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On robustness of model-based bootstrap schemes in nonparametric time series analysis

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  • Neumann, Michael H.

Abstract

Theory in time series analysis is often developed in the context of finite-dimensional models for the data generating process. Whereas corresponding estimators such as those of a conditional mean function are reasonable even if the true dependence mechanism is of a more complex structure, it is usually necessary to capture the whole dependence structure asymptotically for the bootstrap to be valid. However, certain model-based bootstrap methods remain valid for some interesting quantities arising in nonparametric statistics. We generalize the well-known whitening by windowing principle to joint distributions of nonparametric estimators of the autoregression function. As a consequence, we obtain that model-based nonparametric bootstrap schemes remain valid for supremum-type functionals as long as they mimic the corresponding finite-dimensional joint distributions consistently. As an example, we investigate a finite order Markov chain bootstrap in the context of a general stationary process.

Suggested Citation

  • Neumann, Michael H., 1997. "On robustness of model-based bootstrap schemes in nonparametric time series analysis," SFB 373 Discussion Papers 1997,88, Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:sfb373:199788
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. M. Rajarshi, 1990. "Bootstrap in Markov-sequences based on estimates of transition density," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 42(2), pages 253-268, June.
    2. Lijian Yang & Wolfgang Hardle & Jens Nielsen, 1999. "Nonparametric Autoregression with Multiplicative Volatility and Additive mean," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 20(5), pages 579-604, September.
    3. B. Rutherford & S. Yakowitz, 1991. "Error inference for nonparametric regression," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 43(1), pages 115-129, March.
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    5. Hardle, W. & Tsybakov, A., 1997. "Local polynomial estimators of the volatility function in nonparametric autoregression," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 81(1), pages 223-242, November.
    6. P. M. Robinson, 1983. "Nonparametric Estimators For Time Series," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 4(3), pages 185-207, May.
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    1. Neumann, Michael H. & Paparoditis, Efstathios, 2000. "On bootstrapping L2-type statistics in density testing," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(2), pages 137-147, November.
    2. Efstathios Paparoditis & Dimitris Politis, 2000. "The Local Bootstrap for Kernel Estimators under General Dependence Conditions," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 52(1), pages 139-159, March.
    3. Neumann, Michael H. & Paparoditis, Efstathios, 1998. "A nonparametric test for the stationary density," SFB 373 Discussion Papers 1998,58, Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes.
    4. Franke, Jürgen & Kreiss, Jens-Peter & Mammen, Enno & Neumann, Michael H., 1998. "Properties of the nonparametric autoregressive bootstrap," SFB 373 Discussion Papers 1998,54, Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes.

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