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An Application Of Models Of Speculative Behaviour To Oil Prices
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- Balcombe, Kelvin & Fraser, Iain, 2017. "Do bubbles have an explosive signature in markov switching models?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 81-100.
- Vipin Arora & Shuping Shi, 2013. "A Heterogenous Agent Foundation for Tests of Asset Price Bubbles," CAMA Working Papers 2013-35, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Figuerola-Ferretti, Isabel & McCrorie, J. Roderick & Paraskevopoulos, Ioannis, 2020. "Mild explosivity in recent crude oil prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
- Fantazzini, Dean, 2016.
"The oil price crash in 2014/15: Was there a (negative) financial bubble?,"
Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 383-396.
- Fantazzini, Dean, 2016. "The Oil Price Crash in 2014/15: Was There a (Negative) Financial Bubble?," MPRA Paper 72094, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Tsvetanov, Daniel & Coakley, Jerry & Kellard, Neil, 2016. "Bubbling over! The behaviour of oil futures along the yield curve," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(PB), pages 516-533.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Nico Frederick Katzke, 2015.
"Identifying Periods of US Housing Market Explosivity,"
Working Papers
15-03, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Nico Katzke & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Identifying Periods of US Housing Market Explosivity," Working Papers 201544, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Nico Katzke & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Identifying Periods of US Housing Market Explosivity," Working Papers 08/2015, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Omid Ranjbar, 2015.
"Characterising the South African Business Cycle: Is GDP Difference-Stationary or Trend-Stationary in a Markov-Switching Setup?,"
Working Papers
201529, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Omid Ranjbar, 2015. "Characterising the South African Business Cycle: Is GDP Difference-Stationary or Trend-Stationary in a Markov-Switching Setup?," Working Papers 15-04, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
- Kuhanathan Ano Sujithan & Sanvi Avouyi-Dovi & Lyes Koliai, 2014. "On the determinants of food price volatility," Post-Print hal-01511900, HAL.
- Zhao, Zhao & Wen, Huwei & Li, Ke, 2021. "Identifying bubbles and the contagion effect between oil and stock markets: New evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 780-788.
- Márquez-Velázquez, Alejandro, 2019. "Developing countries' political cycles and the resource curse: Venezuela's case," Discussion Papers 2019/14, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
- Morana, Claudio, 2013.
"Oil price dynamics, macro-finance interactions and the role of financial speculation,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 206-226.
- Claudio Morana, 2012. "Oil Price Dynamics, Macro-Finance Interactions and the Role of Financial Speculation," Working Papers 2012.07, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
- Morana, Claudio, 2012. "Oil Price Dynamics, Macro-Finance Interactions and the Role of Financial Speculation," Energy: Resources and Markets 121723, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
- Claudio Morana, 2013. "Oil price dynamics, macro-finance interactions and the role of financial speculation," Working Papers 225, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Nov 2013.
- Morana, Claudio, 2012. "Oil price dynamics, macro-finance interactions and the role of financial speculation," Conference papers 332210, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
- Itamar Caspi & Nico Katzke & Rangan Gupta, 2014.
"Date stamping historical oil price bubbles: 1876 - 2014,"
Working Papers
20/2014, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.
- Itamar Caspi & Nico Katzke & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Date Stamping Historical Oil Price Bubbles: 1876-2014," Working Papers 201445, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Panopoulou, Ekaterini & Pantelidis, Theologos, 2015.
"Speculative behaviour and oil price predictability,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 128-136.
- Ekaterini Panopoulou & Theologos Pantelidis, 2014. "Speculative behaviour and oil price predictability," Discussion Paper Series 2014_09, Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, revised Dec 2014.
- Giulio Cifarelli & Paolo Paesani, 2021. "Navigating the Oil Bubble: A Non-linear Heterogeneous-agent Dynamic Model of Futures Oil Pricing," The Energy Journal, , vol. 42(5), pages 101-122, September.
- Shu-Ping Shi & Yong Song, 2012.
"Identifying Speculative Bubbles with an Infinite Hidden Markov Model,"
Working Paper series
26_12, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Song, Yong & Shi, Shuping, 2012. "Identifying speculative bubbles with an in finite hidden Markov model," MPRA Paper 36455, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Yan, Lei & Irwin, Scott H. & Sanders, Dwight R., 2018. "Mapping algorithms, agricultural futures, and the relationship between commodity investment flows and crude oil futures prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 486-504.
- Caspi, Itamar & Katzke, Nico & Gupta, Rangan, 2018. "Date stamping historical periods of oil price explosivity: 1876–2014," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 582-587.
- Robinson Kruse & Christoph Wegener, 2019. "Explosive behaviour and long memory with an application to European bond yield spreads," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 66(1), pages 139-153, February.
- Umar, Muhammad & Su, Chi-Wei & Rizvi, Syed Kumail Abbas & Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona, 2021. "Driven by fundamentals or exploded by emotions: Detecting bubbles in oil prices," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
- repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-586 is not listed on IDEAS
- Ajmi, Ahdi Noomen & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Mokni, Khaled, 2021. "Detection of bubbles in WTI, brent, and Dubai oil prices: A novel double recursive algorithm," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
- Holtemöller Oliver, 2013. "Explosive Preisentwicklung und spekulative Blasen auf Rohstoffmärkten / Explosive behavior and speculative bubbles on commodity markets," ORDO. Jahrbuch für die Ordnung von Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft, De Gruyter, vol. 64(1), pages 405-420, January.
- Nourah Al†Yousef, 2018. "Fundamentals and Oil Price Behaviour: New Evidence from Co†integration Tests with Structural Breaks and Granger Causality Tests," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 57(1), pages 1-18, March.
- Arora, Vipin & Gomis-Porqueras, Pedro & Shi, Shuping, 2013.
"The divergence between core and headline inflation: Implications for consumers’ inflation expectations,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 38(PB), pages 497-504.
- Vipin Arora & Pedro Gomis-Porqueras & Shuping Shi, 2011. "Testing for Explosive Behaviour in Relative Inflation Measures: Implications for Monetary Policy," Monash Economics Working Papers 37-11, Monash University, Department of Economics.
- Kruse, Robinson & Wegener, Christoph, 2020. "Time-varying persistence in real oil prices and its determinant," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
- Skrobotov Anton, 2023. "Testing for explosive bubbles: a review," Dependence Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 11(1), pages 1-26, January.
- repec:dau:papers:123456789/12798 is not listed on IDEAS
- Giulio Cifarelli and Paolo Paesani, 2021.
"Navigating the Oil Bubble: A Non-linear Heterogeneous-agent Dynamic Model of Futures Oil Pricing,"
The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 5).
- Cifarelli, Giulio & Paesani, Paolo, 2018. "Navigating the oil bubble: A non-linear heterogeneous-agent dynamic model of futures oil pricing," MPRA Paper 90470, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Kruse, Yves Robinson & Kaufmann, Hendrik, 2015. "Bias-corrected estimation in mildly explosive autoregressions," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 112897, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Shaw, Charles, 2018. "Conditional heteroskedasticity in crypto-asset returns," MPRA Paper 90437, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Arora, Vipin & Tanner, Matthew, 2013.
"Do oil prices respond to real interest rates?,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 546-555.
- Arora, Vipin & Tanner, Matthew, 2011. "How important are real interest rates for oil prices?," MPRA Paper 35883, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Balcilar, Mehmet & Katzke, Nico & Gupta, Rangan, 2018.
"Date-stamping US housing market explosivity,"
Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 12, pages 1-33.
- Balcilar, Mehmet & Katzke, Nico & Gupta, Rangan, 2017. "Date-stamping US housing market explosivity," Economics Discussion Papers 2017-44, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Gronwald, Marc, 2016. "Explosive oil prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 1-5.
- Ayben Koy, 2022. "Regime Switching Mechanism during Energy Futures Price Bubbles," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(1), pages 373-382.
- Theodosios Perifanis, 2019. "Detecting West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Prices’ Bubble Periods," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(14), pages 1-16, July.
- Darko Vukovic & Moinak Maiti & Zoran Grubisic & Elena M. Grigorieva & Michael Frömmel, 2021. "COVID-19 Pandemic: Is the Crypto Market a Safe Haven? The Impact of the First Wave," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(15), pages 1-17, July.
- Hendrik Kaufmannz & Robinson Kruse, 2013. "Bias-corrected estimation in potentially mildly explosive autoregressive models," CREATES Research Papers 2013-10, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Efthymios G. Pavlidis & Ivan Paya & David A. Peel, 2018. "Using Market Expectations to Test for Speculative Bubbles in the Crude Oil Market," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(5), pages 833-856, August.
- Tzika, Paraskevi & Pantelidis, Theologos, 2024. "Economic policy uncertainty as an indicator of abrupt movements in the US stock market," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 93-103.