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Rising to the challenge: Bayesian estimation and forecasting techniques for macroeconomic Agent Based Models

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Mario Martinoli & Alessio Moneta & Gianluca Pallante, 2022. "Calibration and Validation of Macroeconomic Simulation Models by Statistical Causal Search," LEM Papers Series 2022/33, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
  2. Vandin, Andrea & Giachini, Daniele & Lamperti, Francesco & Chiaromonte, Francesca, 2022. "Automated and distributed statistical analysis of economic agent-based models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
  3. Ramis Khabibullin & Sergei Seleznev, 2022. "Fast Estimation of Bayesian State Space Models Using Amortized Simulation-Based Inference," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps104, Bank of Russia.
  4. Filippo Gusella, 2022. "Detecting And Measuring Financial Cycles In Heterogeneous Agents Models: An Empirical Analysis," Advances in Complex Systems (ACS), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 25(02n03), pages 1-22, March.
  5. Aldo Glielmo & Marco Favorito & Debmallya Chanda & Domenico Delli Gatti, 2023. "Reinforcement Learning for Combining Search Methods in the Calibration of Economic ABMs," Papers 2302.11835, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2023.
  6. Piero Mazzarisi & Alessio Muscillo & Claudio Pacati & Paolo Pin, 2024. "The Rise and Fall of Ideas' Popularity," Papers 2411.18541, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2024.
  7. Jlenia Di Noia, 2024. "When firms buy corporate bonds: an agent-based approach to credit within firms," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 19(4), pages 689-725, October.
  8. Corrado Monti & Marco Pangallo & Gianmarco De Francisci Morales & Francesco Bonchi, 2022. "On learning agent-based models from data," Papers 2205.05052, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2022.
  9. Andrea Vandin & Daniele Giachini & Francesco Lamperti & Francesca Chiaromonte, 2021. "Automated and Distributed Statistical Analysis of Economic Agent-Based Models," Papers 2102.05405, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2023.
  10. Denis Koshelev & Alexey Ponomarenko & Sergei Seleznev, 2023. "Amortized neural networks for agent-based model forecasting," Papers 2308.05753, arXiv.org.
  11. Zila, Eric & Kukacka, Jiri, 2023. "Moment set selection for the SMM using simple machine learning," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 212(C), pages 366-391.
  12. Donovan Platt, 2022. "Bayesian Estimation of Economic Simulation Models Using Neural Networks," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 59(2), pages 599-650, February.
  13. Domenico Delli Gatti & Severin Reissl, 2020. "ABC: An Agent Based Exploration of the Macroeconomic Effects of Covid-19," CESifo Working Paper Series 8763, CESifo.
  14. Emanuele Ciola & Edoardo Gaffeo & Mauro Gallegati, 2021. "Search for Profits and Business Fluctuations: How Banks' Behaviour Explain Cycles?," Working Papers 450, Universita' Politecnica delle Marche (I), Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Sociali.
  15. Barde, Sylvain, 2024. "Bayesian estimation of large-scale simulation models with Gaussian process regression surrogates," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
  16. Zhang, Jinyu & Zhang, Qiaosen & Li, Yong & Wang, Qianchao, 2023. "Sequential Bayesian inference for agent-based models with application to the Chinese business cycle," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
  17. Filippo Gusella & Giorgio Ricchiuti, 2021. "State Space Model to Detect Cycles in Heterogeneous Agents Models," Working Papers - Economics wp2021_10.rdf, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Scienze per l'Economia e l'Impresa.
  18. Samuel Wiese & Jagoda Kaszowska-Mojsa & Joel Dyer & Jose Moran & Marco Pangallo & Francois Lafond & John Muellbauer & Anisoara Calinescu & J. Doyne Farmer, 2024. "Forecasting Macroeconomic Dynamics using a Calibrated Data-Driven Agent-based Model," Papers 2409.18760, arXiv.org.
  19. Simone Brusatin & Tommaso Padoan & Andrea Coletta & Domenico Delli Gatti & Aldo Glielmo, 2024. "Simulating the Economic Impact of Rationality through Reinforcement Learning and Agent-Based Modelling," Papers 2405.02161, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2024.
  20. Lux, Thomas, 2024. "Lack of identification of parameters in a simple behavioral macroeconomic model," Economics Working Papers 2024-02, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
  21. Filippo Gusella & Giorgio Ricchiuti, 2022. "A State-Space Approach for Time-Series Prediction of an Heterogeneous Agent Model," Working Papers - Economics wp2022_20.rdf, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Scienze per l'Economia e l'Impresa.
  22. Sylvain Barde, 2022. "Bayesian Estimation of Large-Scale Simulation Models with Gaussian Process Regression Surrogates," Studies in Economics 2203, School of Economics, University of Kent.
  23. Elizabeth Jane Casabianca & Alessia Lo Turco & Daniela Maggioni, 2021. "Migration And The Structure Of Manufacturing Production. A View From Italian Provinces," Working Papers 448, Universita' Politecnica delle Marche (I), Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Sociali.
  24. Severin Reissl, 2022. "Fiscal multipliers, expectations and learning in a macroeconomic agent‐based model," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 60(4), pages 1704-1729, October.
  25. Ciola, Emanuele & Gaffeo, Edoardo & Gallegati, Mauro, 2022. "Search for profits and business fluctuations: How does banks’ behaviour explain cycles?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
  26. Lux, Thomas, 2024. "Lack of identification of parameters in a simple behavioral macroeconomic model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
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