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Algorithmic advice as a credence good

Author

Listed:
  • Biermann, Jan
  • Horton, John J.
  • Walter, Johannes

Abstract

Actors in various settings have been increasingly relying on algorithmic tools to support their decision-making. Much of the public debate concerning algorithms - especially the associated regulation of new technologies - rests on the assumption that humans can assess the quality of algorithms. We test this assumption by conducting an online experiment with 1263 participants. Subjects perform an estimation task and are supported by algorithmic advice. Our first finding is that, in our setting, humans cannot verify the algorithm's quality. We, therefore, argue that algorithms exhibit traits of a credence good - decision-makers cannot verify the quality of such goods, even after "consuming" them. Based on this finding, we test two interventions to improve the individual's ability to make good decisions in algorithmically supported situations. In the first intervention, we explain the way the algorithm functions. We find that while explanation helps participants recognize bias in the algorithm, it remarkably decreases human decision-making performance. In the second treatment, we reveal the task's correct answer after every round and find that this intervention improves human decision-making performance. Our findings have implications for policy initiatives and managerial practice.

Suggested Citation

  • Biermann, Jan & Horton, John J. & Walter, Johannes, 2022. "Algorithmic advice as a credence good," ZEW Discussion Papers 22-071, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:zewdip:22071
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Balafoutas, Loukas & Kerschbamer, Rudolf, 2020. "Credence goods in the literature: What the past fifteen years have taught us about fraud, incentives, and the role of institutions," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
    2. Darby, Michael R & Karni, Edi, 1973. "Free Competition and the Optimal Amount of Fraud," Journal of Law and Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 16(1), pages 67-88, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Walter, Johannes, 2023. "Human oversight done right: The AI Act should use humans to monitor AI only when effective," ZEW policy briefs 02/2023, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    2. Bayer, Judit, 2024. "The place of content ranking algorithms on the AI risk spectrum," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 48(5).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Human-algorithm decision making; algorithmic advice; credence goods;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C91 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Design of Experiments - - - Laboratory, Individual Behavior
    • D79 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Other
    • D80 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - General
    • M21 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Business Economics - - - Business Economics
    • O30 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - General

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