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An Investor Expectations Stock Price Predictive Model Using Closed-End Fund Premiums

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Cited by:

  1. Gikas Hardouvelis & Rafael La Porta & Thierry A. Wizman, 1994. "What Moves the Discount on Country Equity Funds?," NBER Chapters, in: The Internationalization of Equity Markets, pages 345-403, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  2. Ahmed, Ehsan & Koppl, Roger & Rosser, J. Jr. & White, Mark V., 1997. "Complex bubble persistence in closed-end country funds," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 19-37, January.
  3. Ruan, Qingsong & Yang, Haiquan & Lv, Dayong & Zhang, Shuhua, 2018. "Cross-correlations between individual investor sentiment and Chinese stock market return: New perspective based on MF-DCCA," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 503(C), pages 243-256.
  4. Deli, Daniel N. & Varma, Raj, 2002. "Closed-end versus open-end: the choice of organizational form," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 8(1), pages 1-27, January.
  5. Sanning, Lee W. & Skiba, Alexandre & Skiba, Hilla, 2013. "Short sale restrictions, differences of opinion, and single-country, closed-end fund discount," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 44-50.
  6. Deven Bathia & Don Bredin, 2013. "An examination of investor sentiment effect on G7 stock market returns," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(9), pages 909-937, October.
  7. Richard W. Sias, 1997. "Price Pressure And The Role Of Institutional Investors In Closed-End Funds," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 20(2), pages 211-229, June.
  8. Seok, Sang Ik & Cho, Hoon & Ryu, Doojin, 2019. "Firm-specific investor sentiment and daily stock returns," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
  9. Flynn, Sean Masaki, 2012. "Noise-trading, costly arbitrage, and asset prices: Evidence from US closed-end funds," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 15(1), pages 108-125.
  10. French, Joseph J. & Li, Wei-Xuan, 2017. "Sentiment, foreign equity flows, and returns: Evidence from Thailand’s stock markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 816-831.
  11. Muhammad Zia Ur Rehman & Zain ul Abidin & Faisal Rizwan & Zaheer Abbas & Sajjad Ahmad Baig, 2017. "How investor sentiments spillover from developed countries to developing countries?," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 1309096-130, January.
  12. Pedro Manuel Nogueira Reis & Carlos Pinho, 2021. "A Reappraisal of the Causal Relationship between Sentiment Proxies and Stock Returns," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(4), pages 420-442, October.
  13. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei, 2018. "Predicting Stock Returns And Volatility With Investor Sentiment Indices: A Reconsideration Using A Nonparametric Causality†In†Quantiles Test," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 70(1), pages 74-87, January.
  14. Eduard Marinov, 2017. "The 2017 Nobel Prize in Economics," Economic Thought journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 6, pages 117-159.
  15. Guofu Zhou, 2018. "Measuring Investor Sentiment," Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 10(1), pages 239-259, November.
  16. Di, Li & Shaiban, Mohammed Sharaf & Hasanov, Akram Shavkatovich, 2021. "The power of investor sentiment in explaining bank stock performance: Listed conventional vs. Islamic banks," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
  17. Song, Ziyu & Gong, Xiaomin & Zhang, Cheng & Yu, Changrui, 2023. "Investor sentiment based on scaled PCA method: A powerful predictor of realized volatility in the Chinese stock market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 528-545.
  18. Enwei Zhu & Jing Wu & Hongyu Liu & Keyang Li, 2023. "A Sentiment Index of the Housing Market in China: Text Mining of Narratives on Social Media," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 66(1), pages 77-118, January.
  19. ALAJEKWU, Udoka Bernard & OBIALOR, Michael Chukwumee & OKORO, Cyprian Okey, 2017. "Ffect Of Investor Sentiment On Future Returns In The Nigerian Stock Market," Annals of Spiru Haret University, Economic Series, Universitatea Spiru Haret, vol. 17(2), pages 103-126.
  20. Committee, Nobel Prize, 2017. "Richard H. Thaler: Integrating Economics with Psychology," Nobel Prize in Economics documents 2017-1, Nobel Prize Committee.
  21. Gordon Gemmill & Soosung Hwang & Mark Salmon, 2006. "Performance measurement with loss aversion," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 7(3), pages 190-207, September.
  22. Richard Kum-yew Lai, 2005. "Inventory and the Stock Market," Finance 0509006, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  23. Flynn, Sean M., 2005. "Sentiment and the Interpretation of News about Fundamentals," Vassar College Department of Economics Working Paper Series 72, Vassar College Department of Economics.
  24. Gao, Xiang & Koedijk, Kees & Walther, Thomas & Wang, Zhan, 2022. "Relative Investor Sentiment Measurement," CEPR Discussion Papers 17370, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  25. Swanson, Peggy E. & Tsai, Pei-Jung, 2005. "Closed-end country funds and the role of exchange rates in pricing and in determination of premiums and discounts," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 57(5), pages 388-410.
  26. Halkos, George, 2005. "Determining empirically behavioral and fundamental factors of discounts on closed end funds," MPRA Paper 49280, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  27. Marc Simpson & Sanjay Ramchander, 2002. "Is differential sentiment a cause of closed-end country fund premia? An empirical examination of the Australian case," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(9), pages 615-619.
  28. Lee, Charles M C & Shleifer, Andrei & Thaler, Richard H, 1991. "Investor Sentiment and the Closed-End Fund Puzzle," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 46(1), pages 75-109, March.
  29. Jinsong Zhang & Yiding Wang, 2022. "How to Improve the Corporate Sustainable Development?—The Importance of the Intellectual Capital and the Role of the Investor Confidence," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-17, March.
  30. Jonathan Berk & Richard Stanton, 2004. "A Rational Model of the Closed-End Fund Discount," NBER Working Papers 10412, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  31. Liang, Chao & Xu, Yongan & Wang, Jianqiong & Yang, Mo, 2022. "Whether dimensionality reduction techniques can improve the ability of sentiment proxies to predict stock market returns," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
  32. Lee, King Fuei, 2011. "Demographics, dividend clienteles and the dividend premium," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(4), pages 368-375.
  33. Giselle Guzmán, 2009. "Using Sentiment Surveys to Predict GDP Growth and Stock Returns," Chapters, in: Lawrence R. Klein (ed.), The Making of National Economic Forecasts, chapter 12, Edward Elgar Publishing.
  34. Utku Uygur & Oktay Taş, 2014. "The impacts of investor sentiment on returns and conditional volatility of international stock markets," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 48(3), pages 1165-1179, May.
  35. George Emm Halkos & Theodore Krintas, 2006. "Behavioural and fundamental explanations of discounts on closed end funds: an empirical analysis," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(5), pages 395-404.
  36. Wang, Steven Shuye & Jiang, Li, 2004. "Location of trade, ownership restrictions, and market illiquidity: Examining Chinese A- and H-shares," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(6), pages 1273-1297, June.
  37. Malcolm Baker & Jeffrey Wurgler, 2007. "Investor Sentiment in the Stock Market," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 21(2), pages 129-152, Spring.
  38. Liang Ma, 2024. "What drives closed‐end fund discounts? Evidence from COVID‐19," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 53(1), pages 119-143, March.
  39. Kolev, Gueorgui I. & Karapandza, Rasa, 2017. "Out-of-sample equity premium predictability and sample split–invariant inference," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 188-201.
  40. Rama Krishna Yelamanchili, 2019. "Impact of Consumer Sentiment on Defensive and Aggressive Stock Returns: Indian Evidence," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 9(4), pages 109-114.
  41. Corredor, Pilar & Ferrer, Elena & Santamaria, Rafael, 2013. "Investor sentiment effect in stock markets: Stock characteristics or country-specific factors?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 572-591.
  42. Stefan Abrantes Costa & Pedro Manuel Nogueira Reis & Antonio Pedro Soares Pinto, 2020. "Subjective/ Behavioural Factors Influence the PSI 20 and IBEX 35," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 11(5), pages 13-27, October.
  43. Deven Bathia & Don Bredin & Dirk Nitzsche, 2016. "International Sentiment Spillovers in Equity Returns," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(4), pages 332-359, October.
  44. Li, Wei & Wang, Steven Shuye, 2010. "Daily institutional trades and stock price volatility in a retail investor dominated emerging market," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 13(4), pages 448-474, November.
  45. Flynn, Sean Masaki, 2004. "Arbitrage in Closed-end Funds: New Evidence," Vassar College Department of Economics Working Paper Series 57, Vassar College Department of Economics.
  46. Tsai, Pei-Jung, 2010. "Country funds and the role of international equity flows in pricing and in premiums and discounts," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 43-70.
  47. Ahmed Bouteska & Taimur Sharif & Mohammad Zoynul Abedin, 2024. "Does investor sentiment create value for asset pricing? An empirical investigation of the KOSPI‐listed firms," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(3), pages 3487-3509, July.
  48. Burdekin, Richard C.K. & Redfern, Luke, 2009. "Sentiment effects on Chinese share prices and savings deposits: The post-2003 experience," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 246-261, June.
  49. Karan Bhanot & Valeria Martinez & Lalatendu Misra & Jullavut Kittiakaraskun & Sinan Yildirim, 2008. "The behavior of discounts of closed-end funds undergoing open-ending," Working Papers 0092, College of Business, University of Texas at San Antonio.
  50. Committee, Nobel Prize, 2013. "Understanding Asset Prices," Nobel Prize in Economics documents 2013-1, Nobel Prize Committee.
  51. Sanjay Sehgal & G. S. Sood & Namita Rajput, 2009. "Investor Sentiment in India: A Survey," Vision, , vol. 13(2), pages 13-23, April.
  52. Samiran Jana, 2016. "Effect of Investors’ Sentiment on Indian Stock Market," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 17(5), pages 1240-1249, October.
  53. Grossmann, Axel & Ozuna, Teofilo & Simpson, Marc W., 2007. "ADR mispricing: Do costly arbitrage and consumer sentiment explain the price deviation?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 17(4), pages 361-371, October.
  54. Grullon, Gustavo & Albert Wang, F., 2001. "Closed-End Fund Discounts with Informed Ownership Differential," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 10(2), pages 171-205, April.
  55. Stylianos X. Koufadakis, 2016. "Mispricing Explanations of Closed-End Funds: A Survey Review," SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, University of Piraeus, vol. 66(1-2), pages 108-135, January-J.
  56. Lahr, Henry & Kaserer, Christoph, 2009. "Net asset value discounts in listed private equity funds," CEFS Working Paper Series 2009-12, Technische Universität München (TUM), Center for Entrepreneurial and Financial Studies (CEFS).
  57. Kim Kaivanto & Peng Zhang, 2019. "Investor Sentiment as a Predictor of Market Returns," Working Papers 268005798, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
  58. Xinyi Guo & Jinfeng Li, 2020. "A Novel Twitter Sentiment Analysis Model with Baseline Correlation for Financial Market Prediction with Improved Efficiency," Papers 2003.08137, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2020.
  59. Tarun Ramadorai, 2012. "The Secondary Market for Hedge Funds and the Closed Hedge Fund Premium," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 67(2), pages 479-512, April.
  60. Gao, Lin & Süss, Stephan, 2015. "Market sentiment in commodity futures returns," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 84-103.
  61. Richard W. Sias & Laura T. Starks & Seha M. Tiniç, 2001. "Is Noise Trader Risk Priced?," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 24(3), pages 311-329, September.
  62. Stylianos X. Koufadakis, 2015. "Asymmetries on Closed End Country Funds Premium and Monetary Policy Announcements: An Approach Trough the Perspective of Foreign Countries," SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, University of Piraeus, vol. 65(3-4), pages 29-65, july-Dece.
  63. Guzman, Giselle C., 2008. "Using sentiment to predict GDP growth and stock returns," MPRA Paper 36505, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  64. John Griffith & Mohammad Najand & Jiancheng Shen, 2020. "Emotions in the Stock Market," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(1), pages 42-56, January.
  65. Mahmoudi, Nader & Docherty, Paul & Melia, Adrian, 2022. "Firm-level investor sentiment and corporate announcement returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
  66. Corredor, Pilar & Ferrer, Elena & Santamaria, Rafael, 2014. "Is cognitive bias really present in analyst forecasts? The role of investor sentiment," International Business Review, Elsevier, vol. 23(4), pages 824-837.
  67. Gong, Xue & Zhang, Weiguo & Wang, Junbo & Wang, Chao, 2022. "Investor sentiment and stock volatility: New evidence," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
  68. Askar Koshoev, 2022. "Contagious investor sentiments and their volatilities," The Review of Finance and Banking, Academia de Studii Economice din Bucuresti, Romania / Facultatea de Finante, Asigurari, Banci si Burse de Valori / Catedra de Finante, vol. 14(1), pages 57-81, June.
  69. Gang He & Shuzhen Zhu & Haifeng Gu, 2017. "On the construction of Chinese stock market investor sentiment index," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 1412230-141, January.
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