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Uncertainty and disagreement in economic forecasting
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Cited by:
- Breach, Tomas & D’Amico, Stefania & Orphanides, Athanasios, 2020.
"The term structure and inflation uncertainty,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(2), pages 388-414.
- Tomas Breach & Stefania D'Amico & Athanasios Orphanides, 2016. "The Term Structure and Inflation Uncertainty," Working Paper Series WP-2016-22, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- Orphanides, Athanasios & Breach, Tomas & D'Amico, Stefania, 2016. "The Term Structure and Inflation Uncertainty," CEPR Discussion Papers 11730, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Gergely Ganics & Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2019.
"From fixed-event to fixed-horizon density forecasts: obtaining measures of multi-horizon uncertainty from survey density forecasts,"
Working Papers
1947, Banco de España.
- Gergely Ganics & Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2020. "From Fixed-Event to Fixed-Horizon Density Forecasts: Obtaining Measures of Multi-Horizon Uncertainty from Survey Density Forecasts," Working Papers 1142, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Gergely Ganics & Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2019. "From fixed-event to fixed-horizon density forecasts: Obtaining measures of multi-horizon uncertainty from survey density forecasts," Economics Working Papers 1689, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
- Chatterjee, Pratiti & Milani, Fabio, 2020.
"Perceived uncertainty shocks, excess optimism-pessimism, and learning in the business cycle,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 342-360.
- Pratiti Chatterjee & Fabio Milani, 2020. "Perceived Uncertainty Shocks, Excess Optimism-Pessimism, and Learning in the Business Cycle," CESifo Working Paper Series 8608, CESifo.
- Pratiti Chatterjee & Fabio Milani, 2020. "Perceived Uncertainty Shocks, Excess Optimism-Pessimism, and Learning in the Business Cycle," Working Papers 202101, University of California-Irvine, Department of Economics.
- Caldara, Dario & Fuentes-Albero, Cristina & Gilchrist, Simon & Zakrajšek, Egon, 2016.
"The macroeconomic impact of financial and uncertainty shocks,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 185-207.
- Dario Caldara & Cristina Fuentes-Albero & Simon Gilchrist & Egon Zakrajšek, 2016. "The Macroeconomic Impact of Financial and Uncertainty Shocks," NBER Working Papers 22058, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Dario Caldara & Cristina Fuentes-Albero & Simon Gilchrist & Egon Zakrajšek, 2016. "The Macroeconomic Impact of Financial and Uncertainty Shocks," International Finance Discussion Papers 1166, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Saijo, Hikaru, 2017.
"The uncertainty multiplier and business cycles,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 1-25.
- Hikaru Saijo, 2013. "The Uncertainty Multiplier and Business Cycles," UTokyo Price Project Working Paper Series 016, University of Tokyo, Graduate School of Economics.
- Hikaru Saijo, 2014. "The Uncertainty Multiplier and Business Cycles," Working Papers e067, Tokyo Center for Economic Research.
- Orphanides, Athanasios & Williams, John C., 2008.
"Learning, expectations formation, and the pitfalls of optimal control monetary policy,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(Supplemen), pages 80-96, October.
- Athanasios Orphanides & John C. Williams, 2008. "Learning, Expectations Formation, And The Pitfalls Of Optimal Control Monetary Policy," CAMA Working Papers 2008-17, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Athanasios Orphanides & John C. Williams, 2008. "Learning, Expectations Formation, and the Pitfalls of Optimal Control Monetary Policy," Working Papers 2008-3, Central Bank of Cyprus.
- Athanasios Orphanides & John C. Williams, 2008. "Learning, expectations formation and the pitfalls of optimal control monetary policy," Working Paper Series 2008-05, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Leonardo Iania & Robbe Collage & Michiel Vereycken, 2023. "The Impact of Uncertainty in Macroeconomic Variables on Stock Returns in the USA," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-15, March.
- Luca Rossi, 2020. "Indicators of uncertainty: a brief user’s guide," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 564, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Artur Tarassow, 2017. "Forecasting growth of U.S. aggregate and household-sector M2 after 2000 using economic uncertainty measures," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 201702, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
- Rossi, Barbara & Ganics, Gergely & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2020. "From Fixed-event to Fixed-horizon Density Forecasts: Obtaining Measures of Multi-horizon Uncertainty from Survey Density Foreca," CEPR Discussion Papers 14267, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Hartmann, Matthias & Herwartz, Helmut & Ulm, Maren, 2017. "A comparative assessment of alternative ex ante measures of inflation uncertainty," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 76-89.
- Michael Ehrmann & Sylvester Eijffinger & Marcel Fratzscher, 2012.
"The Role of Central Bank Transparency for Guiding Private Sector Forecasts,"
Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 114(3), pages 1018-1052, September.
- Eijffinger, Sylvester & Ehrmann, Michael & Fratzscher, Marcel, 2009. "The role of central bank transparency for guiding private sector forecasts," CEPR Discussion Papers 7585, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Ehrmann, Michael & Eijffinger, Sylvester & Fratzscher, Marcel, 2010. "The role of central bank transparency for guiding private sector forecasts," Working Paper Series 1146, European Central Bank.
- Ehrmann, M. & Eijffinger, S.C.W. & Fratzcher, M., 2010. "The Role of Central Bank Transparency for Guiding Private Sector Forecasts," Other publications TiSEM 25125044-98fc-44b3-8698-3, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
- Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy, 2017. "The behavior of uncertainty and disagreement and their roles in economic prediction: a panel analysis," Staff Reports 808, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Pacheco, Luis, 2010. "ECB Projections: should leave it to the pros?," Working Papers 11/2010, Universidade Portucalense, Centro de Investigação em Gestão e Economia (CIGE).
- Vania Esady, 2019. "Real and Nominal Effects of Monetary Shocks under Time-Varying Disagreement," CESifo Working Paper Series 7956, CESifo.
- Berger, Helge & Ehrmann, Michael & Fratzscher, Marcel, 2011. "Geography, skills or both: What explains Fed watchers' forecast accuracy of US monetary policy?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 420-437, September.
- Clements, Michael P, 2012.
"Subjective and Ex Post Forecast Uncertainty : US Inflation and Output Growth,"
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS)
995, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Clements, Michael P., 2012. "Subjective and Ex Post Forecast Uncertainty: US Inflation and Output Growth," Economic Research Papers 270629, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
- Tang, Wenjin & Ding, Saijie & Chen, Hao, 2021. "Economic uncertainty and its spillover networks: Evidence from the Asia-Pacific countries," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
- Adams, Zeno & Collot, Solène & Kartsakli, Maria, 2020. "Have commodities become a financial asset? Evidence from ten years of Financialization," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
- Glas, Alexander, 2020. "Five dimensions of the uncertainty–disagreement linkage," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 607-627.
- Manzan, Sebastiano, 2021. "Are professional forecasters Bayesian?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
- Manzanares, Andrés & García, Juan Angel, 2007. "Reporting biases and survey results: evidence from European professional forecasters," Working Paper Series 836, European Central Bank.
- Ricco, Giovanni & Callegari, Giovanni & Cimadomo, Jacopo, 2014. "Signals from the Government: Policy Uncertainty and the Transmission of Fiscal Shocks," MPRA Paper 56136, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Ma, Dan & Zhang, Chuan & Hui, Yarong & Xu, Bing, 2022. "Economic uncertainty spillover and social networks," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 454-467.
- Levin, Andrew T., 2014. "The design and communication of systematic monetary policy strategies," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 52-69.
- Eduardo Martínez-Gomariz & Edwar Forero-Ortiz & María Guerrero-Hidalga & Salvador Castán & Manuel Gómez, 2020. "Flood Depth‒Damage Curves for Spanish Urban Areas," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-25, March.