business cycle and industry returns," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 201-218.
- Zhu, Xiaoneng, 2015. "Out-of-sample bond risk premium predictions: A global common factor," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 155-173.
- Qadan, Mahmoud & Jacob, Maram, 2022. "The value premium and investors' appetite for risk," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 194-219.
- Schmid, Lukas & Croce, Mariano & Raymond, Steve & Nguyen, Thiên Tung, 2018. "Government Debt and the Returns to Innovation," CEPR Discussion Papers 12617, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Jang, Bosung & So, Inhwan & Tong, Eric, 2023. "US structural drivers of international portfolio returns," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
- Gozluklu, Arie & Morin, Annaïg, 2019. "Stock vs. Bond yields and demographic fluctuations," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).