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Modelling market diffusion of electric vehicles with real world driving data — Part I: Model structure and validation

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  1. Zhang, Cen & Schmöcker, Jan-Dirk & Kuwahara, Masahiro & Nakamura, Toshiyuki & Uno, Nobuhiro, 2020. "A diffusion model for estimating adoption patterns of a one-way carsharing system in its initial years," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 135-150.
  2. Gnann, Till & Stephens, Thomas S. & Lin, Zhenhong & Plötz, Patrick & Liu, Changzheng & Brokate, Jens, 2018. "What drives the market for plug-in electric vehicles? - A review of international PEV market diffusion models," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 158-164.
  3. Globisch, Joachim & Plötz, Patrick & Dütschke, Elisabeth & Wietschel, Martin, 2019. "Consumer preferences for public charging infrastructure for electric vehicles," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 54-63.
  4. Van, Tien Linh Cao & Barthelmes, Lukas & Gnann, Till & Speth, Daniel & Kagerbauer, Martin, 2021. "Addressing the gaps in market diffusion modeling of electrical vehicles: A case study from Germany for the integration of environmental policy measures," Working Papers "Sustainability and Innovation" S05/2021, Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research (ISI).
  5. Xiong, Siqin & Yuan, Yi & Yao, Jia & Bai, Bo & Ma, Xiaoming, 2023. "Exploring consumer preferences for electric vehicles based on the random coefficient logit model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PA).
  6. Gnann, Till & Speth, Daniel & Plötz, Patrick & Wietschel, Martin & Krail, Michael, 2022. "Markthochlaufszenarien für Elektrofahrzeuge: Rückblick und Ausblick bis 2030," Working Papers "Sustainability and Innovation" S05/2022, Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research (ISI).
  7. Stute, Judith & Klobasa, Marian, 2024. "How do dynamic electricity tariffs and different grid charge designs interact? - Implications for residential consumers and grid reinforcement requirements," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
  8. Ensslen, Axel & Gnann, Till & Jochem, Patrick & Plötz, Patrick & Dütschke, Elisabeth & Fichtner, Wolf, 2020. "Can product service systems support electric vehicle adoption?," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 343-359.
  9. Hu, Jia-Wei & Javaid, Aneeque & Creutzig, Felix, 2021. "Leverage points for accelerating adoption of shared electric cars: Perceived benefits and environmental impact of NEVs," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
  10. Xie, Fei & Lin, Zhenhong, 2017. "Market-driven automotive industry compliance with fuel economy and greenhouse gas standards: Analysis based on consumer choice," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 299-311.
  11. Plötz, Patrick & Funke, Simon Árpád & Jochem, Patrick, 2018. "The impact of daily and annual driving on fuel economy and CO2 emissions of plug-in hybrid electric vehicles," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 331-340.
  12. Plötz, Patrick & Funke, Simon & Jochem, Patrick, 2015. "Real-world fuel economy and CO2 emissions of plug-in hybrid electric vehicles," Working Papers "Sustainability and Innovation" S1/2015, Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research (ISI).
  13. Huber, Julian & Dann, David & Weinhardt, Christof, 2020. "Probabilistic forecasts of time and energy flexibility in battery electric vehicle charging," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(C).
  14. Plötz, Patrick & Schneider, Uta & Globisch, Joachim & Dütschke, Elisabeth, 2014. "Who will buy electric vehicles? Identifying early adopters in Germany," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 96-109.
  15. Scheller, Fabian & Johanning, Simon & Bruckner, Thomas, 2018. "IRPsim: A techno-socio-economic energy system model vision for business strategy assessment at municipal level," Contributions of the Institute for Infrastructure and Resources Management 02/2018, University of Leipzig, Institute for Infrastructure and Resources Management.
  16. Plötz, Patrick & Jakobsson, Niklas & Sprei, Frances, 2017. "On the distribution of individual daily driving distances," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 213-227.
  17. Gnann, T. & Speth, D. & Seddig, K. & Stich, M. & Schade, W. & Gómez Vilchez, J.J., 2022. "How to integrate real-world user behavior into models of the market diffusion of alternative fuels in passenger cars - An in-depth comparison of three models for Germany," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
  18. Gnann, Till & Plötz, Patrick & Kühn, André & Wietschel, Martin, 2015. "Modelling market diffusion of electric vehicles with real world driving data – German market and policy options," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 95-112.
  19. Jochem, Patrick & Babrowski, Sonja & Fichtner, Wolf, 2015. "Assessing CO2 emissions of electric vehicles in Germany in 2030," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 68-83.
  20. Nugroho, Rizqi Ilma & Gnann, Till & Speth, Daniel & Purwanto, Widodo Wahyu & Hanafi, Jessica & Soehodho, Sutanto, 2024. "Agent-based simulation for market diffusion of passenger cars and motorcycles BEV in Greater Jakarta Area," Working Papers "Sustainability and Innovation" S05/2024, Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research (ISI).
  21. Ranjit R. Desai & Eric Hittinger & Eric Williams, 2022. "Interaction of Consumer Heterogeneity and Technological Progress in the US Electric Vehicle Market," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(13), pages 1-25, June.
  22. Plötz, Patrick & Gnann, Till & Jochem, Patrick & Yilmaz, Hasan Ümitcan & Kaschub, Thomas, 2019. "Impact of electric trucks powered by overhead lines on the European electricity system and CO2 emissions," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 32-40.
  23. Gnann, Till & Plötz, Patrick & Funke, Simon & Wietschel, Martin, 2014. "What is the market potential of electric vehicles as commercial passenger cars? A case study from Germany," Working Papers "Sustainability and Innovation" S14/2014, Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research (ISI).
  24. Bhat, Furqan A. & Verma, Ashish, 2024. "Electric two-wheeler adoption in India – A discrete choice analysis of motivators and barriers affecting the potential electric two-wheeler buyers," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 118-131.
  25. Sykes, Maxwell & Axsen, Jonn, 2017. "No free ride to zero-emissions: Simulating a region's need to implement its own zero-emissions vehicle (ZEV) mandate to achieve 2050 GHG targets," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 447-460.
  26. Romano Alberto Acri & Silvia Barone & Paolo Cambula & Valter Cecchini & Maria Carmen Falvo & Jacopo Lepore & Matteo Manganelli & Federico Santi, 2021. "Forecast of the Demand for Electric Mobility for Rome–Fiumicino International Airport," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(17), pages 1-19, August.
  27. Viri, Riku & Mäkinen, Johanna & Liimatainen, Heikki, 2021. "Modelling car fleet renewal in Finland: A model and development speed-based scenarios," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 63-79.
  28. Schwab, Julia & Sölch, Christian & Zöttl, Gregor, 2022. "Electric Vehicle Cost in 2035: The impact of market penetration and charging strategies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
  29. Klingler, Anna-Lena, 2017. "Self-consumption with PV+Battery systems: A market diffusion model considering individual consumer behaviour and preferences," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 205(C), pages 1560-1570.
  30. Lin, Boqiang & Tan, Ruipeng, 2017. "Estimation of the environmental values of electric vehicles in Chinese cities," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 221-229.
  31. Scheller, Fabian & Johanning, Simon & Bruckner, Thomas, 2019. "A review of designing empirically grounded agent-based models of innovation diffusion: Development process, conceptual foundation and research agenda," Contributions of the Institute for Infrastructure and Resources Management 01/2019, University of Leipzig, Institute for Infrastructure and Resources Management.
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