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Bye bye, GI: The impact of the US military drawdown on local German labor markets

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  • aus dem Moore, Jan Peter
  • Spitz-Oener, Alexandra

Abstract

What is the impact of a local negative demand shock on local labor markets? We exploit the unique natural experiment provided by the drawdown of U.S. military forces in West Germany after the end of the Cold War to investigate this question. We find persistent negative effects of the reduction in the U.S. forces on private sector employment, with considerable heterogeneity in terms of age and education groups, and sectors. In addition, the U.S. forces reduction resulted in a rise in local unemployment, whereas migration patterns and wages were not affected.

Suggested Citation

  • aus dem Moore, Jan Peter & Spitz-Oener, Alexandra, 2012. "Bye bye, GI: The impact of the US military drawdown on local German labor markets," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2012-024, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:sfb649:sfb649dp2012-024
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    Cited by:

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    3. Alfredo Paloyo & Colin Vance & Matthias Vorell, 2014. "Local determinants of crime," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 31(21), pages 625-658.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    labor demand shock; base closure; employment; wages;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J23 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Demand
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population

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