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Credit rating dynamics and Markov mixture models
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- Chateau, Jean-Pierre D., 2011. "Contribution à la réglementation de Bâle-3 : de la consistance interne du continuum du crédit commercial en marquant à la « valeur de modèle » le risque de crédit des engagements de crédit," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 87(4), pages 445-479, décembre.
- Wozabal, David & Hochreiter, Ronald, 2012.
"A coupled Markov chain approach to credit risk modeling,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 403-415.
- David Wozabal & Ronald Hochreiter, 2009. "A Coupled Markov Chain Approach to Credit Risk Modeling," Papers 0911.3802, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2014.
- Brian BARNARD, 2017. "Rating Migration and Bond Valuation: Decomposing Rating Migration Matrices from Market Data via Default Probability Term Structures," Expert Journal of Finance, Sprint Investify, vol. 5, pages 49-72.
- Bannier, Christina E. & Hirsch, Christian W., 2010.
"The economic function of credit rating agencies - What does the watchlist tell us?,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(12), pages 3037-3049, December.
- Bannier, Christina E. & Hirsch, Christian, 2009. "The economic function of credit rating agencies: what does the watchlist tell us?," Frankfurt School - Working Paper Series 124, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management.
- Puneet Pasricha & Dharmaraja Selvamuthu & Guglielmo D’Amico & Raimondo Manca, 2020. "Portfolio optimization of credit risky bonds: a semi-Markov process approach," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 6(1), pages 1-14, December.
- D. V. Boreiko & Y. M. Kaniovski & G. Ch. Pflug, 2016. "Modeling dependent credit rating transitions: a comparison of coupling schemes and empirical evidence," Central European Journal of Operations Research, Springer;Slovak Society for Operations Research;Hungarian Operational Research Society;Czech Society for Operations Research;Österr. Gesellschaft für Operations Research (ÖGOR);Slovenian Society Informatika - Section for Operational Research;Croatian Operational Research Society, vol. 24(4), pages 989-1007, December.
- Wai Choi Lee & Jianfu Shen & Tsun Se Cheong & Michal Wojewodzki, 2021. "Detecting conflicts of interest in credit rating changes: a distribution dynamics approach," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-23, December.
- Areski Cousin & J'er^ome Lelong & Tom Picard, 2021. "Rating transitions forecasting: a filtering approach," Papers 2109.10567, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2023.
- Trueck, Stefan & Rachev, Svetlozar T., 2008. "Rating Based Modeling of Credit Risk," Elsevier Monographs, Elsevier, edition 1, number 9780123736833.
- Mariusz Górajski & Dobromił Serwa & Zuzanna Wośko, 2019.
"Measuring expected time to default under stress conditions for corporate loans,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 57(1), pages 31-52, July.
- Mariusz Górajski & Dobromił Serwa & Zuzanna Wośko, 2016. "Measuring expected time to default under stress conditions for corporate loans," NBP Working Papers 237, Narodowy Bank Polski.
- Zhehao Huang & Zhenghui Li & Zhenzhen Wang, 2020. "Utility Indifference Valuation for Defaultable Corporate Bond with Credit Rating Migration," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(11), pages 1-26, November.
- Chan, Ngai Hang & Wong, Hoi Ying & Zhao, Jing, 2012. "Structural model of credit migration," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(11), pages 3477-3490.
- Mizen, Paul & Tsoukas, Serafeim, 2012.
"Forecasting US bond default ratings allowing for previous and initial state dependence in an ordered probit model,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 273-287.
- Mizen, Paul & Tsoukas, Serafeim, 2011. "Forecasting US bond default ratings allowing for previous and initial state dependence in an ordered probit model," SIRE Discussion Papers 2011-69, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Paul Mizen & Serafeim Tsoukas, 2011. "Forecasting US bond default ratings allowing for previous and initial state dependence in an ordered probit model," Working Papers 2011_19, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Weißbach, Rafael & Mollenhauer, Thomas, 2011. "Modelling Rating Transitions," VfS Annual Conference 2011 (Frankfurt, Main): The Order of the World Economy - Lessons from the Crisis 48698, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Budhi Surya, 2021. "A new class of conditional Markov jump processes with regime switching and path dependence: properties and maximum likelihood estimation," Papers 2107.07026, arXiv.org.
- Dorfleitner, G. & Priberny, C., 2013. "A quantitative model for structured microfinance," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(1), pages 12-22.
- Stepankova, Barbora & Teply, Petr, 2023. "Consistency of banks' internal probability of default estimates: Empirical evidence from the COVID-19 crisis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
- Camilla Ferretti & Giampaolo Gabbi & Piero Ganugi & Pietro Vozzella, 2016. "Rating Trajectories and Credit Risk Migration: Evidence for SMEs," DISCE - Quaderni del Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Sociali dises1615, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Dipartimenti e Istituti di Scienze Economiche (DISCE).
- Figlewski, Stephen & Frydman, Halina & Liang, Weijian, 2012. "Modeling the effect of macroeconomic factors on corporate default and credit rating transitions," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 87-105.
- Legrand D. F. Saint-Cyr & Laurent Piet, 2017.
"Movers and stayers in the farming sector: accounting for unobserved heterogeneity in structural change,"
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 66(4), pages 777-795, August.
- Legrand D.F. Saint-Cyr & Laurent Piet, 2015. "Movers and stayers in the farming sector: accounting for unobserved heterogeneity in structural change," Working Papers SMART 15-06, INRAE UMR SMART.
- Saint-Cyr, Legrand D.F. & Piet, Laurent, 2015. "Movers and Stayers in the Farming Sector: Accounting for Unobserved Heterogeneity in Structural Change," 89th Annual Conference, April 13-15, 2015, Warwick University, Coventry, UK 204234, Agricultural Economics Society.
- Saint-Cyr, Legrand D.F. & Piet, Laurent, 2015. "Movers and stayers in the farming sector: accounting for unobserved heterogeneity in structural change," Working Papers 208912, Institut National de la recherche Agronomique (INRA), Departement Sciences Sociales, Agriculture et Alimentation, Espace et Environnement (SAE2).
- Alexander Karminsky, 2016. "Rating models: emerging market distinctions," Papers 1607.02422, arXiv.org.
- repec:grz:wpsses:2020-01 is not listed on IDEAS
- Kerem Tuzcuoglu, 2019. "Composite Likelihood Estimation of an Autoregressive Panel Probit Model with Random Effects," Staff Working Papers 19-16, Bank of Canada.
- Chateau, John-Peter D., 2009. "Marking-to-model credit and operational risks of loan commitments: A Basel-2 advanced internal ratings-based approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 18(5), pages 260-270, December.
- Dawen Yan & Xiaohui Zhang & Mingzheng Wang, 2021. "A robust bank asset allocation model integrating credit-rating migration risk and capital adequacy ratio regulations," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 299(1), pages 659-710, April.
- Myriam Ben Ayed & Adel Karaa & Jean‐Luc Prigent, 2018.
"Duration Models For Credit Rating Migration: Evidence From The Financial Crisis,"
Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 56(3), pages 1870-1886, July.
- Myriam Ben Ayed & Adel Karaa & Jean-Luc Prigent, 2018. "Duration Models For Credit Rating Migration: Evidence From The Financial Crisis," Post-Print hal-03679407, HAL.
- Dimitris Gavalas & Theodore Syriopoulos, 2014. "Bank Credit Risk Management and Rating Migration Analysis on the Business Cycle," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 2(1), pages 1-22, March.
- Bolano, Danilo & Berchtold, André, 2016. "General framework and model building in the class of Hidden Mixture Transition Distribution models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 131-145.
- T. Gärtner & S. Kaniovski & Y. Kaniovski, 2021. "Numerical estimates of risk factors contingent on credit ratings," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 18(4), pages 563-589, October.
- Surya, Budhi Arta, 2022. "Conditional multivariate distributions of phase-type for a finite mixture of Markov jump processes given observations of sample path," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
- Chang, Charles & Fuh, Cheng-Der & Kao, Chu-Lan Michael, 2017. "Reading between the ratings: Modeling residual credit risk and yield overlap," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 114-135.
- Sumon Bhaumik & John S. Landon-Lane, 2007. "Directional Mobility of Ratings," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series wp900, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan.
- Voß, Sebastian & Weißbach, Rafael, 2014. "A score-test on measurement errors in rating transition times," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 180(1), pages 16-29.
- Areski Cousin & Jérôme Lelong & Tom Picard, 2022. "Rating transitions forecasting: a filtering approach," Working Papers hal-03347521, HAL.
- Oliver Blümke, 2022. "Multiperiod default probability forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(4), pages 677-696, July.
- Hill, Paula & Brooks, Robert & Faff, Robert, 2010. "Variations in sovereign credit quality assessments across rating agencies," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(6), pages 1327-1343, June.
- Xing, Haipeng & Sun, Ning & Chen, Ying, 2012. "Credit rating dynamics in the presence of unknown structural breaks," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 78-89.
- Frederick DUBE & Brian BARNARD, 2019. "Equity Valuation based on a Random Process Modelling of Earnings and Equity Growth," Expert Journal of Economics, Sprint Investify, vol. 7(1), pages 1-31.
- D. V. Boreiko & Y. M. Kaniovski & G. Ch. Pflug, 2017. "Numerical Modeling of Dependent Credit Rating Transitions with Asynchronously Moving Industries," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 49(3), pages 499-516, March.
- Tsaig, Yaakov & Levy, Amnon & Wang, Yashan, 2011. "Analyzing the impact of credit migration in a portfolio setting," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(12), pages 3145-3157.
- Dmitri Boreiko & Serguei Kaniovski & Yuri Kaniovski & Georg Ch. Pflug, 2018. "Business Cycles and Conditional Credit-Rating Migration Matrices," Quarterly Journal of Finance (QJF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 8(04), pages 1-19, December.
- Greig Smith & Goncalo dos Reis, 2017. "Robust and Consistent Estimation of Generators in Credit Risk," Papers 1702.08867, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2017.
- Saint-Cyr, Legrand D. F. & Piet, Laurent, 2014. "Movers and Stayers in the Farming Sector: Another Look at Heterogeneity in Structural Change," 2014 International Congress, August 26-29, 2014, Ljubljana, Slovenia 183068, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
- Marius Pfeuffer & Goncalo dos Reis & Greig smith, 2018. "Capturing Model Risk and Rating Momentum in the Estimation of Probabilities of Default and Credit Rating Migrations," Papers 1809.09889, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2020.
- Johannes Hörner & Nicolas S Lambert, 2021.
"Motivational Ratings [Toward the Next Generation of Recommender Systems: A Survey of the State-of-the-Art and Possible Extensions],"
The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 88(4), pages 1892-1935.
- Johannes Horner & Nicolas Lambert, 2016. "Motivational Ratings," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2035, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Johannes Hörner & Nicolas Lambert, 2021. "Motivational Ratings," Post-Print hal-03759599, HAL.
- Hörner, Johannes & Lambert, Nicolas, 2020. "Motivational Ratings," TSE Working Papers 20-1134, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
- Johannes Hörner & Nicolas Lambert, 2021. "Motivational Ratings," Working Papers hal-03187510, HAL.
- Amira Abid & Fathi Abid, 2024. "Sovereign Credit Risk in Saudi Arabia, Morocco and Egypt," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 17(7), pages 1-20, July.
- May, Anthony D., 2010. "The impact of bond rating changes on corporate bond prices: New evidence from the over-the-counter market," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(11), pages 2822-2836, November.
- Brian BARNARD, 2018. "Rating Migration and Bond Valuation: Ahistorical Interest Rate and Default Probability Term Structures," Expert Journal of Finance, Sprint Investify, vol. 6(1), pages 16-30.
- Brian BARNARD, 2017. "Rating Migration and Bond Valuation: Decomposing Rating Migration Matrices from Market Data via Default Probability Term Structures," Expert Journal of Finance, Sprint Investify, vol. 5(1), pages 49-72.
- Louis, Philippe & Van Laere, Elisabeth & Baesens, Bart, 2013. "Understanding and predicting bank rating transitions using optimal survival analysis models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 119(3), pages 280-283.
- Jeffrey R. Stokes, 2023. "A nonlinear inversion procedure for modeling the effects of economic factors on credit risk migration," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 61(3), pages 855-878, October.
- Kemper, Kristopher J. & Mortenson, Kristian, 2020. "Procyclical ratings and market reactions," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
- Michael Kalkbrener & Natalie Packham, 2024. "A Markov approach to credit rating migration conditional on economic states," Papers 2403.14868, arXiv.org.
- Michael K. Ng & Yuho Chung, 2012. "Double Mover–Stayer model on customer switching in telecommunications industry," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 59(8), pages 663-674, December.
- Saint-Cyr, Legrand D. F., 2016. "Accounting for farm heterogeneity in the assessment of agricultural policy impacts on structural change," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235778, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
- Ruichang Lu & Yao Luo & Ruli Xiao, 2023. "Estimation of misreporting probability in corporate credit rating: A nonparametric approach," International Studies of Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 18(3), pages 260-276, September.
- Stefanescu, Catalina & Tunaru, Radu & Turnbull, Stuart, 2009. "The credit rating process and estimation of transition probabilities: A Bayesian approach," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 216-234, March.