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Modeling and forecasting (un)reliable realized covariances for more reliable financial decisions
Citations
Blog mentions
As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:- On Forecasting Variation and Covariation
by Francis Diebold in No Hesitations on 2016-05-02 06:01:00
Citations
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Cited by:
- Hautsch, Nikolaus & Voigt, Stefan, 2019.
"Large-scale portfolio allocation under transaction costs and model uncertainty,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 212(1), pages 221-240.
- Nikolaus Hautsch & Stefan Voigt, 2017. "Large-Scale Portfolio Allocation Under Transaction Costs and Model Uncertainty," Papers 1709.06296, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2018.
- Hautsch, Nikolaus & Voigt, Stefan, 2017. "Large-scale portfolio allocation under transaction costs and model uncertainty," CFS Working Paper Series 582, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Lv, Fei & Yang, Chen & Fang, Libing, 2020. "Do the crude oil futures of the Shanghai International Energy Exchange improve asset allocation of Chinese petrochemical-related stocks?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
- Andrea Bucci & Michele Palma & Chao Zhang, 2024. "Geometric Deep Learning for Realized Covariance Matrix Forecasting," Papers 2412.09517, arXiv.org.
- Cipollini, Fabrizio & Gallo, Giampiero M. & Otranto, Edoardo, 2021.
"Realized volatility forecasting: Robustness to measurement errors,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 44-57.
- Fabrizio Cipollini & Giampiero M. Gallo & Edoardo Otranto, 2019. "Realized Volatility Forecasting: Robustness to Measurement Errors," Econometrics Working Papers Archive 2019_04, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti".
- Matias Quiroz & Laleh Tafakori & Hans Manner, 2024. "Forecasting realized covariances using HAR-type models," Papers 2412.10791, arXiv.org.
- Joel Hasbrouck, 2021. "Price Discovery in High Resolution," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 19(3), pages 395-430.
- Li, Dan & Drovandi, Christopher & Clements, Adam, 2024. "Outlier-robust methods for forecasting realized covariance matrices," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 392-408.
- Sven Husmann & Antoniya Shivarova & Rick Steinert, 2019. "Cross-validated covariance estimators for high-dimensional minimum-variance portfolios," Papers 1910.13960, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2020.
- Bauwens, Luc & Xu, Yongdeng, 2023.
"The contribution of realized covariance models to the economic value of volatility timing,"
Cardiff Economics Working Papers
E2023/20, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
- Bauwens, Luc & Xu, Yongdeng, 2023. "The contribution of realized covariance models to the economic value of volatility timing," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2023018, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Li, Yifan & Nolte, Ingmar & Vasios, Michalis & Voev, Valeri & Xu, Qi, 2022. "Weighted Least Squares Realized Covariation Estimation," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
- Carlo Drago & Andrea Scozzari, 2022. "Evaluating conditional covariance estimates via a new targeting approach and a networks-based analysis," Papers 2202.02197, arXiv.org.
- Jianqing Fan & Donggyu Kim & Minseok Shin & Yazhen Wang, 2024. "Factor and Idiosyncratic VAR-Ito Volatility Models for Heavy-Tailed High-Frequency Financial Data," Working Papers 202415, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
- Vassallo, Danilo & Buccheri, Giuseppe & Corsi, Fulvio, 2021. "A DCC-type approach for realized covariance modeling with score-driven dynamics," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 569-586.
- Xu, Yanyan & Liu, Jing & Ma, Feng & Chu, Jielei, 2024. "Liquidity and realized volatility prediction in Chinese stock market: A time-varying transitional dynamic perspective," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 543-560.
- Carlo Drago & Andrea Scozzari, 2023. "A Network-Based Analysis for Evaluating Conditional Covariance Estimates," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-19, January.
- Amendola, Alessandra & Braione, Manuela & Candila, Vincenzo & Storti, Giuseppe, 2020. "A Model Confidence Set approach to the combination of multivariate volatility forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 873-891.
- Clements, Adam & Preve, Daniel P.A., 2021.
"A Practical Guide to harnessing the HAR volatility model,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
- A Clements & D Preve, 2019. "A Practical Guide to Harnessing the HAR Volatility Model," NCER Working Paper Series 120, National Centre for Econometric Research.
- Gaoxiu Qiao & Yangli Cao & Feng Ma & Weiping Li, 2023. "Liquidity and realized covariance forecasting: a hybrid method with model uncertainty," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(1), pages 437-463, January.
- Fabrizio Cipollini & Giampiero Gallo & Alessandro Palandri, 2020.
"A Dynamic Conditional Approach to Portfolio Weights Forecasting,"
Econometrics Working Papers Archive
2020_06, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti".
- Fabrizio Cipollini & Giampiero M. Gallo & Alessandro Palandri, 2020. "A dynamic conditional approach to portfolio weights forecasting," Papers 2004.12400, arXiv.org.
- Luo, Jiawen & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022.
"Forecasting oil and gold volatilities with sentiment indicators under structural breaks,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
- Jiawen Luo & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Forecasting Oil and Gold Volatilities with Sentiment Indicators Under Structural Breaks," Working Papers 202130, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Bucci, Andrea & Ciciretti, Vito, 2022. "Market regime detection via realized covariances," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
- Li, Chenxing, 2022. "A multivariate GARCH model with an infinite hidden Markov mixture," MPRA Paper 112792, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Afees A. Salisu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2023.
"Policy uncertainty and stock market volatility revisited: The predictive role of signal quality,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(8), pages 2307-2321, December.
- Afees A. Salisu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Volatility Revisited: The Predictive Role of Signal Quality," Working Papers 202232, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Izzeldin, Marwan & Muradoğlu, Yaz Gülnur & Pappas, Vasileios & Petropoulou, Athina & Sivaprasad, Sheeja, 2023. "The impact of the Russian-Ukrainian war on global financial markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
- Yutong Lu & Gesine Reinert & Mihai Cucuringu, 2023. "Co-trading networks for modeling dynamic interdependency structures and estimating high-dimensional covariances in US equity markets," Papers 2302.09382, arXiv.org, revised May 2024.
- Asai, Manabu & Chang, Chia-Lin & McAleer, Michael, 2022. "Realized matrix-exponential stochastic volatility with asymmetry, long memory and higher-moment spillovers," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 227(1), pages 285-304.
- BAUWENS, Luc & BRAIONE, Manuela & STORTI, Giuseppe, 2016. "Multiplicative Conditional Correlation Models for Realized Covariance Matrices," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2016041, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Bekierman, Jeremias & Manner, Hans, 2018. "Forecasting realized variance measures using time-varying coefficient models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 276-287.
- Luo, Jiawen & Chen, Langnan, 2020. "Realized volatility forecast with the Bayesian random compressed multivariate HAR model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 781-799.
- Qu, Hui & Zhang, Yi, 2022. "Asymmetric multivariate HAR models for realized covariance matrix: A study based on volatility timing strategies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
- Ostap Okhrin & Anastasija Tetereva, 2017. "The Realized Hierarchical Archimedean Copula in Risk Modelling," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 5(2), pages 1-31, June.
- Golosnoy, Vasyl & Gribisch, Bastian, 2022. "Modeling and forecasting realized portfolio weights," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
- Golosnoy, Vasyl & Schmid, Wolfgang & Seifert, Miriam Isabel & Lazariv, Taras, 2020. "Statistical inferences for realized portfolio weights," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 14(C), pages 49-62.
- Bauwens, Luc & Otranto, Edoardo, 2023. "Realized Covariance Models with Time-varying Parameters and Spillover Effects," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2023019, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Andre Lucas & Anne Opschoor & Luca Rossini, 2021. "Tail Heterogeneity for Dynamic Covariance Matrices: the F-Riesz Distribution," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 21-010/III, Tinbergen Institute, revised 11 Jul 2023.
- Conrad, Christian & Stuermer, Karin, 2017. "On the economic determinants of optimal stock-bond portfolios: international evidence," Working Papers 0636, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics.
- Jiawen Luo & Langnan Chen, 2019. "Multivariate realized volatility forecasts of agricultural commodity futures," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(12), pages 1565-1586, December.
- Clements, Adam & Vasnev, Andrey L., 2023. "Combining simple multivariate HAR-like models for portfolio construction," Working Papers BAWP-2023-03, University of Sydney Business School, Discipline of Business Analytics.
- Asgharian, Hossein & Christiansen, Charlotte & Hou, Ai Jun, 2023. "The effect of uncertainty on stock market volatility and correlation," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
- Gribisch, Bastian & Hartkopf, Jan Patrick, 2023. "Modeling realized covariance measures with heterogeneous liquidity: A generalized matrix-variate Wishart state-space model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(1), pages 43-64.
- Wen, Conghua & Zhai, Jia & Wang, Yinuo & Cao, Yi, 2024. "Implied volatility is (almost) past-dependent: Linear vs non-linear models," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
- Sven Husmann & Antoniya Shivarova & Rick Steinert, 2021. "Cross-validated covariance estimators for high-dimensional minimum-variance portfolios," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 35(3), pages 309-352, September.
- Jiawen Luo & Qun Zhang, 2024. "Air pollution, weather factors, and realized volatility forecasts of agricultural commodity futures," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(2), pages 151-217, February.
- Salisu, Afees A. & Akinsomi, Omokolade & Ametefe, Frank Kwakutse & Hammed, Yinka S., 2024.
"Gold market volatility and REITs' returns during tranquil and turbulent episodes,"
International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PA).
- Kola Akinsomi & Afees Salisu & Ametefe Frank & Hammed Yinka, 2024. "Gold market volatility and REITs' returns during tranquil and turbulent episodes," ERES eres2024-222, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
- Caio Mário Mesquita & Cristiano Arbex Valle & Adriano César Machado Pereira, 2024. "Scenario Generation for Financial Data with a Machine Learning Approach Based on Realized Volatility and Copulas," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 63(5), pages 1879-1919, May.
- De Nard, Gianluca & Zhao, Zhao, 2023. "Using, taming or avoiding the factor zoo? A double-shrinkage estimator for covariance matrices," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 23-35.
- Hsiang‐Tai Lee, 2024. "Riemannian‐geometric regime‐switching covariance hedging," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(6), pages 1003-1054, June.
- Jiawen Luo & Oguzhan Cepni & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Forecasting Multivariate Volatilities with Exogenous Predictors: An Application to Industry Diversification Strategies," Working Papers 202258, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Symitsi, Efthymia & Symeonidis, Lazaros & Kourtis, Apostolos & Markellos, Raphael, 2018. "Covariance forecasting in equity markets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 153-168.
- Cipollini, Fabrizio & Gallo, Giampiero M. & Palandri, Alessandro, 2021. "A dynamic conditional approach to forecasting portfolio weights," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 1111-1126.