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A spot-forward model for electricity prices with regime shifts

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Cited by:

  1. Lars Ivar Hagfors & Hilde Hørthe Kamperud & Florentina Paraschiv & Marcel Prokopczuk & Alma Sator & Sjur Westgaard, 2016. "Prediction of extreme price occurrences in the German day-ahead electricity market," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(12), pages 1929-1948, December.
  2. Algieri, Bernardina & Leccadito, Arturo & Tunaru, Diana, 2021. "Risk premia in electricity derivatives markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
  3. Deschatre, Thomas & Féron, Olivier & Gruet, Pierre, 2021. "A survey of electricity spot and futures price models for risk management applications," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
  4. Stein-Erik Fleten & Ronald Huisman & Mehtap Kilic & Enrico Pennings & Sjur Westgaard, 2014. "Electricity futures prices: time varying sensitivity to fundamentals," Working Papers 2014/21, Institut d'Economia de Barcelona (IEB).
  5. Berk, K. & Hoffmann, A. & Müller, A., 2018. "Probabilistic forecasting of industrial electricity load with regime switching behavior," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 147-162.
  6. Borovkova, Svetlana & Schmeck, Maren Diane, 2017. "Electricity price modeling with stochastic time change," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 51-65.
  7. Ioannidis, Filippos & Kosmidou, Kyriaki & Savva, Christos & Theodossiou, Panayiotis, 2021. "Electricity pricing using a periodic GARCH model with conditional skewness and kurtosis components," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
  8. Kiesel, Rüdiger & Paraschiv, Florentina, 2017. "Econometric analysis of 15-minute intraday electricity prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 77-90.
  9. Goodarzi, Shadi & Perera, H. Niles & Bunn, Derek, 2019. "The impact of renewable energy forecast errors on imbalance volumes and electricity spot prices," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
  10. Bartosz Uniejewski & Jakub Nowotarski & Rafał Weron, 2016. "Automated Variable Selection and Shrinkage for Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(8), pages 1-22, August.
  11. Thomas Deschatre & Olivier F'eron & Pierre Gruet, 2021. "A survey of electricity spot and futures price models for risk management applications," Papers 2103.16918, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2021.
  12. Ida Bakke & Stein-Erik Fleten & Lars Ivar Hagfors & Verena Hagspiel & Beate Norheim & Sonja Wogrin, 2016. "Investment in electric energy storage under uncertainty: a real options approach," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 13(3), pages 483-500, July.
  13. Erdogdu, Erkan, 2016. "Asymmetric volatility in European day-ahead power markets: A comparative microeconomic analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 398-409.
  14. Florian Ziel & Rafal Weron, 2016. "Day-ahead electricity price forecasting with high-dimensional structures: Univariate vs. multivariate models," HSC Research Reports HSC/16/08, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
  15. Rick Steinert & Florian Ziel, 2018. "Short- to Mid-term Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting Using Futures," Papers 1801.10583, arXiv.org.
  16. Kostrzewski, Maciej & Kostrzewska, Jadwiga, 2019. "Probabilistic electricity price forecasting with Bayesian stochastic volatility models," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 610-620.
  17. Benth, Fred Espen & Paraschiv, Florentina, 2016. "A Structural Model for Electricity Forward Prices," Working Papers on Finance 1611, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance.
  18. Hörnlein, Lena, 2019. "The value of gas-fired power plants in markets with high shares of renewable energy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 1078-1098.
  19. Horky, Florian & Fidrmuc, Jarko, 2024. "Financial development and renewable energy adoption in EU and ASEAN countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
  20. Islyaev, Suren & Date, Paresh, 2015. "Electricity futures price models: Calibration and forecasting," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 247(1), pages 144-154.
  21. Benth, Fred Espen & Paraschiv, Florentina, 2018. "A space-time random field model for electricity forward prices," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 203-216.
  22. Pape, Christian & Hagemann, Simon & Weber, Christoph, 2016. "Are fundamentals enough? Explaining price variations in the German day-ahead and intraday power market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 376-387.
  23. Carlo Mari & Emiliano Mari, 2021. "Gaussian clustering and jump-diffusion models of electricity prices: a deep learning analysis," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 44(2), pages 1039-1062, December.
  24. Monjazeb, Mohammad Reza & Amiri, Hossein & Movahedi, Akram, 2024. "Wholesale electricity price forecasting by Quantile Regression and Kalman Filter method," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 290(C).
  25. Andreis, Luisa & Flora, Maria & Fontini, Fulvio & Vargiolu, Tiziano, 2020. "Pricing reliability options under different electricity price regimes," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
  26. Caldana, Ruggero & Fusai, Gianluca & Roncoroni, Andrea, 2017. "Electricity forward curves with thin granularity: Theory and empirical evidence in the hourly EPEXspot market," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 261(2), pages 715-734.
  27. Obermüller, Frank, 2017. "Explaining Electricity Forward Premiums - Evidence for the Weather Uncertainty Effect," EWI Working Papers 2017-10, Energiewirtschaftliches Institut an der Universitaet zu Koeln (EWI).
  28. Rüdiger Kiesel & Florentina Paraschiv & Audun Sætherø, 2019. "On the construction of hourly price forward curves for electricity prices," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 16(1), pages 345-369, February.
  29. Marí, L. & Nabona, N. & Pagès-Bernaus, A., 2017. "Medium-term power planning in electricity markets with pool and bilateral contracts," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 260(2), pages 432-443.
  30. Florian Ziel, 2015. "Forecasting Electricity Spot Prices using Lasso: On Capturing the Autoregressive Intraday Structure," Papers 1509.01966, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2016.
  31. Ziel, Florian & Weron, Rafał, 2018. "Day-ahead electricity price forecasting with high-dimensional structures: Univariate vs. multivariate modeling frameworks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 396-420.
  32. Rodrigo A. de Marcos & Derek W. Bunn & Antonio Bello & Javier Reneses, 2020. "Short-Term Electricity Price Forecasting with Recurrent Regimes and Structural Breaks," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(20), pages 1-14, October.
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