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Confidence sets in nonparametric calibration of exponential Lévy models

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  • Söhl, Jakob

Abstract

Confidence intervals and joint confidence sets are constructed for the nonparametric calibration of exponential Lévy models based on prices of European options. This is done by showing joint asymptotic normality for the estimation of the volatility, the drift, the intensity and the Lévy density at nitely many points in the spectral calibration method. Furthermore, the asymptotic normality result leads to a test on the value of the volatility in exponential Lévy models.

Suggested Citation

  • Söhl, Jakob, 2012. "Confidence sets in nonparametric calibration of exponential Lévy models," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2012-012, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:sfb649:sfb649dp2012-012
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Merton, Robert C., 1976. "Option pricing when underlying stock returns are discontinuous," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 3(1-2), pages 125-144.
    2. Belomestny, Denis & Reiß, Markus, 2006. "Spectral calibration of exponential Lévy Models [1]," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2006-034, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    3. Denis Belomestny & Markus Reiß, 2006. "Spectral calibration of exponential Lévy models," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 10(4), pages 449-474, December.
    4. Belomestny, Denis, 2009. "Spectral estimation of the fractional order of a Lévy process," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2009-021, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    5. Rama Cont, 2006. "Model Uncertainty And Its Impact On The Pricing Of Derivative Instruments," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 16(3), pages 519-547, July.
    6. Rama Cont, 2006. "Model uncertainty and its impact on the pricing of derivative instruments," Post-Print halshs-00002695, HAL.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    European option; jump diffusion; confidence sets; asymptotic normality; nonlinear inverse problem;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General

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