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The predictive content of financial cycle measures for output fluctuations
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- Miroslav Plašil & Jakub Seidler & Petr Hlaváč, 2016. "A New Measure of the Financial Cycle: Application to the Czech Republic," Eastern European Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(4), pages 296-318, July.
- Pfeifer, Lukáš & Hodula, Martin, 2021. "A profit-to-provisioning approach to setting the countercyclical capital buffer," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 45(1).
- Cicilia Anggadewi Harun & Wishnu Mahraddika & Jati Waluyo & Pakasa Bary & Rieska Indah Astuti & Fauzan Rachman & Rizky Primayudha & Dwi Oktaviyanti & Euis Aqmaliyah, 2021. "Business And Financial Cycle In Indonesia: An Integrated Approach," Working Papers WP/05/2021, Bank Indonesia.
- Strohsal, Till & Proaño, Christian R. & Wolters, Jürgen, 2019.
"Characterizing the financial cycle: Evidence from a frequency domain analysis,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 568-591.
- Strohsal, Till & Proaño, Christian R. & Wolters, Jürgen, 2015. "Characterizing the Financial Cycle: Evidence from a Frequency Domain Analysis," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 113143, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Strohsal, Till & Proaño, Christian R. & Wolters, Jürgen, 2015. "Characterizing the financial cycle: Evidence from a frequency domain analysis," Discussion Papers 22/2015, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Till Strohsal & Christian R. Proaño & Jürgen Wolters, 2017. "Characterizing the financial cycle: evidence from a frequency domain analysis," IMK Working Paper 189-2017, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
- Till Strohsal & Christian R. Proaño & Jürgen Wolters, 2015. "Characterizing the Financial Cycle: Evidence from a Frequency Domain Analysis," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2015-021, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
- van Roye, Björn, 2011. "Financial stress and economic activity in Germany and the Euro Area," Kiel Working Papers 1743, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Alain Kabundi & Tumisang Loate & Nicola Viegi, 2020.
"Spillovers of the Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy from the US to South Africa,"
South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 88(4), pages 435-471, December.
- Alain Kabundi & Tumisang Loate & Nicola Viegi, 2020. "Spillovers of the Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy from the US to South Africa," Working Papers 202033, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Alain Kabundi & Nicola Viegi & Tumisang Loate, 2020. "Spillovers of the Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy from the US to South Africa," Working Papers 818, Economic Research Southern Africa.
- Li, Xiao-Lin & Yan, Jing & Wei, Xiaohui, 2021. "Dynamic connectedness among monetary policy cycle, financial cycle and business cycle in China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 640-652.
- Miroslav Plasil & Jakub Seidler & Petr Hlavac & Tomas Konecny, 2014. "An Indicator of the Financial Cycle in the Czech Economy," Occasional Publications - Chapters in Edited Volumes, in: CNB Financial Stability Report 2013/2014, chapter 0, pages 118-127, Czech National Bank.
- Moisă ALTĂR & Matei KUBINSCHI & Dinu BARNEA, 2017. "Measuring Financial Cycle Length and Assessing Synchronization using Wavelets," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 18-36, September.
- Margarita Debuque-Gonzales & Maria Socorro Gochoco-Bautista, 2017. "Financial Conditions Indexes and Monetary Policy in Asia," Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, vol. 16(2), pages 83-117, Summer.
- Milan Christian de Wet, 2021. "Modelling the Australasian Financial Cycle: A Markov-Regime Switching Approach," International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research (IJBESAR), International Hellenic University (IHU), Kavala Campus, Greece (formerly Eastern Macedonia and Thrace Institute of Technology - EMaTTech), vol. 14(1), pages 69-79, June.
- Rozite, Kristiana & Bezemer, Dirk J. & Jacobs, Jan P.A.M., 2019.
"Towards a financial cycle for the U.S., 1973–2014,"
The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
- Rozite, Kristiana & Bezemer, Dirk J. & Jacobs, Jan P.A.M., 2016. "Towards a financial cycle for the US, 1973-2014," Research Report 16013-GEM, University of Groningen, Research Institute SOM (Systems, Organisations and Management).
- Mercè Sala-Rios & Teresa Torres-Solé & Mariona Farré-Perdiguer, 2016. "Credit and business cycles’ relationship: evidence from Spain," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 15(3), pages 149-171, December.
- Mateusz Pipień & Dobiesław Tymoczko, 2024. "Does the credit cycle exist? Policy recommendations based on empirical analyses of the Polish banking sector," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 55(1), pages 1-20.
- Inna S. Lola & Anton Manukov & Murat Bakeev, 2020. "Stress Testing As A Tool For Monitoring And Modelling The Dynamics Of Business Activity Of Manufacturing Enterprises In Russia In The Face Of Market Shocks: Short-Term Scenarios Of Industry Tendencies," HSE Working papers WP BRP 108/STI/2020, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
- Ricardo Correa & Keshav Garud & Juan M Londono & Nathan Mislang, 2021.
"Sentiment in Central Banks’ Financial Stability Reports,"
Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 25(1), pages 85-120.
- Ricardo Correa & Keshav Garud & Juan M. Londono & Nathan Mislang, 2017. "Sentiment in Central Banks' Financial Stability Reports," International Finance Discussion Papers 1203, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Mahjus Ekananda & Tulus Suryanto, 2021. "The Influence of Global Financial Liquidity on the Indonesian Economy: Dynamic Analysis with Threshold VAR," Economies, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-20, October.
- Aboura, Sofiane & van Roye, Björn, 2013.
"Financial stress and economic dynamics: An application to France,"
Kiel Working Papers
1834, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Sofiane Aboura & Björn van Roye, 2017. "Financial stress and economic dynamics: An application to France," Working Papers hal-01526393, HAL.
- Christian Menden & Christian R. Proaño, 2017.
"Dissecting the financial cycle with dynamic factor models,"
Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(12), pages 1965-1994, December.
- Menden, Christian & Proaño, Christian R., 2017. "Dissecting the financial cycle with dynamic factor models," BERG Working Paper Series 126, Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group.
- Christian Menden & Christian R. Proaño, 2017. "Dissecting the financial cycle with dynamic factor models," IMK Working Paper 183-2017, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
- Guido Bulligan & Lorenzo Burlon & Davide Delle Monache & Andrea Silvestrini, 2019.
"Real and financial cycles: estimates using unobserved component models for the Italian economy,"
Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 28(3), pages 541-569, September.
- Guido Bulligan & Lorenzo Burlon & Davide Delle Monache & Andrea Silvestrini, 2017. "Real and financial cycles: estimates using unobserved component models for the Italian economy," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 382, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Amat Adarov, 2022.
"Financial cycles around the world,"
International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(3), pages 3163-3201, July.
- Amat Adarov, 2018. "Financial Cycles Around the World," wiiw Working Papers 145, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw.
- Lukas Pfeifer & Martin Hodula, 2018.
"A Profit-to-Provisioning Approach to Setting the Countercyclical Capital Buffer: The Czech Example,"
Working Papers
2018/5, Czech National Bank.
- Pfeifer, Lukáš & Hodula, Martin, 2018. "A profit-to-provisioning approach to setting the countercyclical capital buffer: the Czech example," ESRB Working Paper Series 82, European Systemic Risk Board.
- Milan Christian Wet & Ilse Botha, 2022. "Constructing and Characterising the Aggregate South African Financial Cycle: A Markov Regime-Switching Approach," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 18(1), pages 37-67, March.
- Dalia Mansour-Ibrahim, 2023. "Are the Eurozone Financial and Business Cycles Convergent Across Time and Frequency?," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 61(1), pages 389-427, January.
- Olaolu Richard Olayeni, 2016. "Causality in Continuous Wavelet Transform Without Spectral Matrix Factorization: Theory and Application," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 47(3), pages 321-340, March.
- German Forero-Laverde, 2016. "Are All Booms and Busts Created Equal? A New Methodology for Understanding Bull and Bear Stock Markets," UB School of Economics Working Papers 2016/339, University of Barcelona School of Economics.
- Park, Cyn-Young & Mercado, Rogelio V., 2014.
"Determinants of financial stress in emerging market economies,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 199-224.
- Park, Cyn-Young & Mercado, Jr., Rogelio V., 2013. "Determinants of Financial Stress in Emerging Market Economies," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 356, Asian Development Bank.
- Strohsal, Till & Proaño Acosta, Christian & Wolters, Jürgen, 2015. "Characterizing the financial cycle: Evidence from a frequency domain analysis," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2015-021, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
- Miroslav Plasil & Tomas Konecny & Jakub Seidler & Petr Hlavac, 2015. "In the Quest of Measuring the Financial Cycle," Working Papers 2015/05, Czech National Bank.
- Harendra Behera & Saurabh Sharma, 2022. "Characterizing India’s Financial Cycle," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 21(2), pages 152-183, June.
- Borio, Claudio, 2014.
"The financial cycle and macroeconomics: What have we learnt?,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 182-198.
- Claudio Borio, 2012. "The financial cycle and macroeconomics: What have we learnt?," BIS Working Papers 395, Bank for International Settlements.
- Łukasz Lenart & Mateusz Pipień, 2015. "Empirical Properties of the Credit and Equity Cycle within Almost Periodically Correlated Stochastic Processes - the Case of Poland, UK and USA," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 7(3), pages 169-186, September.
- Duo Qin & Sophie van Huellen & Qing Chao Wang & Thanos Moraitis, 2022. "Algorithmic Modelling of Financial Conditions for Macro Predictive Purposes: Pilot Application to USA Data," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-22, April.
- Sri Andaiyani & Telisa Aulia Falianty, 2017. "Asean Credit Growth And Asset Price Response To Global Financial Cycle," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 20(2), pages 203-228, October.
- Björn Roye, 2014. "Financial stress and economic activity in Germany," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 41(1), pages 101-126, February.
- Rünstler, Gerhard & Balfoussia, Hiona & Burlon, Lorenzo & Buss, Ginters & Comunale, Mariarosaria & De Backer, Bruno & Dewachter, Hans & Guarda, Paolo & Haavio, Markus & Hindrayanto, Irma & Iskrev, Nik, 2018. "Real and financial cycles in EU countries - Stylised facts and modelling implications," Occasional Paper Series 205, European Central Bank.
- Kollar, Miroslav & Schmieder, Christian, 2019. "Macro-based asset allocation: An empirical analysis," EIB Working Papers 2019/11, European Investment Bank (EIB).
- Sun, Lixin & Huang, Yuqin, 2016.
"Measuring the instability of China's financial system: Indices construction and an early warning system,"
Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 10, pages 1-41.
- Sun, Lixin & Huang, Yuqin, 2013. "Measuring the Instability of China’s Financial System: Indices Construction and an Early Warning System," MPRA Paper 68497, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2014.
- Sun, Lixin & Huang, Yuqin, 2016. "Measuring the instability of China's financial system: Indices construction and an early warning system," Economics Discussion Papers 2016-4, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Lenarčič, Črt, 2021. "Estimating business and financial cycles in Slovenia," MPRA Paper 109977, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Paolo Guarda & Alban Moura, 2019. "Measuring real and financial cycles in Luxembourg: An unobserved components approach," BCL working papers 126, Central Bank of Luxembourg.
- van Roye, Björn, 2011. "Der Einfluss von Finanzmarktstress auf die Konjunktur in Deutschland," Kiel Insight 2011.19, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).