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Do Forecasters Believe in Okun’s Law? An Assessment of Unemployment and Output Forecasts

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Cited by:

  1. Arai, Natsuki, 2023. "The FOMC’s new individual economic projections and macroeconomic theories," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
  2. Fontanari, Claudia & Palumbo, Antonella & Salvatori, Chiara, 2020. "Potential Output in Theory and Practice: A Revision and Update of Okun's Original Method," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 247-266.
  3. de Mendonça, Helder Ferreira & de Oliveira, Diego S.P., 2019. "Firms' confidence and Okun's law in OECD countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 98-107.
  4. Glas, Alexander & Heinisch, Katja, 2021. "Conditional macroeconomic forecasts: Disagreement, revisions and forecast errors," IWH Discussion Papers 7/2021, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
  5. Foroni, Claudia & Furlanetto, Francesco, 2022. "Explaining Deviations from Okun's Law," CEPR Discussion Papers 17369, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  6. Louail Bilal & Ben Haj Hamida Hayet, 2021. "Asymmetry Relationship between Economic Growth and Unemployment Rates in the Arab countries: Application of the OKUN Law during 1960-2017," Management, Sciendo, vol. 25(2), pages 1-21, December.
  7. Patrick Olufemi ADEYEYE & Anthonia T ODELEYE & Olufemi Adewale ALUKO, 2018. "Investigating Okun's Law in Nigeria through the Dynamic Model," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 9(6), pages 39-46.
  8. Lipară Daniel & Gheorghiu Gabriela & Barbu Corina Aurora, 2018. "Is Okun’s Law Valid in Romanian Economy? An Empirical Approach of Unemployment Rate and GDP Relation from 2000 to 2018," Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 0(2), pages 279-284, December.
  9. David Lancaster & Peter Tulip, 2015. "Okun's Law and Potential Output," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2015-14, Reserve Bank of Australia.
  10. Porras-Arena, M. Sylvina & Martín-Román, Ángel L., 2023. "The heterogeneity of Okun's law: A metaregression analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
  11. Marcus Box & Karl Gratzer & Xiang Lin, 2020. "Destructive entrepreneurship in the small business sector: bankruptcy fraud in Sweden, 1830–2010," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 54(2), pages 437-457, February.
  12. Mara Faccio & William J. O’Brien, 2021. "Business Groups and Employment," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(6), pages 3468-3491, June.
  13. Oscar Claveria & Ivana Lolic & Enric Monte & Petar Soric, 2020. "Economic determinants of employment sentiment: A socio-demographic analysis for the euro area," IREA Working Papers 202001, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Jan 2020.
  14. Alberto Behar, 2017. "Comparing the employment-output elasticities of migrants and nationals: the case of the Gulf Cooperation Council," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(10), pages 703-707, June.
  15. Goto, Eiji & Bürgi, Constantin, 2021. "Sectoral Okun's law and cross-country cyclical differences," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 91-103.
  16. Jalles, João Tovar, 2017. "On the rationality and efficiency of inflation forecasts: Evidence from advanced and emerging market economies," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 175-189.
  17. Samuel Ajayi-Obe, 2020. "Key Determinants of Job Creation: A Comparative analysis between OECD Countries and Emerging Economies," Economic Alternatives, University of National and World Economy, Sofia, Bulgaria, issue 4, pages 619-647, December.
  18. Rodrigo Melo Gois & Marco Antonio Jorge, 2017. "Investigating the Okun’s Law in Brazil and three of its Metropolitan Areas," Revista de Economia Mackenzie (REM), Mackenzie Presbyterian University, Social and Applied Sciences Center, vol. 14(1), pages 24-58, January-J.
  19. Pitorac Ruxandra, 2015. "The Specifics Of Okun’S Law In The Romanian Economy Between 2007 And 2013," Annals - Economy Series, Constantin Brancusi University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 1, pages 50-53, February.
  20. Dovern, Jonas, 2015. "A multivariate analysis of forecast disagreement: Confronting models of disagreement with survey data," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 16-35.
  21. Nektarios A. Michail, 2019. "Examining The Stability Of Okun'S Coefficient," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 71(3), pages 240-256, July.
  22. K. Burggraeve & G. de Walque & H. Zimmer, 2015. "The relationship between economic growth and employment," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue i, pages 32-52, June.
  23. Michael Clements, 2016. "Are Macro-Forecasters Essentially The Same? An Analysis of Disagreement, Accuracy and Efficiency," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance icma-dp2016-08, Henley Business School, University of Reading.
  24. Hery Ferdinan, 2013. "The impact of technological growth on economic performance in Indonesia," Economic Journal of Emerging Markets, Universitas Islam Indonesia, vol. 5(1), pages 15-24, April.
  25. An, Zidong & Ball, Laurence & Jalles, Joao & Loungani, Prakash, 2019. "Do IMF forecasts respect Okun’s law? Evidence for advanced and developing economies," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 1131-1142.
  26. Shabir Mohsin Hashmi & Ali Gul Khushik & Muhammad Akram Gilal & Zhao Yongliang, 2021. "The Impact of GDP and Its Expenditure Components on Unemployment Within BRICS Countries: Evidence of Okun’s Law From Aggregate and Disaggregated Approaches," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(2), pages 21582440211, June.
  27. Mihajlović Vladimir & Marjanović Gordana, 2021. "Challenges of the Output-Employment Growth Imbalance in Transition Economies," Naše gospodarstvo/Our economy, Sciendo, vol. 67(2), pages 1-9, June.
  28. Cuesta, Lizeth, 2020. "Impacto de la política de empleo juvenil en la disminución del desempleo en los países de la Unión Europea, período 2002-2017 [Impact of youth employment policy on the reduction of unemployment in ," MPRA Paper 111026, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 08 Aug 2021.
  29. Miquel Clar-Lopez & Jordi López-Tamayo & Raúl Ramos, 2014. "Unemployment forecasts, time varying coefficient models and the Okun’s law in Spanish regions," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 3(4), pages 247-262.
  30. Casey, Eddie, 2020. "Do macroeconomic forecasters use macroeconomics to forecast?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1439-1453.
  31. Martin Boďa & Mariana Považanová, 2023. "How credible are Okun coefficients? The gap version of Okun’s law for G7 economies," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(3), pages 1467-1514, June.
  32. Milen Velev, 2018. "Unemployment and economic growth: Is there a relationship in the European Union?," Acta Oeconomica Pragensia, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2018(4), pages 12-29.
  33. José Gabriel Castillo & Carla María Salas, 2018. "Comparabilidad y ajustes metodológicos de las estadísticas laborales: El caso de la tasa de desempleo en Ecuador," Estudios de Economia, University of Chile, Department of Economics, vol. 45(1 Year 20), pages 113-145, June.
  34. Donya Rahmani & Damien Fay, 2022. "A state‐dependent linear recurrent formula with application to time series with structural breaks," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(1), pages 43-63, January.
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