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Macroeconomic Forecast Accuracy in data-rich environment
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Cited by:
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stéphane Surprenant, 2022.
"How is machine learning useful for macroeconomic forecasting?,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 920-964, August.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stéphane Surprenant, 2019. "How is Machine Learning Useful for Macroeconomic Forecasting?," CIRANO Working Papers 2019s-22, CIRANO.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & St'ephane Surprenant, 2020. "How is Machine Learning Useful for Macroeconomic Forecasting?," Papers 2008.12477, arXiv.org.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stephane Surprenant, 2020. "How is Machine Learning Useful for Macroeconomic Forecasting?," Working Papers 20-01, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management, revised Aug 2020.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe, 2021. "Slow-Growing Trees," Papers 2103.01926, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2021.
- Colombo, Emilio & Pelagatti, Matteo, 2020.
"Statistical learning and exchange rate forecasting,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1260-1289.
- Emilio Colombo & Matteo Pelagatti, 2019. "Statistical Learning and Exchange Rate Forecasting," DISEIS - Quaderni del Dipartimento di Economia internazionale, delle istituzioni e dello sviluppo dis1901, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Dipartimento di Economia internazionale, delle istituzioni e dello sviluppo (DISEIS).
- Daniel Borup & Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Erik Christian Montes Schütte & David E. Rapach & Sander Schwenk-Nebbe, 2022.
"The Anatomy of Out-of-Sample Forecasting Accuracy,"
FRB Atlanta Working Paper
2022-16, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Daniel Borup & Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Erik Christian Montes Schütte & David E. Rapach & Sander Schwenk-Nebbe, 2024. "The Anatomy of Out-of-Sample Forecasting Accuracy," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2022-16b, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Olivier Fortin‐Gagnon & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stéphane Surprenant, 2022.
"A large Canadian database for macroeconomic analysis,"
Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 55(4), pages 1799-1833, November.
- Olivier Fortin-Gagnon & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stéphane Surprenant, 2018. "A Large Canadian Database for Macroeconomic Analysis," CIRANO Working Papers 2018s-25, CIRANO.
- Olivier Fortin-Gagnon & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stephane Surprenant, 2020. "A Large Canadian Database for Macroeconomic Analysis," Working Papers 20-07, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management.
- Barbara Rossi, 2019.
"Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them,"
Working Papers
1162, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Rossi, Barbara, 2020. "Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them," CEPR Discussion Papers 14472, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Barbara Rossi, 2019. "Forecasting in the presence of instabilities: How do we know whether models predict well and how to improve them," Economics Working Papers 1711, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Jul 2021.
- Massimiliano Marcellino & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2022.
"The demand and supply of information about inflation,"
CIRANO Working Papers
2022s-27, CIRANO.
- Massimiliano Marcellino & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2022. "The demand and supply of information about inflation," Working Papers 22-06, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management, revised Nov 2022.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe, 2020. "The Macroeconomy as a Random Forest," Papers 2006.12724, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2021.
- Goulet Coulombe, Philippe & Leroux, Maxime & Stevanovic, Dalibor & Surprenant, Stéphane, 2021.
"Macroeconomic data transformations matter,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1338-1354.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stephane Surprenant, 2020. "Macroeconomic Data Transformations Matter," Working Papers 20-17, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management, revised Mar 2021.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stéphane Surprenant, 2020. "Macroeconomic Data Transformations Matter," CIRANO Working Papers 2020s-42, CIRANO.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & St'ephane Surprenant, 2020. "Macroeconomic Data Transformations Matter," Papers 2008.01714, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2021.
- Borup, Daniel & Christensen, Bent Jesper & Mühlbach, Nicolaj Søndergaard & Nielsen, Mikkel Slot, 2023.
"Targeting predictors in random forest regression,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 841-868.
- Daniel Borup & Bent Jesper Christensen & Nicolaj N{o}rgaard Muhlbach & Mikkel Slot Nielsen, 2020. "Targeting predictors in random forest regression," Papers 2004.01411, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2020.
- Daniel Borup & Bent Jesper Christensen & Nicolaj N. Mühlbach & Mikkel S. Nielsen, 2020. "Targeting predictors in random forest regression," CREATES Research Papers 2020-03, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Rachidi Kotchoni & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2020. "GDP Forecast Accuracy During Recessions," Working Papers 20-06, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management.
- Kozyrev, Boris, 2024. "Forecast combination and interpretability using random subspace," IWH Discussion Papers 21/2024, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
- Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022.
"Forecasting: theory and practice,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
- Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020. "Forecasting: theory and practice," Papers 2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
- Daniel Borup & David E. Rapach & Erik Christian Montes Schütte, 2021. "Now- and Backcasting Initial Claims with High-Dimensional Daily Internet Search-Volume Data," CREATES Research Papers 2021-02, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Joao Vitor Matos Goncalves & Michel Alexandre & Gilberto Tadeu Lima, 2023. "ARIMA and LSTM: A Comparative Analysis of Financial Time Series Forecasting," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2023_13, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).
- Xu, Yingying & Dai, Yifan & Guo, Lingling & Chen, Jingjing, 2024. "Leveraging machine learning to forecast carbon returns: Factors from energy markets," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 357(C).
- Dias, Ishanka K. & Fernando, J.M. Ruwani & Fernando, P. Narada D., 2022. "Does investor sentiment predict bitcoin return and volatility? A quantile regression approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
- Zhentao Shi & Liangjun Su & Tian Xie, 2020. "L2-Relaxation: With Applications to Forecast Combination and Portfolio Analysis," Papers 2010.09477, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2022.
- Daniele Bianchi & Kenichiro McAlinn, 2018. "Large-Scale Dynamic Predictive Regressions," Papers 1803.06738, arXiv.org.
- repec:hal:journl:hal-04675599 is not listed on IDEAS
- Klein, Tony, 2021. "Agree to Disagree? Predictions of U.S. Nonfarm Payroll Changes between 2008 and 2020 and the Impact of the COVID19 Labor Shock," QBS Working Paper Series 2021/07, Queen's University Belfast, Queen's Business School.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe, 2021. "The Macroeconomy as a Random Forest," Working Papers 21-05, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management.
- Duo Qin & Sophie van Huellen & Qing Chao Wang & Thanos Moraitis, 2022. "Algorithmic Modelling of Financial Conditions for Macro Predictive Purposes: Pilot Application to USA Data," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-22, April.
- Michael W. McCracken & Serena Ng, 2021.
"FRED-QD: A Quarterly Database for Macroeconomic Research,"
Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 103(1), pages 1-44, January.
- Michael McCracken & Serena Ng, 2020. "FRED-QD: A Quarterly Database for Macroeconomic Research," NBER Working Papers 26872, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Michael W. McCracken & Serena Ng, 2020. "FRED-QD: A Quarterly Database for Macroeconomic Research," Working Papers 2020-005, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Kevin Moran & Simplice Aimé Nono & Imad Rherrad, 2018. "Forecasting with Many Predictors: How Useful are National and International Confidence Data?," Cahiers de recherche 1814, Centre de recherche sur les risques, les enjeux économiques, et les politiques publiques.
- Zhang, Qin & Ni, He & Xu, Hao, 2023. "Nowcasting Chinese GDP in a data-rich environment: Lessons from machine learning algorithms," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe, 2021. "To Bag is to Prune," Working Papers 21-03, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management, revised Jun 2021.
- Engelke, Carola & Heinisch, Katja & Schult, Christoph, 2019. "How forecast accuracy depends on conditioning assumptions," IWH Discussion Papers 18/2019, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
- Klein, Tony, 2022. "Agree to disagree? Predictions of U.S. nonfarm payroll changes between 2008 and 2020 and the impact of the COVID19 labor shock," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 194(C), pages 264-286.
- Borup, Daniel & Rapach, David E. & Schütte, Erik Christian Montes, 2023. "Mixed-frequency machine learning: Nowcasting and backcasting weekly initial claims with daily internet search volume data," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1122-1144.