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Notes: The "Gambler's Fallacy" in Lottery Play
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- Roger, Patrick & D’Hondt, Catherine & Plotkina, Daria & Hoffmann, Arvid, 2022.
"Number 19: Another Victim of the COVID‐19 Pandemic?,"
LIDAM Reprints LFIN
2022012, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
- Patrick Roger & Catherine D’hondt & Daria Plotkina & Arvid Hoffmann, 2023. "Number 19: Another Victim of the COVID-19 Pandemic?," Post-Print hal-04243113, HAL.
- Roger, Patrick & D’Hondt, Catherine & Plotkina, Daria & Hoffmann, Arvid, 2022. "Number 19: Another Victim of the COVID‐19 Pandemic?," LIDAM Discussion Papers LFIN 2022007, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
- Johannes G. Jaspersen & Vijay Aseervatham, 2017. "The Influence of Affect on Heuristic Thinking in Insurance Demand," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 84(1), pages 239-266, March.
- Ananda R. Ganguly & Joshua Herbold & Mark E. Peecher, 2007. "Assurer Reputation for Competence in a Multiservice Context," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 24(1), pages 133-170, March.
- Daniel L. Chen & Tobias J. Moskowitz & Kelly Shue, 2016.
"Decision Making Under the Gambler’s Fallacy: Evidence from Asylum Judges, Loan Officers, and Baseball Umpires,"
The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 131(3), pages 1181-1242.
- Daniel Chen & Tobias J. Moskowitz & Kelly Shue, 2016. "Decision-Making under the Gambler's Fallacy: Evidence from Asylum Judges, Loan Officers, and Baseball Umpires," NBER Working Papers 22026, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Momi Dahan, 2017. "Using Spatial Distribution of Outlets to Estimate Gambling Incidence," CESifo Working Paper Series 6583, CESifo.
- Nunnari, Salvatore & Zapal, Jan, 2016. "Gambler's fallacy and imperfect best response in legislative bargaining," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 275-294.
- Dohmen, Thomas & Falk, Armin & Huffman, David & Marklein, Felix & Sunde, Uwe, 2009.
"Biased probability judgment: Evidence of incidence and relationship to economic outcomes from a representative sample,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 72(3), pages 903-915, December.
- Dohmen, Thomas & Falk, Armin & Huffman, David B. & Marklein, Felix & Sunde, Uwe, 2009. "Biased Probability Judgment: Evidence of Incidence and Relationship to Economic Outcomes from a Representative Sample," IZA Discussion Papers 4170, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Thomas Dohmen & Armin Falk & David Huffman & Felix Marklein & Uwe Sunde, 2009. "Biased Probability Judgment: Evidence of Incidence and Relationship to Economic Outcomes From a Representative Sample," Post-Print hal-00723191, HAL.
- Dohmen, Thomas J. & Falk, Armin & Huffman, David & Marklein, Felix & Sunde, Uwe, 2009. "Biased probability judgment: Evidence of incidence and relationship to economic outcomes from a representative sample," Munich Reprints in Economics 20042, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
- Elie Matta & Jean McGuire, 2008. "Too Risky to Hold? The Effect of Downside Risk, Accumulated Equity Wealth, and Firm Performance on CEO Equity Reduction," Organization Science, INFORMS, vol. 19(4), pages 567-580, August.
- Kocher, Martin G. & Krawczyk, Michal & van Winden, Frans, 2014.
"‘Let me dream on!’ Anticipatory emotions and preference for timing in lotteries,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 29-40.
- Martin Kocher & Michal Krawczyk & Frans van Winden, 2009. "'Let me dream on!' Anticipatory Emotions and Preference for Timing in Lotteries," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 09-098/1, Tinbergen Institute.
- Kocher, Martin G. & Krawczyk, Michal & van Winden, Frans, 2014. "'Let me dream on!' Anticipatory emotions and preference for timing in lotteries," Munich Reprints in Economics 18173, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
- van Winden, Frans A.A.M. & Kocher, Martin & Krawczyk, Michal, 2010. "`Let me dream on!' Anticipatory emotions and preference for timing in lotteries," CEPR Discussion Papers 7715, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Dolgikh, Sofiia, 2019. "The influence of subjective beliefs in luck on the decision-making under risk: TV show analysis," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 56, pages 74-98.
- Jonas Radbruch & Amelie Schiprowski, 2020.
"Interview Sequences and the Formation of Subjective Assessments,"
ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series
045, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
- Jonas Radbruch & Amelie Schiprowski, 2021. "Interview Sequences and the Formation of Subjective Assessments," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2021_268v2, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
- Jonas Radbruch & Amelie Schiprowski, 2024. "Interview Sequences and the Formation of Subjective Assessments," Rationality and Competition Discussion Paper Series 497, CRC TRR 190 Rationality and Competition.
- Jonas Radbruch & Amelie Schiprowski, 2024. "Interview Sequences and the Formation of Subjective Assessments," CESifo Working Paper Series 10957, CESifo.
- Radbruch, Jonas & Schiprowski, Amelie, 2021. "Interview Sequences and the Formation of Subjective Assessments," IZA Discussion Papers 14799, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Michał Lewandowski, 2017. "Prospect Theory Versus Expected Utility Theory: Assumptions, Predictions, Intuition and Modelling of Risk Attitudes," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 9(4), pages 275-321, December.
- repec:cup:judgdm:v:16:y:2021:i:4:p:1039-1059 is not listed on IDEAS
- Salaghe, Florina & Sundali, James & Nichols, Mark W. & Guerrero, Federico, 2020. "An empirical investigation of wagering behavior in a large sample of slot machine gamblers," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 369-388.
- Andrey Kudryavtsev, 2017. "The Effect of Preceding Sequences on Stock Returns," European Financial and Accounting Journal, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2017(4), pages 83-96.
- repec:cup:judgdm:v:11:y:2016:i:3:p:243-259 is not listed on IDEAS
- Brian A. Polin & Eyal Ben Isaac & Itzhak Aharon, 2021. "Patterns in manually selected numbers in the Israeli lottery," Judgment and Decision Making, Society for Judgment and Decision Making, vol. 16(4), pages 1039-1059, July.
- Daniel Chen & Tobias J. Moskowitz & Kelly Shue, 2016.
"Decision-Making under the Gambler's Fallacy: Evidence from Asylum Judges, Loan Officers, and Baseball Umpires,"
NBER Working Papers
22026, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Chen, Daniel L. & Moskowitz, Tobias J. & Shue, Kelly, 2016. "Decision-Making Under the Gambler’s Fallacy: Evidence From Asylum Courts, Loan Officers, and Baseball Umpires," IAST Working Papers 16-43, Institute for Advanced Study in Toulouse (IAST).
- Chen, Daniel L. & Moskowitz, Tobias J. & Shue, Kelly, 2016. "Decision-Making Under the Gambler’s Fallacy: Evidence From Asylum Courts, Loan Officers, and Baseball Umpires," TSE Working Papers 16-674, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
- Simcha Avugos & Ofer H. Azar & Nadav Gavish & Eran Sher & Michael Bar-Eli, 2019. "Goal center width, how to count sequences, and the gambler's fallacy in soccer penalty shootouts," Judgment and Decision Making, Society for Judgment and Decision Making, vol. 14(1), pages 98-108, January.
- Proto, Eugenio & Sgroi, Daniel, 2017.
"Biased beliefs and imperfect information,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 186-202.
- Proto, Eugenio & Sgroi, Daniel, 2015. "Biased Beliefs and Imperfect Information," IZA Discussion Papers 8858, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Desmond Lam & Bernadete Ozorio, 2013. "The effect of prior outcomes on gender risk-taking differences," Journal of Risk Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(7), pages 791-802, August.
- Mathieu Chevrier & Brice Corgnet & Eric Guerci & Julie Rosaz, 2024. "Algorithm Credulity: Human and Algorithmic Advice in Prediction Experiments," GREDEG Working Papers 2024-03, Groupe de REcherche en Droit, Economie, Gestion (GREDEG CNRS), Université Côte d'Azur, France, revised Dec 2024.
- repec:cup:judgdm:v:14:y:2019:i:1:p:98-108 is not listed on IDEAS
- Tong V. Wang & Rogier J. D. Potter van Loon & Martijn J. van den Assem & Dennie van Dolder, 2016. "Number preferences in lotteries," Judgment and Decision Making, Society for Judgment and Decision Making, vol. 11(3), pages 243-259, May.
- Gregory R. Durham & Michael G. Hertzel & J. Spencer Martin, 2005. "The Market Impact of Trends and Sequences in Performance: New Evidence," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 60(5), pages 2551-2569, October.
- Yuan, Jia & Sun, Guang-Zhen & Siu, Ricardo, 2014. "The lure of illusory luck: How much are people willing to pay for random shocks," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 269-280.
- Doidge, Mary & Feng, Hongli & Hennessy, David A., 2017. "A test of the gambler’s and hot hand fallacies in farmers’ weather and market predictions," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258457, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.