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Revenue Forecasting Practices: Differences across Countries and Consequences for Forecasting Performance
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- Thiess Buettner & Bjoern Kauder, 2015. "Political biases despite external expert participation? An empirical analysis of tax revenue forecasts in Germany," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 164(3), pages 287-307, September.
- Björn Kauder & Niklas Potrafke & Christoph Schinke, 2017.
"Manipulating Fiscal Forecasts: Evidence from the German States,"
FinanzArchiv: Public Finance Analysis, Mohr Siebeck, Tübingen, vol. 73(2), pages 213-236, June.
- Björn Kauder & Niklas Potrafke & Christoph Schinke, 2017. "Manipulating Fiscal Forecasts: Evidence from the German States," CESifo Working Paper Series 6310, CESifo.
- António Afonso & Rui Carvalho, 2014. "Revenue Forecast Errors in the European Union," Working Papers Department of Economics 2014/02, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa.
- Beate Jochimsen & Robert Lehmann, 2017.
"On the political economy of national tax revenue forecasts: evidence from OECD countries,"
Public Choice, Springer, vol. 170(3), pages 211-230, March.
- Beate Jochimsen & Robert Lehmann, 2015. "On the political economy of national tax revenue forecasts – Evidence from OECD countries," ifo Working Paper Series 198, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Jochimsen, Beate & Lehmann, Robert, 2017. "On the political economy of national tax revenue forecasts: evidence from OECD countries," Munich Reprints in Economics 55036, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
- Arai, Natsuki & Iizuka, Nobuo & Yamamoto, Yohei, 2022. "The Efficiency of the Government’s Revenue Projections," Discussion paper series HIAS-E-122, Hitotsubashi Institute for Advanced Study, Hitotsubashi University.
- Ondřej Bayer, 2013. "Research of Estimates of Tax Revenue: An Overview," European Financial and Accounting Journal, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2013(3), pages 59-73.
- Ademmer Martin & Boysen-Hogrefe Jens, 2022.
"The Impact of Forecast Errors on Fiscal Planning and Debt Accumulation,"
Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 242(2), pages 171-190, April.
- Ademmer, Martin & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens, 2019. "The impact of forecast errors on fiscal planning and debt accumulation," Kiel Working Papers 2123, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Boukari, Mamadou & Veiga, Francisco José, 2018.
"Disentangling political and institutional determinants of budget forecast errors: A comparative approach,"
Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(4), pages 1030-1045.
- Mamadou Boukari & Francisco José Veiga, 2018. "Disentangling political and institutional determinants of budget forecast errors: A comparative approach," Post-Print hal-01817910, HAL.
- Andersen, Torben M., 2013. "Fiscal policy targeting under imperfect information," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 114-130.
- Kaplanoglou, Georgia & Rapanos, Vassilis T., 2011.
"The Greek fiscal crisis and the role of fiscal governance,"
LSE Research Online Documents on Economics
36432, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Georgia Kaplanoglou & Vassilis T. Rapanos, 2011. "The Greek Fiscal Crisis and the Role of Fiscal Governance," GreeSE – Hellenic Observatory Papers on Greece and Southeast Europe 48, Hellenic Observatory, LSE.
- Zhiyong An & Yilin Hou, 2020. "Debt authority and intentional overstatement of budgetary deficit: evidence from Chinese Provinces," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 27(2), pages 461-477, April.
- Hayley Pallan, 2022. "Sovereign Spreads and Corporate Taxation," IHEID Working Papers 15-2022, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
- Cepparulo, Alessandra & Gastaldi, Francesca & Giuriato, Luisa & Sacchi, Agnese, 2011. "Budgeting versus implementing fiscal policy:the Italian case," MPRA Paper 32474, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- David Cronin & Niall McInerney, 2024. "Institutional Quality and Official Budgetary Forecast Performance in EU Member States," FinanzArchiv: Public Finance Analysis, Mohr Siebeck, Tübingen, vol. 80(2), pages 165-192.
- Mancini, Anna Laura & Tommasino, Pietro, 2023.
"Fiscal rules and the reliability of public investment plans: Evidence from local governments,"
European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
- Anna Laura Mancini & Pietro Tommasino, 2022. "Fiscal rules and the reliability of public investment plans: evidence from local governments," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1360, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Arai, Natsuki & Iizuka, Nobuo & Yamamoto, Yohei, 2024. "The efficiency of the Japanese government’s revenue projections," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 244(C).
- Breuer Christian, 2015.
"On the Rationality of Medium-Term Tax Revenue Forecasts: Evidence from Germany,"
Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 235(1), pages 22-40, February.
- Christian Breuer, 2014. "On the Rationality of Medium-Term Tax Revenue Forecasts: Evidence from Germany," ifo Working Paper Series 176, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Athanassios Petralias & Sotirios Petros & Pródromos Prodromídis, 2013.
"Greece in Recession: Economic predictions, mispredictions and policy implications,"
GreeSE – Hellenic Observatory Papers on Greece and Southeast Europe
75, Hellenic Observatory, LSE.
- Petralias, Athanassios & Petros, Sotirios & Prodromídis, Pródromos, 2013. "Greece in recession: economic predictions, mispredictions and policy implications," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 52626, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Eddie Casey, 2019. "Inside the "Upside Down": Estimating Ireland's Output Gap," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 50(1), pages 5-34.
- Beate Jochimsen & Robert Lehmann, 2017.
"On the political economy of national tax revenue forecasts: evidence from OECD countries,"
Public Choice, Springer, vol. 170(3), pages 211-230, March.
- Beate Jochimsen & Robert Lehmann, 2015. "On the political economy of national tax revenue forecasts – Evidence from OECD countries," ifo Working Paper Series 198, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Jochimsen, Beate Regina & Lehmann, Robert, 2015. "Do OECD countries cheat with their national tax revenue forecasts?," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 113089, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Andrew Hannon & Eimear Leahy & Róisín O'Sullivan, 2016. "An Analysis of Tax Forecasting Errors in Ireland," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 47(3), pages 391-423.
- Cronin, David & McInerney, Niall, 2023. "Official fiscal forecasts in EU member states under the European Semester and Fiscal Compact – An empirical assessment," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
- Lehmann Robert & Wollmershäuser Timo, 2020.
"The macroeconomic projections of the German government: A comparison to an independent forecasting institution,"
German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 21(2), pages 235-270, June.
- Robert Lehmann & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2019. "The Macroeconomic Projections of the German Government: A Comparison to an Independent Forecasting Institution," CESifo Working Paper Series 7460, CESifo.
- Õie Renata Siimon & Oliver Lukason, 2021. "A Decision Support System for Corporate Tax Arrears Prediction," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(15), pages 1-23, July.
- Nada Azmy ElBerry & Stijn Goeminne, 2021. "Fiscal transparency, fiscal forecasting and budget credibility in developing countries," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(1), pages 144-161, January.
- Niall Conroy, 2023. "The Role of Elasticities in Forecasting Irish Income Tax Revenue," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 54(2), pages 149-172.